Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Denver Nuggets
5/7/25 21:30
Oklahoma City Thunder

Prediction:

 

Denver Nuggets +11

-110
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 by Matt Lowrimore in NBA Picks

This second round Western Conference semifinals series between the fourth-seeded Denver Nuggets and top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder will continue on Wednesday night with Game 2. Let’s take a look at the match predictions and statistics to see if Denver can increase their advantage or if Oklahoma City can fight back to even the series.

Denver enters this game with a surprising 1-0 series lead after coming back to beat the Thunder in Game 1 by a score of 121-119. The Nuggets were extremely well balanced in this game, with four of their five starters scoring in double figures.

The leading scorer for Denver was no other than Nikola Jokic, who posted a game-high 42 points, while also grabbing 22 rebounds. Despite Jokic’s amazing performance, it was Aaron Gordon who was the hero in Game 1, as his go-ahead three-pointer sealed the upset win for the Nuggets with just seconds left on the clock. 

As for Oklahoma City, they have immediately handed Denver home court advantage in this series and now find themselves in a must-win situation in Game 2. Like the Nuggets, the Thunder were well-balanced offensively, as all five of their starters scored in double figures. MVP candidate, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led Oklahoma City in scoring with 33 points and 10 rebounds.

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Form

Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder Latest Matches

Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets Latest matches
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 5, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
121 :  119
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 3, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
101 :  120
Denver Nuggets

May 1, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
105 :  111
LA Clippers

Apr 29, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
115 :  131
Denver Nuggets

Apr 26, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
101 :  99
LA Clippers

Apr 24, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
83 :  117
LA Clippers
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 3, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
101 :  120
Denver Nuggets

Apr 29, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
115 :  131
Denver Nuggets

Apr 21, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
105 :  102
Denver Nuggets

Apr 19, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
110 :  112
Denver Nuggets

Apr 11, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
109 :  117
Denver Nuggets

Apr 6, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
125 :  120
Denver Nuggets
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 5, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
121 :  119
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 1, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
105 :  111
LA Clippers

Apr 26, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
101 :  99
LA Clippers

Apr 24, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
83 :  117
LA Clippers

Apr 13, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
126 :  111
Houston Rockets

Apr 9, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
124 :  116
Sacramento Kings
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder Latest matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 5, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
121 :  119
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 26, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
117 :  115
Memphis Grizzlies

Apr 24, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
114 :  108
Memphis Grizzlies

Apr 22, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
99 :  118
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 20, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
80 :  131
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 13, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
115 :  100
New Orleans Pelicans
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 5, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
121 :  119
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 22, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
99 :  118
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 20, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
80 :  131
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 8, 2025 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
120 :  136
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 6, 2025 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
126 :  99
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 2, 2025 - NBA

Detroit Pistons
103 :  119
Oklahoma City Thunder
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Apr 26, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
117 :  115
Memphis Grizzlies

Apr 24, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
114 :  108
Memphis Grizzlies

Apr 13, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
115 :  100
New Orleans Pelicans

Apr 11, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
145 :  111
Utah Jazz

Apr 9, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
125 :  112
Phoenix Suns

Apr 4, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
111 :  125
Houston Rockets

Denver Nuggets against Oklahoma City Thunder : Head to Head (H2H)

Denver Nuggets

50 %

Oklahoma City Thunder

50 %

May 5, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
121 :  119
Oklahoma City Thunder

Mar 10, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
140 :  127
Oklahoma City Thunder

Mar 9, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
103 :  127
Oklahoma City Thunder

Nov 6, 2024 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
122 :  124
Denver Nuggets

Oct 24, 2024 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
102 :  87
Denver Nuggets

Jan 31, 2024 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
100 :  105
Oklahoma City Thunder

Denver Nuggets - Oklahoma City Thunder Key Points

  1. Denver outrebounded OKC in Game 1, 63 to 43
  2. OKC blew a 9-point lead with three minutes to play
  3. OKC shot 71.4% from the free-throw line
  4. Denver is 4-4 ATS in the playoffs

Our Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

The point spread is head-scratching for Game 2 as the Thunder just lost Game 1 as a double-digit favorite and now find themselves as a double-digit favorite in Game 2. The Thunder will no doubt be out to make amends for their Game 1 collapse, but as Denver showed on Monday, they will not go down without a fight.

The bigger concern for the Thunder is finding a way to slow down Nikola Jokic. As mentioned, Jokic had an absurd stat line in Game 1 with 42 points and 22 rebounds. Further, he shot 15 of 29 from the field, so he was also extremely efficient.  

Despite the loss in Game 1, Oklahoma City was the best home team in the league this season, so while there is a good chance that they will even this series, beating the Nuggets by 10+ is too much of a risk. For that reason, our Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction is Denver Nuggets +11.

Prediction:

 

Denver Nuggets +11

-110
$200 offered for betting!

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Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Picks