Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
4/30/26 21:30
Denver Nuggets

Prediction:

 

The Nuggets -5.5 points

-114
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 by Lou Aguila | in NBA Picks

The Denver Nuggets are poised to clear a -5.5-point handicap in Game 6 of their Western Conference first-round series with the short-handed Minnesota Timberwolves.

Momentum: The Timberwolves face a must-win situation in Game 6 of their Western Conference first-round series with the Nuggets.

After seizing a commanding 3-1 lead, the short-handed Wolves fell to the Nuggets, 113-125, in Game 5, clearly missing the explosive offense from their injured star Anthony Edwards.

As for the Nuggets, they are in a terrific spot to force a Game 7. They will continue to exploit the void left by Edwards, who cannot only provide instant offense but also solid defensive coverage on Jamal Murray and other Nuggets’ guards.

The Matchup: Denver is 2-4 in its last 6 meetings against Minnesota and 5-10 in their last 15 head-to-head meetings. The Wolves are 5-2 in their last five home games against the Nuggets. This includes victories in Game 3 (113-96) and Game 4 (112-96).

Hot on the Board: The Nuggets are the favorites at -225 because they have the momentum and a much healthier roster. Despite their strong record at home against the Nuggets, the Wolves still opened at +188 on the moneyline and -106 with a +5.5-game boost on the spread line. The total has been lowered for the fourth time in this series, pegging at over/under 224.5 points from 225.5 points in Game 5.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Form

Minnesota Timberwolves and Denver Nuggets Latest Matches

Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves Latest matches
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 27, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
125 :  113
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 25, 2026 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
112 :  96
Denver Nuggets

Apr 23, 2026 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
113 :  96
Denver Nuggets

Apr 20, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
114 :  119
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 18, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
116 :  105
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 12, 2026 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
132 :  126
New Orleans Pelicans
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 25, 2026 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
112 :  96
Denver Nuggets

Apr 23, 2026 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
113 :  96
Denver Nuggets

Apr 12, 2026 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
132 :  126
New Orleans Pelicans

Apr 5, 2026 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
108 :  122
Charlotte Hornets

Mar 28, 2026 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
87 :  109
Detroit Pistons

Mar 25, 2026 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
110 :  108
Houston Rockets
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Apr 27, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
125 :  113
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 20, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
114 :  119
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 18, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
116 :  105
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 10, 2026 - NBA

Houston Rockets
132 :  136
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 8, 2026 - NBA

Orlando Magic
132 :  120
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 7, 2026 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
104 :  124
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets Latest matches
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Apr 27, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
125 :  113
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 25, 2026 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
112 :  96
Denver Nuggets

Apr 23, 2026 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
113 :  96
Denver Nuggets

Apr 20, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
114 :  119
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 18, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
116 :  105
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 12, 2026 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
118 :  128
Denver Nuggets
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Apr 27, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
125 :  113
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 20, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
114 :  119
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 18, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
116 :  105
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 10, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
127 :  107
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 8, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
136 :  119
Memphis Grizzlies

Apr 6, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
137 :  132
Portland Trail Blazers
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Apr 25, 2026 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
112 :  96
Denver Nuggets

Apr 23, 2026 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
113 :  96
Denver Nuggets

Apr 12, 2026 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
118 :  128
Denver Nuggets

Apr 1, 2026 - NBA

Utah Jazz
117 :  130
Denver Nuggets

Mar 24, 2026 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
123 :  125
Denver Nuggets

Mar 18, 2026 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
125 :  118
Denver Nuggets

Minnesota Timberwolves against Denver Nuggets : Head to Head (H2H)

Minnesota Timberwolves

67 %

Denver Nuggets

33 %

Apr 27, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
125 :  113
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 25, 2026 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
112 :  96
Denver Nuggets

Apr 23, 2026 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
113 :  96
Denver Nuggets

Apr 20, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
114 :  119
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 18, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
116 :  105
Minnesota Timberwolves

Mar 1, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
108 :  117
Minnesota Timberwolves

Players list

Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves
R. Gobert J. Randle

T. Shannon Jr.

M. Conley

J. McDaniels

Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
N. Jokic

C. Braun

J. Murray

S. Jones

C. Johnson

Substitutes

Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves
N. Reid J. Beringer

J. Clark

B. Hyland

A. Dosunmu

J. Phillips

J. Ingles

Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
Z. Nnaji D. Holmes II J. Valanciunas T. Hardaway Jr. B. Brown

J. Strawther

J. Pickett

T. Jones

Minnesota Timberwolves - Denver Nuggets Key Points

  1. Denver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games against Minnesota.
  2. Denver is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road.
  3. Minnesota is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing as the underdog.
  4. Minnesota will still play without Anthony Edwards (knee) in Game 6

Our Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

The Nuggets are the no-brainer pick to win and cover the spread in Game 6 against the Wolves. Without their starting backcourt of Donte DiVincenzo and Anthony Edwards, the Wolves don’t possess enough firepower to outscore these run-and-gun Nuggets.

The Wolves will remain a strong defensive team because they still have defensive stalwarts Rudy Gobert and Jaden McDaniels.

Ayo Dosunmu will still put up respectable numbers across the board, especially now that he has fully assumed the starting guard role from DiVincenzo, though the Nuggets will never let him drop 40+ points again in this series.

Julius Randle will continue to lead this team as much as he can without his co-star. But again, without Ant-Man, the Wolves have been reduced from a legit playoff threat to a decent squad without a superstar.

Never mind that the Nuggets are 1-6 in their last seven games on the road. Denver, powered by Jokic and Murray, will blow out again Minnesota and force a Game 7 in Mile High.

Our betting prediction for the Denver Nuggets vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves: The Nuggets -5.5 points

Prediction:

 

The Nuggets -5.5 points

-114
$350 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Picks