Deportivo Toluca FC vs Pumas UNAM Prediction & Picks - Liga MX

Mexico - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
8/16/25 23:00
Pumas UNAM

Prediction:

 

Toluca -0.75.

-120
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 by Carlos Zabala in Liga MX Picks

The current Mexican soccer champion, Toluca, continues its unstoppable run. In May, they won the Clausura tournament, won their first two matches of the Apertura tournament by scoring three or more goals, won the "champion of champions" trophy against América, traveled to the United States, and didn't lose against MLS opposition, qualifying for the quarterfinals. Six days after their 2-1 victory against New York City with goals from Angulo and Paulinho, they returned to Mexico to face Juárez's ironclad defense, which they also breached, and Toluca won 0-2 with another goal from the hottest Portuguese striker of the moment. Paulinho scored a goal in each of his last six matches for Toluca, scoring seven goals in that span.

With so much good news and before embarking on their return trip to the United States, Toluca plays its Liga MX Matchday 5 match, starting as the clear favorite to beat Pumas at the Nemesio Díaz Stadium.

Duarte's header gave Pumas the lead in their previous match against Necaxa, but Pumas goalkeeper Keylor Navas was unable to prevent Necaxa's draw, leaving the university team with four of a possible 12 points in the Liga MX.

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Deportivo Toluca FC vs Pumas UNAM Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
9 4 3 0 1 5
11
Pumas UNAM
Pumas UNAM
4 4 1 1 2 -2

Deportivo Toluca FC and Pumas UNAM Latest Matches

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC Latest matches
W L D W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Aug 11, 2025 - Liga MX

FC Juarez
0 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC

Aug 5, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  1
New York City

Aug 1, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  1
CF Montreal

Jul 29, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  2
Columbus Crew

Jul 26, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  4
Tigres UANL

Jul 20, 2025 - Trofeo de Campeon de Campeones

CF America
1 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC
W W L D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Aug 5, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  1
New York City

Aug 1, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  1
CF Montreal

Jul 29, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  2
Columbus Crew

Jul 26, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  4
Tigres UANL

Jul 12, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Club Necaxa

May 25, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  0
CF America
L D D W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Aug 11, 2025 - Liga MX

FC Juarez
0 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jul 20, 2025 - Trofeo de Campeon de Campeones

CF America
1 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jul 16, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Santos Laguna
2 :  4
Deportivo Toluca FC

May 22, 2025 - Liga MX

CF America
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

May 14, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
1 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

May 7, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
3 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC
Pumas UNAM
Pumas UNAM Latest matches
L W D W L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Aug 10, 2025 - Liga MX

Pumas UNAM
1 :  1
Club Necaxa

Aug 6, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Inter Miami
3 :  1
Pumas UNAM

Aug 2, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Pumas UNAM
3 :  2
Atlanta United Fc

Jul 30, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Pumas UNAM
1 :  1
Orlando City SC

Jul 25, 2025 - Liga MX

Queretaro
0 :  2
Pumas UNAM

Jul 20, 2025 - Liga MX

Pumas UNAM
2 :  3
CF Pachuca
W W L D W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Aug 10, 2025 - Liga MX

Pumas UNAM
1 :  1
Club Necaxa

Aug 2, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Pumas UNAM
3 :  2
Atlanta United Fc

Jul 30, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Pumas UNAM
1 :  1
Orlando City SC

Jul 20, 2025 - Liga MX

Pumas UNAM
2 :  3
CF Pachuca

Jul 6, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Pumas UNAM
2 :  0
Leganés

Apr 16, 2025 - Liga MX

Pumas UNAM
2 :  0
Club Santos Laguna
L D L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Aug 6, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Inter Miami
3 :  1
Pumas UNAM

Jul 25, 2025 - Liga MX

Queretaro
0 :  2
Pumas UNAM

Jul 12, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Santos Laguna
3 :  0
Pumas UNAM

May 4, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
2 :  0
Pumas UNAM

Apr 27, 2025 - Liga MX

FC Juarez
1 :  1
Pumas UNAM

Apr 19, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
2 :  1
Pumas UNAM

Deportivo Toluca FC against Pumas UNAM : Head to Head (H2H)

Deportivo Toluca FC

17 %

Draw

50 %

Pumas UNAM

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
83%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Jan 29, 2025 - Liga MX

Pumas UNAM
1 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Oct 5, 2024 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  1
Pumas UNAM

Mar 17, 2024 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  0
Pumas UNAM

Aug 18, 2023 - Liga MX

Pumas UNAM
1 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Apr 16, 2023 - Liga MX

Pumas UNAM
3 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Feb 15, 2020 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  3
Pumas UNAM

Pumas UNAM v Deportivo Toluca FC last Lineups

Deportivo Toluca FC

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
H. Gonzalez
2
D. Barbosa
3
A. Briseno
6
F. Pereira
25
E. del Villar
10
R. Angulo
8
N. Castro
5
F. Romero
7
J. Dominguez
31
R. Morales
26
Paulinho
9
G. Martinez
17
J. Ruvalcaba Castro
28
A. Carrasquilla
45
P. Vite
8
J. Caicedo
20
S. Trigos Nava
5
R. Duarte
215
A. Azuaje
6
N. Silva
2
P. Bennevendo
1
K. Navas

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Pumas UNAM

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Deportivo Toluca FC
CD Huachipato Pumas UNAM
Top Goalscorer
Portugal Paulinho (17 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Mexico G. Martinez (9 Goals)
Best assists
Mexico A. Vega (12 Assists)
Best assists
Mexico P. Monroy (3 Assists)
Panama A. Carrasquilla (3 Assists)
Mexico S. Trigos Nava (3 Assists)

Deportivo Toluca FC - Pumas UNAM Key Points

  1. The 1-1 result has occurred in three of the last four Pumas-Toluca matches
  2. No team has scored more goals than Toluca's 12 in the previous match
  3. Pumas had 21 shots in their last draw against Necaxa
  4. Inter Miami generated an xG of 2.56 against Pumas in their previous Leagues Cup match
Up to $200 to bet on Deportivo Toluca FC - Pumas UNAM! 

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Our Deportivo Toluca FC vs Pumas UNAM Prediction

As Toluca's manager, Mohamed, said, this team has experience combined with talent, and many of the players are in their prime; this could put Toluca on par with América and Monterrey in the coming years. Toluca has several paths to scoring, so much so that in four matches, Paulinho, Ruiz, Morales, and Helinho, four different players, scored. Against Tigres, Toluca had a seven-goal game, and another game with many scoring chances seems certain for Saturday. Our prediction for Toluca vs Pumas is: Toluca -0.75.

Prediction:

 

Toluca -0.75.

-120
$200 offered for betting!

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Deportivo Toluca FC vs Pumas UNAM Picks
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