Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks - NBA
USA - NBA
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by Erik Gibbs | in NBA Picks
The Dallas Mavericks and Denver Nuggets face each other with Dallas trying to halt a slide while Denver looks to keep its stronger overall form intact. Dallas's recent results have reflected a team that can produce points but has struggled to string together complete performances. Across the last several games, the Mavericks have repeatedly allowed opponents to build momentum through extended runs, and once those stretches appear, Dallas has often been forced into difficult, higher-variance offensive possessions to recover.
At home, the Mavericks have been more competitive in patches, but their results still show problems closing quarters cleanly and maintaining defensive shape when the pace increases. Even in games where Dallas has shot well, the margin for error has been thin because they have not consistently limited second chances or kept opponents out of rhythm.
Denver's recent form has been steadier and more predictable. The Nuggets have shown an ability to manage games through tempo control, half-court execution, and stretches of defensive discipline that keep opponents from getting comfortable.
While Denver has not been flawless over the past few weeks, their results indicate a higher baseline: they tend to remain within their structure even when shots are not falling, and they have been capable of winning in multiple styles, including lower-possession games where patience matters. Recent outcomes also suggest Denver is better equipped to handle late-game situations, particularly on the road, where they have produced several controlled wins by staying organized deep into the fourth quarter.
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Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
0.675 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 2 |
|
23
|
0.375 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 1 |
Dallas Mavericks and Denver Nuggets Latest Matches
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Dallas Mavericks against Denver Nuggets : Head to Head (H2H)
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Dallas Mavericks - Denver Nuggets Key Points
- The Over is 6-0 in the Nuggets’ last 6 road games on the second leg of a back-to-back
- The Over is 0-6 in the Mavs’ last six games
- The Nuggets are 11-1 in their last 12 road games on the second leg of a back-to-back
- The Mavs are 0-6 in their last 6 games as the first leg of a back-to-back vs. the Nuggets
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Our Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction
Dallas has leaned heavily on P.J. Washington's recent production, with steady scoring plus strong rebounding numbers that help Dallas remain competitive when the game becomes physical. Rookie Cooper Flagg has also posted multiple high-scoring performances in recent outings, showing the ability to generate offense against set defenses and keep Dallas within reach even when possessions tighten.
For Denver, Jamal Murray has continued to deliver consistent scoring and shot creation, with a recent stretch featuring several efficient games that stabilized Denver's offense late. Michael Porter Jr. has complemented that with reliable perimeter production, including games where his shooting has forced defenses to stretch and opened space for Denver's half-court flow.
Matchup-wise, Denver's depth and more consistent two-way results make them the stronger side on paper. Dallas can keep it close if they hit shots early and avoid the defensive lapses that have shaped recent losses, but Denver's ability to execute across longer stretches looks like the key separator. Denver will show steadier possessions and better late-game management, likely winning by a modest margin rather than running away with it. Our prediction for Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets: Over 226.5 points.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.