Deportivo Toluca FC vs Club Necaxa Prediction & Picks - Liga MX
Mexico - Liga MX
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by Carlos Zabala | in Liga MX Picks
Toluca has established itself as the dominant force in Mexican soccer in recent years, but Antonio Mohamed's formidable team has already shown the first signs of slowing down. They've had a difficult start to the new season, losing at home to Pumas in Liga MX and then falling to Cruz Azul in the United States, where they were snatching the Campeón de Campeones trophy.
Back at Estadio Nemesio Díaz, Toluca aims to return to winning ways in Liga MX when they host Necaxa. So far, the "Red Devils" have shown a dip in form, playing better in the first half than the second, an area they need to address immediately, as Necaxa comes into the match emboldened after victories against Atlante and Monterrey.
Necaxa played their first two league matches of the season in Aguascalientes. They first handed Atlante a 2-1 defeat, staging a comeback in the final 10 minutes. Against Monterrey, Necaxa capitalized on a red card to secure a late victory with a goal from young Colombian striker Juan Valencia.
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Deportivo Toluca FC vs Club Necaxa Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
20 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +11 |
|
17
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -8 |
Deportivo Toluca FC and Club Necaxa Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jul 25, 2026 - Trofeo de Campeon de Campeones
Jul 21, 2026 - Liga MX
Jul 18, 2026 - Liga MX
May 30, 2026 - Concachampions
May 10, 2026 - Liga MX
May 6, 2026 - Concachampions
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jul 25, 2026 - Trofeo de Campeon de Campeones
Jul 21, 2026 - Liga MX
May 30, 2026 - Concachampions
May 6, 2026 - Concachampions
May 3, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 25, 2026 - Liga MX
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jul 18, 2026 - Liga MX
May 10, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 29, 2026 - Concachampions
Apr 22, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 18, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 15, 2026 - Concachampions
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jul 26, 2026 - Liga MX
Jul 16, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 26, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 22, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 18, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 11, 2026 - Liga MX
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jul 26, 2026 - Liga MX
Jul 16, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 22, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 18, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 3, 2026 - Liga MX
Mar 20, 2026 - Liga MX
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 26, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 11, 2026 - Liga MX
Mar 13, 2026 - Liga MX
Mar 3, 2026 - Liga MX
Feb 28, 2026 - Liga MX
Feb 14, 2026 - Liga MX
Deportivo Toluca FC against Club Necaxa : Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Feb 21, 2026 - Liga MX
Jul 12, 2025 - Liga MX
Mar 8, 2025 - Liga MX
Oct 27, 2024 - Liga MX
Feb 10, 2024 - Liga MX
Apr 30, 2023 - Liga MX
Deportivo Toluca FC against Club Necaxa Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Substitutes
H. Gonzalez Duran
DefenderB. Mendez
B. Garcia
A. Briseno
Luan
MidfielderF. Arce
V. Guzman
P. Perez
Helinho
C. Andrade Martin
DefenderF. Mendez Lara
M. Zaleta
K. Naves
P. Pedraza
M. Espindola
M. Pedroza Aguilar
R. Cortez
J. Valencia
R. Monreal
Missing players
M. Ruiz
Most goals and assists
Deportivo Toluca FC
Club Necaxa
A. Vega
(4 Goals)
, 
F. Vinas
(4 Goals)
J. Carranza
(5 Goals)
Helinho
(3 Assists)
A. Pena
(1 Assists)
,
J. Carranza
(1 Assists)
,
M. Zaleta
(1 Assists)
,
F. Mendez Lara
(1 Assists)
, 
J. Valencia
(1 Assists)
,
E. Rodriguez
(1 Assists)
,
P. Pedraza
(1 Assists)
,
J. Ruiz
(1 Assists)
Deportivo Toluca FC - Club Necaxa Key Points
- Toluca defeated Necaxa 3-0 away in March of this year
- Necaxa controlled 65% possession against Monterrey in their previous match
- Necaxa's Julian Carranza has scored two goals and assisted on another in this Liga MX season
- Necaxa's last match only saw five corner kicks
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Our Deportivo Toluca FC vs Club Necaxa Prediction
Since Toluca's attacking play has improved recently, the last five Toluca-Necaxa matches have all featured over 2.5 goals and plenty of action. Toluca sent several players to the All-Star Game against MLS stars, and they have already returned.
Meanwhile, Julian Carranza looks like another player with European experience who arrives and dominates in Liga MX. He arrived from Leicester City and quickly adapted to Martin Varini's system.
Nuestro pronóstico para el Toluca vs Necaxa es: Over 2.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
