Deportivo Toluca FC vs Queretaro Prediction & Picks - Liga MX

Mexico - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
10/18/25 19:00
Queretaro

Prediction:

 

Toluca -2.5.

+13
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 by Carlos Zabala | in Liga MX Picks

On October 4, just before the international break, Toluca continued its devastating run. The 4-2 victory against León, in which Paulinho scored two goals, Vega scored one, and Angulo scored another, was Toluca's sixth consecutive Liga MX victory; the reigning champions lead the Mexican league table with 28 points.

This season, Toluca has won everything; coach Antonio Mohamed wasn't joking when he said this team is capable of consolidating a dynasty in Mexico. Toluca won it all this year. In addition to being the reigning Liga MX champion, they defeated América in the Campeón de Campeones trophy, and then they took the Campeones Cup in Carson, defeating the LA Galaxy. They advanced to the second round in the Leagues Cup in August.

With this behind them, Toluca prepares to host Querétaro at the Nemesio Díaz Stadium. The betting indicates that Toluca has a strong advantage over Querétaro on Saturday.

Toluca's midfield is made up of three players in their prime, a trio that usually controls everything that happens in the middle of the pitch: Vega-Castro-Angulo, with Paulinho, the highly experienced Portuguese player, as the attacking force, having had another tremendously strong year.

Deportivo Toluca FC vs Queretaro Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
37 17 11 4 2 +25
12
Queretaro
Queretaro
20 17 6 2 9 -10

Deportivo Toluca FC and Queretaro Latest Matches

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5 Total goals
83% BTTS
3.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Oct 4, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Leon
2 :  4
Deportivo Toluca FC

Oct 1, 2025 - Campeones Cup

Los Angeles Galaxy
2 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Sep 27, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Mazatlan FC

Sep 24, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
6 :  2
Monterrey

Sep 20, 2025 - Liga MX

Chivas
0 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Sep 13, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Puebla
W D D W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 27, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Mazatlan FC

Sep 24, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
6 :  2
Monterrey

Sep 13, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Puebla

Aug 20, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
0 :  0
Orlando City SC

Aug 16, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  1
Pumas UNAM

Aug 5, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  1
New York City
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 4, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Leon
2 :  4
Deportivo Toluca FC

Oct 1, 2025 - Campeones Cup

Los Angeles Galaxy
2 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Sep 20, 2025 - Liga MX

Chivas
0 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Aug 29, 2025 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
1 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Aug 23, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
1 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Aug 11, 2025 - Liga MX

FC Juarez
0 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC
Queretaro
Queretaro Latest matches
L L W D L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 4, 2025 - Liga MX

Queretaro
3 :  1
Puebla

Sep 28, 2025 - Liga MX

Queretaro
0 :  2
Tigres UANL

Sep 24, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
2 :  2
Queretaro

Sep 20, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
0 :  2
Queretaro

Sep 14, 2025 - Liga MX

Queretaro
0 :  1
Monterrey

Aug 30, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Leon
3 :  0
Queretaro
L D W L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 4, 2025 - Liga MX

Queretaro
3 :  1
Puebla

Sep 28, 2025 - Liga MX

Queretaro
0 :  2
Tigres UANL

Sep 14, 2025 - Liga MX

Queretaro
0 :  1
Monterrey

Aug 22, 2025 - Liga MX

Queretaro
3 :  2
Atletico San Luis

Aug 17, 2025 - Liga MX

Queretaro
3 :  3
Atlas FC

Jul 25, 2025 - Liga MX

Queretaro
0 :  2
Pumas UNAM
L L L L W D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Sep 24, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
2 :  2
Queretaro

Sep 20, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
0 :  2
Queretaro

Aug 30, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Leon
3 :  0
Queretaro

Aug 9, 2025 - Liga MX

CF America
1 :  0
Queretaro

Aug 6, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Real Salt Lake
1 :  0
Queretaro

Aug 2, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Portland Timbers
1 :  0
Queretaro

Deportivo Toluca FC against Queretaro : Head to Head (H2H)

Deportivo Toluca FC

67 %

Draw

17 %

Queretaro

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2.5
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

Feb 26, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
5 :  0
Queretaro

Oct 18, 2024 - Liga MX

Queretaro
0 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jan 12, 2024 - Liga MX

Queretaro
2 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC

Oct 8, 2023 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Queretaro

Mar 5, 2023 - Liga MX

Queretaro
1 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Oct 2, 2022 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
4 :  1
Queretaro

Deportivo Toluca FC against Queretaro Lineups: Starting 11

Deportivo Toluca FC

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
H. Gonzalez Duran
19
S. Simon
4
B. Mendez
25
E. Lopez del Villar
20
J. Gallardo
14
M. Ruiz
5
F. Romero
10
R. Angulo
8
N. Castro
9
A. Vega
26
Paulinho
31
A. Avila
26
J. Perlaza
13
E. Armenta
28
R. Bogarin
10
L. Rodriguez
16
A. Zapata
2
Omar Mendoza
6
S. Homenchenko
9
D. Reyes
12
J. Gomez
25
G. Allison Revuelta

Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1

Queretaro

Substitutes

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
Goalkeeper

L. Garcia

Defender

D. Zaragoza

F. Pereira

M. Isais

A. Briseno

N. Castro 83'

Midfielder

F. Arce

H. Herrera

M. Ruiz 61'

Forward

R. Morales

Paulinho 72'

A. Alvarez

J. Gallardo 46'

O. Virgen

A. Vega 62'

Queretaro
Queretaro
Goalkeeper

J. Hernandez

Defender

O. Manzanares

F. Venegas

J. Perlaza 74'

C. Villanueva

Midfielder

J. Julio

J. Gomez 32'

M. Carcelen

C. Adriano

R. Bogarin 67'

Forward

J. Robles

J. Hernandez

P. Barrera

L. Rodriguez 67'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Deportivo Toluca FC
CD Huachipato Queretaro
Top Goalscorer
Portugal Paulinho (15 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Mexico A. Avila (6 Goals)
Best assists
Mexico A. Vega (9 Assists)
Best assists
Argentina L. Rodriguez (4 Assists)

Deportivo Toluca FC - Queretaro Key Points

  1. Paulinho leads the Liga MX in goals this season with 9
  2. Toluca thrashed Querétaro 5-0 the last time they hosted them at Nemesio Díaz Stadium
  3. This year, Querétaro failed to win two matches in a row
  4. Querétaro won as the betting underdog in their last match against Puebla

Our Deportivo Toluca FC vs Queretaro Prediction

Luan, Paulinho, Violante, Vega, and Morales, in that order, were the authors of Toluca's last 5-0 thrashing of Querétaro. On that occasion, in February of this year, Toluca started as the -370 favorite to win, more than justifying it with such a thrashing. For Saturday's clash, the "Diablos Rojos" will be even more of a favorite.

Out of a possible 18 points, Querétaro has only collected 4 away from home this season in Liga MX. Toluca has been averaging 3 or more goals at home; it wouldn't be surprising if they do it again against the "Roosters of the Whites," especially since Toluca has a completely healthy roster, free of injuries or suspensions.

Our prediction for Toluca vs Querétaro is: Toluca -2.5.

Prediction:

 

Toluca -2.5.

+13
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Deportivo Toluca FC vs Queretaro Picks