Deportivo Toluca FC vs Monterrey Prediction & Picks - Liga MX

Mexico - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
5/10/25 21:00
Monterrey

Prediction:

 

CF Monterrey Total Goals in the 1st Half - Over 0.5

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 by Edgar Jibran in Liga MX Picks

Next Saturday the Liga MX playoffs will define the first two qualified teams for the Clausura 2025 semifinals, having the clash between Toluca and Monterrey as the first one to be disputed in next Saturday night's calendar. In this matter, it must be noted that these teams are expected to deliver another very spectacular game as both squads have players with great offensive quality.

Despite that, the big favoritism for this game is on Toluca’s side, as this team has been dominating the Mexican football league during the regular season with very solid performances when playing at home. However, it’s more than necessary to remember that this team couldn’t connect more than five passes in a row during the first leg, but they’ll only need a one-goal margin victory to get into the semifinals.

On Monterrey’s side, this team had a great and unexpected performance during the first leg, however their defensive errors cost them to lost the two-goals advantage they partially had. With that in mind, it’ll be very important to keep an eye on Sergio Ramos, who has a big chance of coming back to action for this game after an injury that didn’t allow him to participate in the first leg. Additionally, it’s worth noting that Berterame is very close to his best level, so he’s expected to generate some dangerous opportunities in this game.

Deportivo Toluca FC vs Monterrey Form

Deportivo Toluca FC and Monterrey Latest Matches

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC Latest matches
W W W W D L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

May 7, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
3 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC

Apr 19, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  2
CF Cruz Azul

Apr 16, 2025 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
0 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Apr 12, 2025 - Liga MX

Atlas FC
2 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Apr 6, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  1
Club Santos Laguna

Mar 29, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  2
CF Pachuca
W W W W W D
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Apr 19, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  2
CF Cruz Azul

Apr 6, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  1
Club Santos Laguna

Mar 29, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  2
CF Pachuca

Mar 8, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
5 :  2
Club Necaxa

Feb 26, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
5 :  0
Queretaro

Feb 15, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  1
Chivas
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

May 7, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
3 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC

Apr 16, 2025 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
0 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Apr 12, 2025 - Liga MX

Atlas FC
2 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Mar 14, 2025 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Mar 1, 2025 - Liga MX

CF America
3 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Feb 22, 2025 - Liga MX

FC Juarez
0 :  4
Deportivo Toluca FC
Monterrey
Monterrey Latest matches
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 7, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
3 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC

May 4, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
2 :  0
Pumas UNAM

Apr 27, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
1 :  2
CF Pachuca

Apr 20, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Leon
0 :  2
Monterrey

Apr 16, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
1 :  0
CF America

Apr 12, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
2 :  1
Monterrey
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 7, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
3 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC

May 4, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
2 :  0
Pumas UNAM

Apr 27, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
1 :  2
CF Pachuca

Apr 16, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
1 :  0
CF America

Apr 5, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
3 :  1
Chivas

Mar 29, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
1 :  2
Tijuana
L D D W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Apr 20, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Leon
0 :  2
Monterrey

Apr 12, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
2 :  1
Monterrey

Mar 16, 2025 - Liga MX

Pumas UNAM
1 :  3
Monterrey

Mar 8, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
1 :  1
Monterrey

Mar 5, 2025 - Concachampions

Vancouver Whitecaps
1 :  1
Monterrey

Feb 25, 2025 - Liga MX

Mazatlan FC
1 :  0
Monterrey

Deportivo Toluca FC against Monterrey : Head to Head (H2H)

Deportivo Toluca FC

33 %

Draw

33 %

Monterrey

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.17
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

May 7, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
3 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jan 18, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  1
Monterrey

Aug 31, 2024 - Liga MX

Monterrey
1 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC

Feb 18, 2024 - Liga MX

Monterrey
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Aug 30, 2023 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  0
Monterrey

Feb 5, 2023 - Liga MX

Monterrey
2 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Monterrey v Deportivo Toluca FC last Lineups

Deportivo Toluca FC

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

18
P. Lopez
2
D. Zaragoza
4
B. Mendez
6
F. Pereira
20
J. Gallardo
16
H. Herrera
14
M. Ruiz
7
J. Dominguez
10
R. Angulo
9
A. Vega
26
Paulinho
17
J. Corona
7
G. Berterame
10
S. Canales
8
O. Torres
30
J. Rodriguez
25
N. Deossa
3
G. Arteaga
4
V. Guzman
33
S. Medina
5
F. Ambriz Gonzalez
1
E. Andrada

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Monterrey

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Deportivo Toluca FC
CD Huachipato Monterrey
Top Goalscorer
Portugal Paulinho (12 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Mexico G. Berterame (11 Goals)
Best assists
Mexico A. Vega (8 Assists)
Best assists
Mexico J. Corona (8 Assists)

Deportivo Toluca FC and Monterrey Stats in Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
Monterrey
Monterrey
61%
Victories
50%
22%
Draw
20%
17%
Defeats
30%
3.78
Total goals per match
3.25
2.39
Goals scored per match
1.9
1.39
Goals conceded per match
1.35
78%
Over 2.5
60%
22%
Under 2.5
40%
67%
BTTS
75%
28%
No goals conceded
20%

Deportivo Toluca FC - Monterrey Key Points

  1. Toluca at home holds a streak of eight unbeaten games, being worth remembering that they scored two or more goals in their last six games.
  2. Monterrey has scored at least one goal during their last five away games in a row, losing only one of them against Tigres UANL (2-1).
  3. Toluca at home in direct duels against Monterrey, won only one out of their last five confrontations and only scored more than one goal in their 2-2 tie in April 2022.
  4. Monterrey in face-to-face away games against Toluca, couldn’t score only in one out of their last five confrontations in a row.

Our Deportivo Toluca FC vs Monterrey Prediction

To sum up, this second-leg is expected to be one of the most spectacular of the playoffs, and even though Toluca is considered as the big favorite team to get into the semifinals, the reality is that Monterrey has collected very positive results during their most recent confrontations and they’re really showing a better performance when playing away rather than when playing at the BBVA Stadium. Therefore, the pick for Deportivo Toluca FC – CF Monterrey is: CF Monterrey Total Goals in the 1st Half – Over 0.5!

Prediction:

 

CF Monterrey Total Goals in the 1st Half - Over 0.5

+120
$1500 offered for betting!

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