Deportivo Toluca FC vs CF Montreal Prediction & Picks - Leagues Cup

International Clubs - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
8/1/25 21:00
CF Montreal

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5

+134
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 by Erik Gibbs in Leagues Cup Picks

Deportivo Toluca enter this Leagues Cup clash in strong form, riding the momentum of their Liga MX Clausura 2025 championship. On Tuesday, the Diablos Rojos showed their resilience by coming back from a 2-0 deficit to draw 2-2 against the Columbus Crew before winning a penalty shootout 4-2. Toluca’s never-say-die attitude was on full display as they snatched two second-half goals in Columbus, extending an unbeaten streak in Leagues Cup Phase One matches.

In domestic play, Toluca have been formidable as well – they ended a 15-year title drought with the Clausura title in May and carried that confidence into the new season. By contrast, CF Montréal have struggled in MLS this year, sitting at the bottom of the Eastern Conference as of the Leagues Cup break.

However, Montréal managed a morale-boosting result in their tournament opener on Tuesday: a 1-1 draw against a star-studded Club León, followed by a dramatic 7-6 win on penalties at Stade Saputo. Interim coach Marco Donadel hailed it as one of their best performances of 2025, as the Quebec side showed it can compete with top Mexican opposition despite a difficult league campaign (only four wins so far).

Recent results suggest a contrast in momentum: Toluca are unbeaten in several games and boast three wins in their last four across all competitions, while Montréal had only one victory in six MLS matches leading up to Leagues Cup. Yet Montréal’s shootout upset of León hints at improvement, with three of their four league wins coming in the past two months.

This Phase One meeting is being held at a neutral venue (Sports Illustrated Stadium in New Jersey), which levels the playing field slightly. Even so, Toluca’s high-powered offense will test a Montréal defense that has been leaky in MLS (over 35 goals conceded in 2025 so far).

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Deportivo Toluca FC vs CF Montreal Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6
Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
2 1 0 1 0 0
12
CF Montreal
CF Montreal
2 1 0 1 0 0

Deportivo Toluca FC and CF Montreal Latest Matches

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC Latest matches
W W W W L D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jul 29, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  2
Columbus Crew

Jul 26, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  4
Tigres UANL

Jul 20, 2025 - Trofeo de Campeon de Campeones

CF America
1 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jul 16, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Santos Laguna
2 :  4
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jul 12, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Club Necaxa

May 25, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  0
CF America
W W W W L D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jul 29, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  2
Columbus Crew

Jul 26, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  4
Tigres UANL

Jul 12, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Club Necaxa

May 25, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  0
CF America

May 17, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  0
Tigres UANL

May 10, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  1
Monterrey
W L D D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jul 20, 2025 - Trofeo de Campeon de Campeones

CF America
1 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jul 16, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Santos Laguna
2 :  4
Deportivo Toluca FC

May 22, 2025 - Liga MX

CF America
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

May 14, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
1 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

May 7, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
3 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC

Apr 16, 2025 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
0 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC
CF Montreal
CF Montreal Latest matches
D D L L W D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jul 29, 2025 - Leagues Cup

CF Montreal
1 :  1
Club Leon

Jul 25, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New England Revolution
1 :  3
CF Montreal

Jul 19, 2025 - Major League Soccer

CF Montreal
0 :  2
Chicago Fire

Jul 16, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
2 :  1
CF Montreal

Jul 12, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Orlando City SC
1 :  1
CF Montreal

Jul 9, 2025 - Canadian Championship

CF Montreal
2 :  2
Forge FC Hamilton
L W L D L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jul 29, 2025 - Leagues Cup

CF Montreal
1 :  1
Club Leon

Jul 19, 2025 - Major League Soccer

CF Montreal
0 :  2
Chicago Fire

Jul 9, 2025 - Canadian Championship

CF Montreal
2 :  2
Forge FC Hamilton

Jul 5, 2025 - Major League Soccer

CF Montreal
1 :  4
Inter Miami

Jun 28, 2025 - Major League Soccer

CF Montreal
1 :  0
New York City

Jun 25, 2025 - Major League Soccer

CF Montreal
1 :  3
FC Cincinnati
L L W D L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jul 25, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New England Revolution
1 :  3
CF Montreal

Jul 16, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
2 :  1
CF Montreal

Jul 12, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Orlando City SC
1 :  1
CF Montreal

Jun 14, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo
1 :  3
CF Montreal

May 28, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Inter Miami
4 :  2
CF Montreal

May 20, 2025 - Canadian Championship

Forge FC Hamilton
1 :  0
CF Montreal

Deportivo Toluca FC against CF Montreal Lineups: Starting 11

Deportivo Toluca FC

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

22
L. Garcia
2
D. Zaragoza
13
Luan
6
F. Pereira
20
J. Gallardo
10
R. Angulo
14
M. Ruiz
5
F. Romero
11
Helinho
9
A. Vega
26
Paulinho
23
C. Clark
9
P. Owusu
18
H. Synchuk
22
V. Loturi
16
J. Waterman
6
S. Piette
39
Y. Guboglo
24
E. Morales
4
F. Alvarez
27
D. Bugaj
40
J. Sirois

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

CF Montreal

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Deportivo Toluca FC
CD Huachipato CF Montreal
Top Goalscorer
Portugal Paulinho (16 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Germany P. Owusu (11 Goals)
Best assists
Mexico A. Vega (12 Assists)
Best assists
Canada L. Petrasso (3 Assists)

Deportivo Toluca FC - CF Montreal Key Points

  1. Toluca has 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 6 games
  2. CF Montréal has 4 wins, 6 draws, and 15 losses across 25 MLS games this season
  3. 4 of Toluca's last 6 games went Over 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of those games
  4. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 52% of CF Montréal's games
Up to $250 to bet on Deportivo Toluca FC - CF Montreal! 

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Our Deportivo Toluca FC vs CF Montreal Prediction

Toluca’s attack is spearheaded by veteran Portuguese striker Paulinho, who is in blistering form. Since joining the club last summer, Paulinho has scored 31 goals in 43 matches, including a brace in the Columbus game earlier this week. His ability to find the net in clutch moments makes him Toluca’s most dangerous weapon.

He’s paired with Mexican international Alexis Vega who provides creativity and a goal threat from the sideline – Vega netted in Toluca’s Clausura title clincher and remains a focal point after a loan stint with Guadalajara. Central playmaker Marcel Ruiz, a 24-year-old contender for Mexico’s senior team, controls the midfield and has the vision to break down bottlenecks.

Across the back line, World Cup veteran Jesús Gallardo plies the left sideline and center-back Jesús Angulo provides experience and stability. In goal, Luis García comes off an heroic shootout appearance in Columbus having saved a late penalty kick in regulation and two spot-kicks in the tiebreaker.

For CF Montréal, the focal point of late has been forward Prince Owusu. The German-Ghanaian forward has caught fire with 10 goals in his last 10 games across all competitions. Owusu tallied the game-winner against León with his equalizer goal coming in the 62nd minute extending a hot run that has essentially single-handedly kept CF Montréal’s attack afloat. He’ll need assistance in this game from the services of attacking midfielder Bryce Duke and winger Lassi Lappalainen, who are capable of creating chances if given the space.

Toluca’s quality and form make them favorites in this matchup. Montréal showed fight in the opener, but Toluca’s depth in attack and championship pedigree should carry the day. Expect CF Montréal to put up resistance, but ultimately Toluca are likely to earn the victory. Our prediction for CF Montréal vs. Toluca: Toluca to win.

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5

+134
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Deportivo Toluca FC vs CF Montreal Picks
Up to $250 to bet on Deportivo Toluca FC - CF Montreal! 

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