Deportivo Toluca FC vs Tijuana Prediction & Picks - Liga MX
Mexico - Liga MX
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by Edgar Jibran | in Liga MX Picks
The Liga MX schedule will close its Friday night’s activities featuring the clash between Toluca and Tijuana, teams that will face off at 09:05 pm CST at Nemesio Diez Stadium. For this game, it isn’t surprising to find out that Toluca is the big favorite team to win due to the offensive strategy they normally have when playing at home.
Furthermore, it cannot be ignored that Tijuana isn’t used to playing under Toluca’s geographical conditions, so the altitude is expected to make them struggle at some point during the game. With this in mind, Sebastian Abreu is expected to use very defensive tactics trying to nullify Toluca, but the outcome is expected to be radically different from the 0-0 draw they secured during the Apertura 2025 in Tijuana.
As for Toluca, this game will have a significant weight for them after their last three straight draws, where the most disappointing one was against Puebla. Additionally, it's relevant to note that Toluca hasn't been able to score more than one goal since their 3-1 home victory over Santos Laguna, but it cannot be ignored that since that victory they started struggling to find offensive effectiveness, a fact that is concerning for the current back-to-back Liga MX champions.
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Deportivo Toluca FC vs Tijuana Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
30 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | +12 |
|
9
|
23 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | +2 |
Deportivo Toluca FC and Tijuana Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 7, 2026 - Liga MX
Jan 30, 2026 - Liga MX
Jan 17, 2026 - Liga MX
Jan 14, 2026 - Liga MX
Jan 10, 2026 - Liga MX
Dec 14, 2025 - Liga MX
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 7, 2026 - Liga MX
Jan 14, 2026 - Liga MX
Dec 14, 2025 - Liga MX
Dec 6, 2025 - Liga MX
Nov 29, 2025 - Liga MX
Nov 8, 2025 - Liga MX
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 30, 2026 - Liga MX
Jan 17, 2026 - Liga MX
Jan 10, 2026 - Liga MX
Dec 11, 2025 - Liga MX
Dec 3, 2025 - Liga MX
Nov 26, 2025 - Liga MX
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 6, 2026 - Liga MX
Jan 31, 2026 - Liga MX
Jan 17, 2026 - Liga MX
Jan 14, 2026 - Liga MX
Jan 9, 2026 - Liga MX
Nov 29, 2025 - Liga MX
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 6, 2026 - Liga MX
Jan 17, 2026 - Liga MX
Jan 9, 2026 - Liga MX
Nov 27, 2025 - Liga MX
Nov 20, 2025 - Liga MX
Nov 7, 2025 - Liga MX
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 31, 2026 - Liga MX
Jan 14, 2026 - Liga MX
Nov 29, 2025 - Liga MX
Nov 2, 2025 - Liga MX
Oct 25, 2025 - Liga MX
Oct 17, 2025 - Liga MX
Deportivo Toluca FC against Tijuana : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Oct 22, 2025 - Liga MX
Jan 10, 2025 - Liga MX
Sep 14, 2024 - Liga MX
Feb 25, 2024 - Liga MX
Sep 15, 2023 - Liga MX
Mar 17, 2023 - Liga MX
Deportivo Toluca FC against Tijuana Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
L. Garcia
DefenderE. del Villar
D. Zaragoza
A. Briseno
Luan
F. Cordova
F. Arce
ForwardA. Alvarez
F. Rossi
O. Virgen
J. Hernandez
DefenderJ. Gomez
D. Bagui
J. Vega
O. Manzanares
MidfielderG. Padilla Zuniga
A. Zapata
ForwardD. Abreu
D. Blanco
J. Martinez
Missing players
G. Mora
Most goals and assists
Deportivo Toluca FC
Tijuana
Paulinho
(6 Goals)
K. Castaneda
(7 Goals)
J. Gallardo
(4 Assists)
K. Castaneda
(2 Assists)
,
R. Arciga
(2 Assists)
Deportivo Toluca FC - Tijuana Key Points
- Toluca has conceded at least one goal during their last four straight home games, but they scored two or more goals in three of them.
- Tijuana hasn’t maintained a clean sheet when playing on the road since August 2025, when they defeated Pachuca (2-0).
- Toluca has a three-game home winning streak in home meetings against Tijuana, it being worth noting that they scored two or more goals per game.
- Tijuana hasn’t scored more than one goal in road meetings against Toluca since their 2-1 victory in March 2022.
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Our Deportivo Toluca FC vs Tijuana Prediction
As can be seen, this game is expected to renew Toluca’s expectations after an undesirable streak during which they haven’t been able to secure any victories. Taking this into account, Toluca should try to avoid wasting as many opportunities as they did during their most recent home game against Cruz Azul.
In conclusion, Tijuana has been one of the most competitive teams in recent seasons, but its current roster cannot be considered solid because it lacks dangerous forwards. Therefore, the pick for Deportivo Toluca – Club Tijuana is: 1st Half Total Goals – Over 1.5!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
