Deportivo Toluca FC vs CF Cruz Azul Prediction & Picks - Liga MX

Mexico - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2/7/26 18:00
CF Cruz Azul

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5

-148
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 by Carlos Zabala | in Liga MX Picks

Toluca, the dominant force in Mexican soccer in recent years, currently sits in fifth place in Liga MX after four matches in the Clausura tournament. Now, the Red Devils face the challenge of compensating for the absence of Alexis Vega in midfield. The reliable midfielder for Toluca and the Mexican national team is injured, missed the January season, and manager Mohamed will also be without him for Toluca's upcoming match against Cruz Azul.

In a generally solid performance from Toluca, the midfield trio they fielded in their recent goalless draw against Puebla consisted of Castro, Angulo, and Córdoba. Toluca was considered the clear favorite to defeat Puebla at the Estadio Cuauhtémoc, but it was thanks to six saves by Daniel Gutiérrez that Toluca incredibly failed to score. Toluca also drew 0-0 with Puebla in the previous match, at the university stadium, in the second leg of the last Liga MX final against Tigres. Even so, the Red Devils defeated Monterrey and Santos and sit fifth in the standings with the best defense, having conceded only one goal.

Deportivo Toluca FC vs CF Cruz Azul Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 CF Cruz Azul
33 17 9 6 2 +13
5 Deportivo Toluca FC
30 17 8 6 3 +12

Deportivo Toluca FC and CF Cruz Azul Latest Matches

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC Latest matches
L W W W D D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jan 30, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jan 17, 2026 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jan 14, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Club Santos Laguna

Jan 10, 2026 - Liga MX

Monterrey
0 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Dec 14, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  1
Tigres UANL

Dec 11, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
1 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC
D W D W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 14, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Club Santos Laguna

Dec 14, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  1
Tigres UANL

Dec 6, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  2
Monterrey

Nov 29, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
0 :  0
FC Juarez

Nov 8, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  0
CF America

Oct 26, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  2
CF Pachuca
W L L W D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Jan 30, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jan 17, 2026 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jan 10, 2026 - Liga MX

Monterrey
0 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Dec 11, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
1 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Dec 3, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
1 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Nov 26, 2025 - Liga MX

FC Juarez
1 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC
CF Cruz Azul
CF Cruz Azul Latest matches
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Feb 4, 2026 - Concachampions

Vancouver FC
0 :  3
CF Cruz Azul

Jan 30, 2026 - Liga MX

FC Juarez
3 :  4
CF Cruz Azul

Jan 17, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
1 :  0
Puebla

Jan 14, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
2 :  0
Atlas FC

Jan 10, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Leon
2 :  1
CF Cruz Azul

Dec 10, 2025 - FIFA Intercontinental Cup

CF Cruz Azul
1 :  2
Flamengo
L W D L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jan 17, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
1 :  0
Puebla

Jan 14, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
2 :  0
Atlas FC

Dec 10, 2025 - FIFA Intercontinental Cup

CF Cruz Azul
1 :  2
Flamengo

Dec 3, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
1 :  1
Tigres UANL

Nov 30, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
3 :  2
Chivas

Nov 8, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
2 :  3
Pumas UNAM
W D D L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Feb 4, 2026 - Concachampions

Vancouver FC
0 :  3
CF Cruz Azul

Jan 30, 2026 - Liga MX

FC Juarez
3 :  4
CF Cruz Azul

Jan 10, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Leon
2 :  1
CF Cruz Azul

Dec 6, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
1 :  1
CF Cruz Azul

Nov 27, 2025 - Liga MX

Chivas
0 :  0
CF Cruz Azul

Oct 31, 2025 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  3
CF Cruz Azul

Deportivo Toluca FC against CF Cruz Azul : Head to Head (H2H)

Deportivo Toluca FC

17 %

Draw

33 %

CF Cruz Azul

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Aug 23, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
1 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Apr 19, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  2
CF Cruz Azul

Jul 20, 2024 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
1 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Apr 27, 2024 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
0 :  1
CF Cruz Azul

Feb 12, 2023 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
CF Cruz Azul

Feb 20, 2022 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  4
CF Cruz Azul

Deportivo Toluca FC against CF Cruz Azul Lineups: Starting 11

Deportivo Toluca FC

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
H. Gonzalez Duran
20
J. Gallardo
6
F. Pereira
25
E. del Villar
4
B. Mendez
8
N. Castro
5
F. Romero
19
S. Simon
14
M. Ruiz
10
J. Angulo Uriarte
26
Paulinho
19
C. Rodriguez
214
M. Levy
20
J. Paradela
29
C. Rotondi
16
J. Marquez
8
A. Palavecino
3
O. Chagoya
33
G. Piovi
6
E. Lira
4
W. Ditta
1
A. Gudino

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

CF Cruz Azul

Substitutes

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
Goalkeeper

L. Garcia

Defender

M. Isais

Luan

D. Zaragoza

S. Simon 75'

Midfielder

V. Arteaga

F. Cordova

J. Angulo Uriarte 75'

J. Diaz

Forward

P. Perez

N. Castro 53'

O. Virgen

F. Rossi

F. Romero 88'

CF Cruz Azul
CF Cruz Azul
Goalkeeper

E. Ochoa

Defender

J. Rodarte Barragan

O. Chagoya 46'

Midfielder

R. Gonzalez

A. Garcia

J. Paradela 82'

A. Montano

E. Sanchez Miranda

D. Valdez

Forward

L. Romero

C. Rodriguez 73'

A. Morales Rosas

J. Marquez 73'

O. Ebere

M. Levy 64'

Missing players

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
CF Cruz Azul
CF Cruz Azul
Defender

J. Orozco

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Deportivo Toluca FC
CD Huachipato CF Cruz Azul
Top Goalscorer
Portugal Paulinho (6 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Argentina J. Paradela (7 Goals)
Best assists
Mexico J. Gallardo (4 Assists)
Best assists
Argentina J. Paradela (5 Assists)

Deportivo Toluca FC - CF Cruz Azul Key Points

  1. Toluca controlled 70% possession and had 28 shots against Puebla
  2. The last time Cruz Azul visited Estadio Nemesio Díaz, they drew 2-2
  3. Cruz Azul achieved a high xG of 2.37 in their last Concacaf Champions League victory
  4. Toluca had 12 corner kicks and didn't concede any in the draw against Puebla

Our Deportivo Toluca FC vs CF Cruz Azul Prediction

Cruz Azul reacted quickly and in good form after losing their opening match against León, winning three consecutive league games. Three days after surviving and winning convincingly in the extreme cold against Vancouver FC, they arrive inspired, but with a long journey behind them, for the match against Toluca.

Cruz Azul displayed a ferocious attack in their last victory. Palavecino, Parradela, Rotondi, and Rodríguez scored in a lopsided match that they won 4-3 away against Juárez, in which Gabriel Fernández, after making two assists, was sent off, which is why he will not play against Toluca.

Our prediction for Toluca vs Cruz Azul is: Over 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5

-148
$350 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Deportivo Toluca FC vs CF Cruz Azul Picks