Deportivo Toluca FC vs Club Necaxa Prediction & Picks - Liga MX

Mexico - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
8/2/26 21:05
Club Necaxa

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 goals

-114
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 by Carlos Zabala | in Liga MX Picks

Toluca has established itself as the dominant force in Mexican soccer in recent years, but Antonio Mohamed's formidable team has already shown the first signs of slowing down. They've had a difficult start to the new season, losing at home to Pumas in Liga MX and then falling to Cruz Azul in the United States, where they were snatching the Campeón de Campeones trophy.

Back at Estadio Nemesio Díaz, Toluca aims to return to winning ways in Liga MX when they host Necaxa. So far, the "Red Devils" have shown a dip in form, playing better in the first half than the second, an area they need to address immediately, as Necaxa comes into the match emboldened after victories against Atlante and Monterrey.

Necaxa played their first two league matches of the season in Aguascalientes. They first handed Atlante a 2-1 defeat, staging a comeback in the final 10 minutes. Against Monterrey, Necaxa capitalized on a red card to secure a late victory with a goal from young Colombian striker Juan Valencia.

Deportivo Toluca FC vs Club Necaxa Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Club Necaxa
6 2 2 0 0 +2
7 Deportivo Toluca FC
3 2 1 0 1 +1

Deportivo Toluca FC and Club Necaxa Latest Matches

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC Latest matches
W L D W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jul 25, 2026 - Trofeo de Campeon de Campeones

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  3
CF Cruz Azul

Jul 21, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  2
Pumas UNAM

Jul 18, 2026 - Liga MX

Chivas
0 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC

May 30, 2026 - Concachampions

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  1
Tigres UANL

May 10, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
2 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

May 6, 2026 - Concachampions

Deportivo Toluca FC
4 :  0
Los Angeles FC
W L W D L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jul 25, 2026 - Trofeo de Campeon de Campeones

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  3
CF Cruz Azul

Jul 21, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  2
Pumas UNAM

May 30, 2026 - Concachampions

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  1
Tigres UANL

May 6, 2026 - Concachampions

Deportivo Toluca FC
4 :  0
Los Angeles FC

May 3, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
0 :  1
CF Pachuca

Apr 25, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
4 :  1
Club Leon
W L L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jul 18, 2026 - Liga MX

Chivas
0 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC

May 10, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
2 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Apr 29, 2026 - Concachampions

Los Angeles FC
2 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Apr 22, 2026 - Liga MX

Mazatlan FC
4 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Apr 18, 2026 - Liga MX

CF America
2 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Apr 15, 2026 - Concachampions

Los Angeles Galaxy
0 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC
Club Necaxa
Club Necaxa Latest matches
L D D L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jul 26, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Necaxa
2 :  1
Monterrey

Jul 16, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Necaxa
2 :  1
Atlante

Apr 26, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
4 :  1
Club Necaxa

Apr 22, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Necaxa
0 :  0
Chivas

Apr 18, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Necaxa
1 :  1
Tigres UANL

Apr 11, 2026 - Liga MX

Queretaro
3 :  1
Club Necaxa
W W D D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jul 26, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Necaxa
2 :  1
Monterrey

Jul 16, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Necaxa
2 :  1
Atlante

Apr 22, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Necaxa
0 :  0
Chivas

Apr 18, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Necaxa
1 :  1
Tigres UANL

Apr 3, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Necaxa
2 :  1
Mazatlan FC

Mar 20, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Necaxa
3 :  0
Tijuana
W L L D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Apr 26, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
4 :  1
Club Necaxa

Apr 11, 2026 - Liga MX

Queretaro
3 :  1
Club Necaxa

Mar 13, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  0
Club Necaxa

Mar 3, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
2 :  1
Club Necaxa

Feb 28, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Leon
2 :  1
Club Necaxa

Feb 14, 2026 - Liga MX

FC Juarez
1 :  2
Club Necaxa

Deportivo Toluca FC against Club Necaxa : Head to Head (H2H)

Deportivo Toluca FC

83 %

Draw

17 %

Club Necaxa

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.5
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
3.33
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

Feb 21, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Necaxa
0 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jul 12, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Club Necaxa

Mar 8, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
5 :  2
Club Necaxa

Oct 27, 2024 - Liga MX

Club Necaxa
1 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Feb 10, 2024 - Liga MX

Club Necaxa
3 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Apr 30, 2023 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  0
Club Necaxa
Deportivo Toluca FC vs Club Necaxa Picks

Missing players

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
Midfielder

M. Ruiz

Club Necaxa
Club Necaxa

Deportivo Toluca FC and Club Necaxa Stats in Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
Club Necaxa
Club Necaxa
50%
Wins
100%
50%
Losses
0%
0%
Draws
0%
2.5
Average goals per match
3
1.5
Goals scored per match
2
1
Goals conceded per match
1
50%
Under 2.5 goals
0%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
100%
50%
No goals conceded
0%
50%
Both score
100%

Deportivo Toluca FC - Club Necaxa Key Points

  1. Toluca defeated Necaxa 3-0 away in March of this year
  2. Necaxa controlled 65% possession against Monterrey in their previous match
  3. Necaxa's Julian Carranza has scored two goals and assisted on another in this Liga MX season
  4. Necaxa's last match only saw five corner kicks

Our Deportivo Toluca FC vs Club Necaxa Prediction

Since Toluca's attacking play has improved recently, the last five Toluca-Necaxa matches have all featured over 2.5 goals and plenty of action. Toluca sent several players to the All-Star Game against MLS stars, and they have already returned.

Meanwhile, Julian Carranza looks like another player with European experience who arrives and dominates in Liga MX. He arrived from Leicester City and quickly adapted to Martin Varini's system.

Nuestro pronóstico para el Toluca vs Necaxa es: Over 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 goals

-114
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