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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
The Cleveland Guardians and the Detroit Tigers will return to Progressive Field on Wednesday for a crucial Game 2.
The Tigers, who have lost their last six games, are the road underdogs at +118 against a Guardian team that has gone 17-5 this September.
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The Guardians captured their 11th win in 12 games on Tuesday as Daniel Schneemann’s two-run single in the 7th inning capped Cleveland’s rally from a 0-2 down to beat the Tigers 5-3. With the win, Cleveland and Detroit now have a similar 85-72 record, though the Guardians still regained the AL Central leadership because of the tiebreaker.
Nobody expected the Tigers to experience a monumental collapse this late in the season. From seizing complete control of the AL Central division for almost the entire year to possibly missing out on the postseason, Detroit’s epic meltdown represents the unpredictable nature of the MLB. The Tigers have gone 5-14 this September, allowing the Guardians to claw back from oblivion and challenge them for the AL Central title.
The Guardians look poised to secure another convincing win over the reeling Tigers. Cleveland is 4-0 in their last four meetings with Detroit, winning by at least two runs in all those meetings. The Guardians are 84-71 against the spread this season and 30-18 ATS against teams from the AL Central Division. It means they either have dominated underdog teams or competed well against favorites this season. Cleveland is sending in RHP Tanner Bibee on Wednesday, hoping he can help them sustain their momentum. Bibee has only allowed one run and amassed 18 strikeouts over his last 15 innings across two starts. Moreover, the Guardians hurler has also won his last three starts against the Tigers, including a dazzling performance on September 18, in which he allowed one earned run and struck out eight over 6.0 innings in a 3-1 win over the Tigers.
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Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
10
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0.541 | 157 | 85 | 72 |
10
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0.541 | 157 | 85 | 72 |
Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Guardians Latest Matches

0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Sep 23, 2025 - MLB
Sep 21, 2025 - MLB
Sep 20, 2025 - MLB
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Sep 17, 2025 - MLB
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Sep 21, 2025 - MLB
Sep 20, 2025 - MLB
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Sep 18, 2025 - MLB
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 23, 2025 - MLB
Sep 14, 2025 - MLB
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Sep 12, 2025 - MLB
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Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Sep 23, 2025 - MLB
Sep 21, 2025 - MLB
Sep 20, 2025 - MLB
Sep 20, 2025 - MLB
Sep 19, 2025 - MLB
Sep 18, 2025 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Sep 23, 2025 - MLB
Sep 14, 2025 - MLB
Sep 13, 2025 - MLB
Sep 12, 2025 - MLB
Sep 11, 2025 - MLB
Sep 10, 2025 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Sep 21, 2025 - MLB
Sep 20, 2025 - MLB
Sep 20, 2025 - MLB
Sep 19, 2025 - MLB
Sep 18, 2025 - MLB
Sep 17, 2025 - MLB
Detroit Tigers against Cleveland Guardians : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Sep 23, 2025 - MLB
Sep 18, 2025 - MLB
Sep 17, 2025 - MLB
Sep 16, 2025 - MLB
Jul 6, 2025 - MLB
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Detroit Tigers - Cleveland Guardians Key Points
- Detroit is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games against Cleveland.
- Detroit is 0-6 SU in its last 6 games.
- Cleveland is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games.
- Cleveland is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games against an opponent in the American League.
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Our Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction
Detroit, 0-6 in its last six games and 4-8 SU in its last 12 games against Cleveland, will pin its hopes on Jack Flaherty, who sports a 5.04 ERA over his last five starts but has surrendered one earned run over his last two starts. Flaherty yielded four earned runs over his previous two starts vs. the Guardians, but the Tigers still lost both games as they could not score a single run. Detroit has averaged 2.2 runs per game and pitched 5.73 ERA in their last five games.
Fearless Forecast: The Tigers 2, the Guardians 5
Our betting prediction for the Detroit Tigers vs. the Cleveland Guardians: the Guardians -1.5 runs
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