Deportivo Toluca FC vs Chivas Prediction & Picks - Liga MX

Mexico - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2/28/26 18:00
Chivas

Prediction:

 

Both teams to score.

-165
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 by Stephen Abiola | in Liga MX Picks

Deportivo Toluca FC and Chivas Guadalajara will clash in the Mexican Liga MX Clausura on Saturday night. Toluca has got off to a strong start this season, avoiding defeat in all seven of their assignments. They started the season with back-to-back wins against Monterrey and Santos Laguna before drawing their next three matches. However, they bounced back with wins over Club Tijuana and Necaxa, and will be eager to make it three straight wins this weekend.

Chivas Guadalajara, on the other hand, has been in red-hot form, setting the stage for an exciting clash. They won six of their last seven assignments to sit on top of the Clausura standings with 18 points. However, their last match ended in a 2-1 loss on the road to Cruz Azul. Chivas equalized in the 81st minute through Angel Sepulveda before conceding 4 minutes later to taste their first defeat this season. They’ll want to bounce back immediately from this loss.

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Deportivo Toluca FC vs Chivas Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Chivas
36 17 11 3 3 +16
5 Deportivo Toluca FC
30 17 8 6 3 +12

Deportivo Toluca FC and Chivas Latest Matches

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC Latest matches
W D D D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Feb 21, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Necaxa
0 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Feb 13, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  0
Tijuana

Feb 7, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  1
CF Cruz Azul

Jan 30, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jan 17, 2026 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jan 14, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Club Santos Laguna
D W W W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Feb 13, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  0
Tijuana

Feb 7, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  1
CF Cruz Azul

Jan 14, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Club Santos Laguna

Dec 14, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  1
Tigres UANL

Dec 6, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  2
Monterrey

Nov 29, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
0 :  0
FC Juarez
L L W D D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1 Total goals
0% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Feb 21, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Necaxa
0 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jan 30, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jan 17, 2026 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jan 10, 2026 - Liga MX

Monterrey
0 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Dec 11, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
1 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Dec 3, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
1 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC
Chivas
Chivas Latest matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Feb 21, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
2 :  1
Chivas

Feb 14, 2026 - Liga MX

Chivas
1 :  0
CF America

Feb 6, 2026 - Liga MX

Mazatlan FC
1 :  2
Chivas

Jan 31, 2026 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
2 :  3
Chivas

Jan 17, 2026 - Liga MX

Chivas
2 :  1
Queretaro

Jan 13, 2026 - Liga MX

FC Juarez
0 :  1
Chivas
W W D W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Feb 14, 2026 - Liga MX

Chivas
1 :  0
CF America

Jan 17, 2026 - Liga MX

Chivas
2 :  1
Queretaro

Jan 10, 2026 - Liga MX

Chivas
2 :  0
CF Pachuca

Nov 27, 2025 - Liga MX

Chivas
0 :  0
CF Cruz Azul

Nov 8, 2025 - Liga MX

Chivas
4 :  2
Monterrey

Oct 25, 2025 - Liga MX

Chivas
4 :  1
Atlas FC
W D W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Feb 21, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
2 :  1
Chivas

Feb 6, 2026 - Liga MX

Mazatlan FC
1 :  2
Chivas

Jan 31, 2026 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
2 :  3
Chivas

Jan 13, 2026 - Liga MX

FC Juarez
0 :  1
Chivas

Jan 3, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Atlas FC
0 :  0
Chivas

Dec 28, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Irapuato
0 :  4
Chivas

Deportivo Toluca FC against Chivas : Head to Head (H2H)

Deportivo Toluca FC

33 %

Draw

33 %

Chivas

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Sep 20, 2025 - Liga MX

Chivas
0 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Feb 15, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  1
Chivas

Jul 6, 2024 - Liga MX

Chivas
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

May 11, 2024 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
0 :  0
Chivas

May 8, 2024 - Liga MX

Chivas
1 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jan 30, 2024 - Liga MX

Chivas
3 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC

Deportivo Toluca FC against Chivas Lineups: Starting 11

Deportivo Toluca FC

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

22
L. Garcia
2
D. Barbosa
6
F. Pereira
4
B. Mendez
20
J. Gallardo
29
J. Diaz
5
F. Romero
19
S. Simon
10
R. Angulo
26
Paulinho
14
M. Ruiz
34
A. Gonzalez
10
E. Alvarez
25
R. Alvarado
5
B. Gonzalez
28
R. Gonzalez
7
L. Romo
37
R. Ledezma
2
J. Castillo
19
D. Campillo Del Campo
23
D. Aguirre
1
R. Rangel

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Chivas

Substitutes

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
Goalkeeper

H. Gonzalez

Defender

M. Isais

E. del Villar

S. Simon 46'

A. Briseno

Luan

J. Gallardo 90'

Midfielder

S. Cordova

F. Arce

M. Ruiz 90'

Forward

F. Rossi

P. Perez

R. Angulo 75'

Helinho

J. Diaz 72'

Chivas
Chivas
Goalkeeper

O. Whalley

Defender

G. Sepulveda

M. Gomez Ortiz

Midfielder

J. Padilla

B. Gutierrez

L. Romo 40'

S. Sandoval Gonzalez

J. Castillo 46'

H. Camberos

R. Ledezma 46'

O. Govea

Forward

A. Sepulveda

E. Alvarez 46'

R. Marin

A. Gonzalez 60'

Missing players

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
Chivas
Chivas
Defender

Leonardo Sepúlveda

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Deportivo Toluca FC
CD Huachipato Chivas
Top Goalscorer
Portugal Paulinho (6 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Mexico A. Gonzalez (12 Goals)
Best assists
Mexico J. Gallardo (4 Assists)
Best assists
Mexico E. Alvarez (4 Assists)

Deportivo Toluca FC - Chivas Key Points

  1. Both teams scored in three of the last four Chivas matches.
  2. Deportivo Toluca won three of their last four home matches.
  3. Both teams scored in four of the last five Deportivo Toluca home games.
  4. Deportivo Toluca lost only once in their last 10 matches.
Up to $200 to bet on Deportivo Toluca FC - Chivas! 

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Our Deportivo Toluca FC vs Chivas Prediction

Deportivo Toluca is the warm -108 betting favorite in this matchup. They’ve been solid at Estadio Nemesio Diez this season, and their recent performances have been inspiring. Deportivo Toluca boasts the best defensive record in the league, giving up only 2 goals so far. However, that resilience will be seriously tested by Chivas’ sharp attackers, who have scored 12 goals this season. The visitors also won seven of their last eight matches, including three of their previous four away contests. We think their fluid attack will likely cause a few problems for the visitors and score a goal or two. Still, Deportivo Toluca should edge it.

Our prediction for Deportivo Toluca vs Chivas Guadalajara: Both teams to score.

Prediction:

 

Both teams to score.

-165
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Deportivo Toluca FC vs Chivas Picks