Deportivo Toluca FC vs Atlas FC Prediction & Picks - Liga MX
Mexico - Liga MX
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by Carlos Zabala | in Liga MX Picks
The current two-time Mexican soccer champion and new dominant force, Toluca, remains undefeated in this Clausura tournament. They defeated Juárez 3-1 in the previous match, have scored two or more goals in their last five games, and are currently only behind Cruz Azul in the standings.
Toluca's attack in their last Liga MX match featured Rossi up front, with Helinho, Córdova, and Castro behind him. The Brazilian striker had a truly outstanding game, completing 34 of his 35 attempted passes.
However, Toluca is coming off their first loss of the season in the United States against San Diego FC. It was a particularly frustrating defeat; Toluca played with a man advantage from the 12th minute onward but still lost 3-2 in the Concacaf Champions League.
Atlas, Toluca's next opponent, has been unpredictable, but five wins in 10 Liga MX matches have Diego Cocca's team in the playoff zone. However, Los Zorros are coming off a 1-2 loss in Jalisco against Guadalajara.
Limited Offer. Currently at FanDuel
Deportivo Toluca FC vs Atlas FC Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
30 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | +12 |
|
6
|
26 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | -2 |
Deportivo Toluca FC and Atlas FC Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 11, 2026 - Concachampions
Mar 8, 2026 - Liga MX
Mar 3, 2026 - Liga MX
Feb 28, 2026 - Liga MX
Feb 21, 2026 - Liga MX
Feb 13, 2026 - Liga MX
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 8, 2026 - Liga MX
Feb 28, 2026 - Liga MX
Feb 13, 2026 - Liga MX
Feb 7, 2026 - Liga MX
Jan 14, 2026 - Liga MX
Dec 14, 2025 - Liga MX
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 11, 2026 - Concachampions
Mar 3, 2026 - Liga MX
Feb 21, 2026 - Liga MX
Jan 30, 2026 - Liga MX
Jan 17, 2026 - Liga MX
Jan 10, 2026 - Liga MX
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 7, 2026 - Liga MX
Mar 4, 2026 - Liga MX
Feb 27, 2026 - Liga MX
Feb 21, 2026 - Liga MX
Feb 14, 2026 - Liga MX
Feb 7, 2026 - Liga MX
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 7, 2026 - Liga MX
Mar 4, 2026 - Liga MX
Feb 21, 2026 - Liga MX
Feb 7, 2026 - Liga MX
Jan 31, 2026 - Liga MX
Jan 9, 2026 - Liga MX
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 27, 2026 - Liga MX
Feb 14, 2026 - Liga MX
Jan 17, 2026 - Liga MX
Jan 14, 2026 - Liga MX
Nov 7, 2025 - Liga MX
Oct 25, 2025 - Liga MX
Deportivo Toluca FC against Atlas FC : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Nov 1, 2025 - Liga MX
Apr 12, 2025 - Liga MX
Sep 28, 2024 - Liga MX
Apr 7, 2024 - Liga MX
Aug 26, 2023 - Liga MX
Feb 1, 2023 - Liga MX
Deportivo Toluca FC against Atlas FC Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Substitutes
H. Gonzalez
DefenderD. Barbosa
B. Mendez
M. Isais
MidfielderF. Romero
J. Diaz
N. Castro
R. Angulo
Helinho
Paulinho
A. Sanchez
DefenderR. Pier
A. Mora
MidfielderJ. Guillen
J. Serrato
V. Rios
G. Del Prete
L. Gamboa
J. Martin
E. Aguirre
Most goals and assists
Deportivo Toluca FC
Atlas FC
Paulinho
(6 Goals)
A. Gonzalez
(7 Goals)
J. Gallardo
(4 Assists)
D. Gonzalez
(3 Assists)
Deportivo Toluca FC - Atlas FC Key Points
- Atlas generated only an xG of 0.27 against Guadalajara
- Toluca came from behind 19 times in their 3-1 victory against Juárez
- Toluca scored three penalty goals in their last two matches
- Atlas hasn't beaten Toluca since 2022
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Our Deportivo Toluca FC vs Atlas FC Prediction
At the moment, betting against Toluca seems like a high-risk proposition. Toluca, in fact, ended Guadalajara's winning streak when Chivas were on a roll, but Toluca used a tactical approach and defeated them with goals from Gallardo and Díaz.
Defender Jesús Gallardo is another player having a good season with Toluca; he was undoubtedly the best player in the United States against San Diego FC. Atlas, for its part, loaned out its top scorer of recent seasons, while Toluca currently brings together experienced players with Mexican players at the peak of their careers.
Our prediction for Toluca vs Atlas is: Toluca -1.5.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
