Deportivo Toluca FC vs Atletico San Luis Prediction & Picks - Liga MX

Mexico - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
10/17/26 21:00
Atletico San Luis

Prediction:

 

Over 3.5 goals

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 by Edgar Jibran | in Liga MX Picks

This Saturday night offers Toluca a huge chance to end its three-game winless streak in Liga MX as it faces Atlético San Luis at Nemesio Diez Stadium. In this regard, San Luis is one of the league's less consistent teams, so playing at Toluca’s altitude could cause them trouble from the early game.

With that in mind, Toluca must significantly improve its defense, as it conceded 9 goals in its last three official games. Furthermore, losing to Santos Laguna three matchdays ago was tough for its fans, so Antonio Mohamed is expected to use his stellar lineup to boost his team’s chances of scoring from the first half and ease the pressure.

Meanwhile, Atlético San Luis hasn’t kept a clean sheet in its last eight straight games, so its chances of avoiding damage in Toluca are low. However, the team is expected to build a solid defensive block, as securing at least one point in this matchup could be San Luis's only way to keep its playoff contention alive in the final matchdays of the regular season.

Up to $250 to bet on Deportivo Toluca FC - Atletico San Luis! 

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Deportivo Toluca FC vs Atletico San Luis Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Deportivo Toluca FC
20 11 6 2 3 +10
15 Atletico San Luis
12 11 3 3 5 -5

Deportivo Toluca FC and Atletico San Luis Latest Matches

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC Latest matches
W W L D L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Oct 9, 2026 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
3 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC

Oct 3, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Monterrey
2 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Sep 26, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
3 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Sep 20, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  3
Club Santos Laguna

Sep 15, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Sep 12, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
5 :  2
Atlas FC
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 20, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  3
Club Santos Laguna

Sep 12, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
5 :  2
Atlas FC

Sep 6, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  0
Monterrey

Sep 2, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  0
Club Leon

Aug 30, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
4 :  0
FC Juarez

Aug 26, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  0
Austin FC
D W W D L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 9, 2026 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
3 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC

Oct 3, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Monterrey
2 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Sep 26, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
3 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Sep 15, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Aug 21, 2026 - Liga MX

Queretaro
1 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC

Aug 15, 2026 - Liga MX

Atlante
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC
Atletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis Latest matches
W L L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Oct 11, 2026 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
1 :  2
Club Santos Laguna

Sep 27, 2026 - Liga MX

Pumas UNAM
2 :  3
Atletico San Luis

Sep 19, 2026 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
3 :  1
Club Necaxa

Sep 14, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Leon
2 :  0
Atletico San Luis

Sep 5, 2026 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
0 :  3
Chivas

Aug 30, 2026 - Liga MX

Monterrey
1 :  3
Atletico San Luis
L D D L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 11, 2026 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
1 :  2
Club Santos Laguna

Sep 19, 2026 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
3 :  1
Club Necaxa

Sep 5, 2026 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
0 :  3
Chivas

Aug 23, 2026 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
1 :  1
CF Pachuca

Jul 31, 2026 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
0 :  0
Tijuana

Jul 17, 2026 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
2 :  3
CF Cruz Azul
L D L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Sep 27, 2026 - Liga MX

Pumas UNAM
2 :  3
Atletico San Luis

Sep 14, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Leon
2 :  0
Atletico San Luis

Aug 30, 2026 - Liga MX

Monterrey
1 :  3
Atletico San Luis

Aug 16, 2026 - Liga MX

CF America
3 :  0
Atletico San Luis

Aug 12, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Orlando City SC
2 :  2
Atletico San Luis

Aug 9, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Nashville SC
4 :  1
Atletico San Luis

Deportivo Toluca FC against Atletico San Luis : Head to Head (H2H)

Deportivo Toluca FC

83 %

Draw

17 %

Atletico San Luis

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
2.5
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

Apr 12, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  1
Atletico San Luis

Aug 29, 2025 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
1 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Apr 16, 2025 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
0 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Aug 25, 2024 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  1
Atletico San Luis

Apr 19, 2024 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
1 :  5
Deportivo Toluca FC

Oct 29, 2023 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Atletico San Luis
Deportivo Toluca FC vs Atletico San Luis Picks

Atletico San Luis v Deportivo Toluca FC last Lineups

Deportivo Toluca FC

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

22
L. Garcia
17
B. Garcia
4
B. Mendez
6
F. Pereira
20
J. Gallardo
5
F. Romero
35
E. Gutierrez
11
Helinho
8
N. Castro
9
A. Vega
26
Paulinho
99
F. Mora
22
R. Llorente
11
D. Rodriguez
17
A. Duarte
10
S. Salles-Lamonge
21
O. Macias
2
R. Torres Acosta
31
E. Aguila
18
A. Cruz
30
B. Galindo
25
M. Lajud

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Atletico San Luis

Substitutes

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
Goalkeeper

H. Gonzalez Duran

Defender

E. del Villar

D. Zaragoza

Luan

Midfielder

S. Simon

F. Arce

R. Angulo

J. Diaz

Forward

P. Perez

F. Vinas

Atletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis
Goalkeeper

A. Sanchez

Defender

Juanpe

L. Esteves

Midfielder

L. Najera

R. Meraz

M. Garcia

S. Bouquet Perez

Forward

S. Munoz

B. Galdames

L. Flores

Missing players

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
Midfielder

M. Ruiz

S. Simon

Atletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis
Goalkeeper

C. Lopez

Forward

J. Pedro

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Deportivo Toluca FC
CD Huachipato Atletico San Luis
Top Goalscorer
Uruguay F. Vinas (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain R. Llorente (3 Goals) ,  France S. Salles-Lamonge (3 Goals) ,  Mexico D. Rodriguez (3 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil Helinho (4 Assists)
Best assists
Mexico R. Torres Acosta (2 Assists) , 
Mexico L. Flores (2 Assists) , 
France S. Salles-Lamonge (2 Assists)

Deportivo Toluca FC and Atletico San Luis Stats in Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
Atletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis
55%
Wins
27%
27%
Losses
45%
18%
Draws
27%
3.64
Average goals per match
3.18
2.27
Goals scored per match
1.36
1.36
Goals conceded per match
1.82
27%
Under 2.5 goals
27%
73%
Over 2.5 goals
73%
36%
No goals conceded
9%
64%
Both score
64%

Deportivo Toluca FC - Atletico San Luis Key Points

  1. Toluca lost a five-game home winning streak with its recent disappointing loss to Santos Laguna (3-2).
  2. Atlético San Luis has conceded two or more goals in four of its last five Liga MX road games.
  3. Toluca is four games unbeaten at home against Atlético San Luis.
  4. Atlético San Luis scored at least one goal in four of its last five road meetings against Toluca.
Up to $250 to bet on Deportivo Toluca FC - Atletico San Luis! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook

Our Deportivo Toluca FC vs Atletico San Luis Prediction

As it stands, this game could be one of the weekend's most entertaining, especially if both teams can exploit their offensive strengths, even though San Luis won’t have its most dangerous player on the pitch.

In conclusion, even though Toluca couldn’t win its last three Liga MX games, playing at home usually brings an offensive spectacle thanks to the quality of players like Paulinho and Helinho. Therefore, the pick for Deportivo Toluca FC – Atlético San Luis is: Over 3.5 Goals!

Prediction:

 

Over 3.5 goals

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.