Deportivo Toluca FC vs Mazatlan FC Prediction & Picks - Liga MX

Mexico - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
9/27/25 21:00
Mazatlan FC

Prediction:

 

Toluca Goal from 16th to 30th Minute - Yes

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 by Edgar Jibran in Liga MX Picks

The most uneven game on Liga MX matchday 11 will take place next Saturday night with the clash between Toluca and Mazatlan, not only because of the notable quality differences of these teams, but also because the game will be played at Estadio Nemesio Diez. This venue has become a fortress for Toluca, and for this game the altitude is expected to bring them an additional advantage against Mazatlan.

However, following Antonio Mohamed’s pattern, some rotations are expected for this game to avoid any injuries on the needle mover players like Paulinho and even Alexis Vega. In this regard, it must be noted that Mohamed has taken this kind of approach against teams with lower profiles such as Puebla, and the absences have really had a negative impact on the team’s overall performance.

Taking that into consideration, it could give Mazatlan some survival chances during the first half, so they must try to take advantage of the few dangerous opportunities they might generate in that period. Nevertheless, their defense isn’t expected to provide any guarantees by the end of the game, so they most likely won’t be able to become one of the outsiders of the weekend.

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Deportivo Toluca FC vs Mazatlan FC Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
22 10 7 1 2 15
15
Mazatlan FC
Mazatlan FC
8 10 1 5 4 -5

Deportivo Toluca FC and Mazatlan FC Latest Matches

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC Latest matches
D L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 24, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
6 :  2
Monterrey

Sep 20, 2025 - Liga MX

Chivas
0 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Sep 13, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Puebla

Aug 29, 2025 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
1 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Aug 23, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
1 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Aug 20, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
0 :  0
Orlando City SC
W W D D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 24, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
6 :  2
Monterrey

Sep 13, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Puebla

Aug 20, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
0 :  0
Orlando City SC

Aug 16, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  1
Pumas UNAM

Aug 5, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  1
New York City

Aug 1, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  1
CF Montreal
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 20, 2025 - Liga MX

Chivas
0 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Aug 29, 2025 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
1 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Aug 23, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
1 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Aug 11, 2025 - Liga MX

FC Juarez
0 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jul 20, 2025 - Trofeo de Campeon de Campeones

CF America
1 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jul 16, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Santos Laguna
2 :  4
Deportivo Toluca FC
Mazatlan FC
Mazatlan FC Latest matches
L D L L D D
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 23, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Leon
2 :  2
Mazatlan FC

Sep 19, 2025 - Liga MX

Mazatlan FC
1 :  1
Atlas FC

Sep 12, 2025 - Liga MX

Mazatlan FC
1 :  4
Pumas UNAM

Aug 29, 2025 - Liga MX

FC Juarez
1 :  0
Mazatlan FC

Aug 23, 2025 - Liga MX

Mazatlan FC
2 :  2
Tigres UANL

Aug 17, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
3 :  2
Mazatlan FC
W L D D L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 19, 2025 - Liga MX

Mazatlan FC
1 :  1
Atlas FC

Sep 12, 2025 - Liga MX

Mazatlan FC
1 :  4
Pumas UNAM

Aug 23, 2025 - Liga MX

Mazatlan FC
2 :  2
Tigres UANL

Aug 9, 2025 - Liga MX

Mazatlan FC
2 :  2
Tijuana

Aug 5, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Mazatlan FC
0 :  2
San Diego FC

Jul 18, 2025 - Liga MX

Mazatlan FC
2 :  1
Puebla
L D W L L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Sep 23, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Leon
2 :  2
Mazatlan FC

Aug 29, 2025 - Liga MX

FC Juarez
1 :  0
Mazatlan FC

Aug 17, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
3 :  2
Mazatlan FC

Aug 1, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Houston Dynamo
0 :  2
Mazatlan FC

Jul 29, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Los Angeles FC
1 :  1
Mazatlan FC

Jul 26, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
1 :  0
Mazatlan FC

Deportivo Toluca FC against Mazatlan FC : Head to Head (H2H)

Deportivo Toluca FC

67 %

Draw

0 %

Mazatlan FC

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
67%
BTTS
2.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
83%
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5

Jan 24, 2025 - Liga MX

Mazatlan FC
2 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jan 4, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Mazatlan FC
1 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jul 17, 2024 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  0
Mazatlan FC

Jan 20, 2024 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
4 :  1
Mazatlan FC

Nov 10, 2023 - Liga MX

Mazatlan FC
1 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Mar 12, 2023 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
4 :  1
Mazatlan FC

Mazatlan FC v Deportivo Toluca FC last Lineups

Deportivo Toluca FC

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
H. Gonzalez
19
S. Simon
3
A. Briseno
6
F. Pereira
20
J. Gallardo
5
F. Romero
14
M. Ruiz
10
J. Angulo Uriarte
8
N. Castro
9
A. Vega
26
Paulinho
9
A. Duarte
34
O. Moreno
23
J. Sierra
10
N. Benedetti
11
E. Barcenas
16
J. Esquivel
14
M. Zaleta
19
L. Merolla
5
F. Almada
15
B. Colula
1
R. Gutierrez

Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1

Mazatlan FC

Missing players

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
Defender

B. Mendez

Mazatlan FC
Mazatlan FC
Midfielder

J. Esquivel

Forward

O. Moreno

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Deportivo Toluca FC
CD Huachipato Mazatlan FC
Top Goalscorer
Portugal Paulinho (21 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Colombia N. Benedetti (6 Goals)
Best assists
Mexico A. Vega (16 Assists)
Best assists
Colombia N. Benedetti (4 Assists)

Deportivo Toluca FC and Mazatlan FC Stats in Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
Mazatlan FC
Mazatlan FC
70%
Victories
10%
10%
Draw
50%
20%
Defeats
40%
4.1
Total goals per match
2.9
2.8
Goals scored per match
1.2
1.3
Goals conceded per match
1.7
70%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
Under 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
70%
20%
No goals conceded
10%

Deportivo Toluca FC - Mazatlan FC Key Points

  1. Toluca has a three-game unbeaten home streak in Liga MX, being worth noting that they scored three or more goals in their last two games.
  2. Mazatlan hasn’t been able to keep an away clean sheet since their surprising draw against Cruz Azul (0-0) at the beginning of the season.
  3. Toluca has won four of their all-time home games against Mazatlan and has scored two or more goals per game.
  4. Mazatlan scored more than one goal in only one of their fiveall-time away meetings against Toluca.
Up to $500+ to bet on Deportivo Toluca FC - Mazatlan FC! 

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Our Deportivo Toluca FC vs Mazatlan FC Prediction

Looking at all the historical results between these teams, the reality is that there are very few chances of having a surprise in this game after the impressive performance that Toluca had during their midweek victory over Monterrey (6-2), a result that allowed them to reach second place in the standings.

In conclusion, as Toluca must likely have some rotations in their initial line up, they aren’t expected to deliver such a spectacular first half like the one they produced against Monterrey, but the team is expected to dominate all game stats. Therefore, the pick for Deportivo Toluca FC – Mazatlan FC is: Toluca Goal from 16th to 30th Minute - Yes!

Prediction:

 

Toluca Goal from 16th to 30th Minute - Yes

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Deportivo Toluca FC vs Mazatlan FC Picks
Up to $500+ to bet on Deportivo Toluca FC - Mazatlan FC! 

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