Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
1/14/26 21:30
Denver Nuggets

Prediction:

 

Over 226.5

-108
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 by Erik Gibbs | in NBA Picks

The Dallas Mavericks and Denver Nuggets face each other with Dallas trying to halt a slide while Denver looks to keep its stronger overall form intact. Dallas's recent results have reflected a team that can produce points but has struggled to string together complete performances. Across the last several games, the Mavericks have repeatedly allowed opponents to build momentum through extended runs, and once those stretches appear, Dallas has often been forced into difficult, higher-variance offensive possessions to recover.

At home, the Mavericks have been more competitive in patches, but their results still show problems closing quarters cleanly and maintaining defensive shape when the pace increases. Even in games where Dallas has shot well, the margin for error has been thin because they have not consistently limited second chances or kept opponents out of rhythm.

Denver's recent form has been steadier and more predictable. The Nuggets have shown an ability to manage games through tempo control, half-court execution, and stretches of defensive discipline that keep opponents from getting comfortable.

While Denver has not been flawless over the past few weeks, their results indicate a higher baseline: they tend to remain within their structure even when shots are not falling, and they have been capable of winning in multiple styles, including lower-possession games where patience matters. Recent outcomes also suggest Denver is better equipped to handle late-game situations, particularly on the road, where they have produced several controlled wins by staying organized deep into the fourth quarter.

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
3
Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
0.675 40 27 13 2
23
Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks
0.375 40 15 25 1

Dallas Mavericks and Denver Nuggets Latest Matches

Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks Latest matches
L W W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jan 12, 2026 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
113 :  105
Brooklyn Nets

Jan 10, 2026 - NBA

Chicago Bulls
125 :  107
Dallas Mavericks

Jan 8, 2026 - NBA

Utah Jazz
116 :  114
Dallas Mavericks

Jan 6, 2026 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
98 :  100
Dallas Mavericks

Jan 3, 2026 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
110 :  104
Houston Rockets

Jan 1, 2026 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
108 :  123
Philadelphia 76ers
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jan 12, 2026 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
113 :  105
Brooklyn Nets

Jan 3, 2026 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
110 :  104
Houston Rockets

Jan 1, 2026 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
108 :  123
Philadelphia 76ers

Dec 23, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
131 :  130
Denver Nuggets

Dec 18, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
116 :  114
Detroit Pistons

Dec 12, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
119 :  111
Brooklyn Nets
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Jan 10, 2026 - NBA

Chicago Bulls
125 :  107
Dallas Mavericks

Jan 8, 2026 - NBA

Utah Jazz
116 :  114
Dallas Mavericks

Jan 6, 2026 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
98 :  100
Dallas Mavericks

Dec 29, 2025 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
125 :  122
Dallas Mavericks

Dec 27, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
113 :  107
Dallas Mavericks

Dec 25, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
126 :  116
Dallas Mavericks
Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets Latest matches
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jan 13, 2026 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
116 :  122
Denver Nuggets

Jan 11, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
108 :  104
Milwaukee Bucks

Jan 9, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
87 :  110
Atlanta Hawks

Jan 7, 2026 - NBA

Boston Celtics
110 :  114
Denver Nuggets

Jan 5, 2026 - NBA

Philadelphia 76ers
124 :  125
Denver Nuggets

Jan 4, 2026 - NBA

Brooklyn Nets
127 :  115
Denver Nuggets
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jan 11, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
108 :  104
Milwaukee Bucks

Jan 9, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
87 :  110
Atlanta Hawks

Dec 25, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
142 :  138
Minnesota Timberwolves

Dec 22, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
135 :  112
Utah Jazz

Dec 20, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
101 :  115
Houston Rockets

Dec 18, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
126 :  115
Orlando Magic
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jan 13, 2026 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
116 :  122
Denver Nuggets

Jan 7, 2026 - NBA

Boston Celtics
110 :  114
Denver Nuggets

Jan 5, 2026 - NBA

Philadelphia 76ers
124 :  125
Denver Nuggets

Jan 4, 2026 - NBA

Brooklyn Nets
127 :  115
Denver Nuggets

Jan 2, 2026 - NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers
113 :  108
Denver Nuggets

Dec 31, 2025 - NBA

Toronto Raptors
103 :  106
Denver Nuggets

Dallas Mavericks against Denver Nuggets : Head to Head (H2H)

Dallas Mavericks

50 %

Denver Nuggets

50 %

Dec 23, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
131 :  130
Denver Nuggets

Dec 1, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
121 :  131
Dallas Mavericks

Jan 14, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
99 :  118
Denver Nuggets

Jan 12, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
101 :  112
Denver Nuggets

Nov 22, 2024 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
120 :  123
Dallas Mavericks

Nov 10, 2024 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
122 :  120
Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks - Denver Nuggets Key Points

  1. The Over is 6-0 in the Nuggets’ last 6 road games on the second leg of a back-to-back
  2. The Over is 0-6 in the Mavs’ last six games
  3. The Nuggets are 11-1 in their last 12 road games on the second leg of a back-to-back
  4. The Mavs are 0-6 in their last 6 games as the first leg of a back-to-back vs. the Nuggets

Our Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Dallas has leaned heavily on P.J. Washington's recent production, with steady scoring plus strong rebounding numbers that help Dallas remain competitive when the game becomes physical. Rookie Cooper Flagg has also posted multiple high-scoring performances in recent outings, showing the ability to generate offense against set defenses and keep Dallas within reach even when possessions tighten.

For Denver, Jamal Murray has continued to deliver consistent scoring and shot creation, with a recent stretch featuring several efficient games that stabilized Denver's offense late. Michael Porter Jr. has complemented that with reliable perimeter production, including games where his shooting has forced defenses to stretch and opened space for Denver's half-court flow.

Matchup-wise, Denver's depth and more consistent two-way results make them the stronger side on paper. Dallas can keep it close if they hit shots early and avoid the defensive lapses that have shaped recent losses, but Denver's ability to execute across longer stretches looks like the key separator. Denver will show steadier possessions and better late-game management, likely winning by a modest margin rather than running away with it. Our prediction for Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets: Over 226.5 points.

Prediction:

 

Over 226.5

-108
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Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Picks