Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction & Picks - Dallas Open
ATP - Dallas Open
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by Lou Aguila | in Dallas Open Picks
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will go head-to-head with Denis Shapovalov in the final quarterfinal match on Friday at the 2026 Dallas Open.
Recommended Pick: Total Over 23.5 Games
Potential Payout: Bet $100, Win $230 (+130) on FanDuel
Current Form:
Davidovich Fokina made it through to the final eight after thwarting Alex Michelsen 6-4, 6-4. Fokina, who is eyeing a sixth final appearance on the ATP Tour, has won six out of his first nine matches in 2026. He’s winning 72.7 percent of his first balls and saving breakpoints at 68.2 percent, which basically says he’s serving really well to start the year.
Shapovalov, a former top-10 player, showed elite tennis in his 6-4, 6-4 win over Aleksandar Kovacevic. The Canadian bombarded Kovacevic with 22 aces and won a staggering 94 percent of his first balls to hold all his service games. Seeded No.7 in Dallas, Shapovalov entered the semifinals averaging 10 aces per match and saving 67 percent of breakpoints in 2026.
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Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Form
Denis Shapovalov and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Feb 12, 2026 - Dallas Open
Feb 10, 2026 - Dallas Open
Jan 22, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 19, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 5, 2026 - Brisbane International
Oct 28, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Feb 11, 2026 - Dallas Open
Feb 9, 2026 - Dallas Open
Jan 20, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 18, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 16, 2026 - Adelaide International
Jan 15, 2026 - Adelaide International
Denis Shapovalov against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina : Head to Head (H2H)
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Feb 28, 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open
Denis Shapovalov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Key Points
- Denis Shapovalov is averaging 10 aces per match in 2026.
- Denis Shapovalov won 94 percent of his first balls vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic in the second round of the 2026 Dallas Open.
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is 6-3 on the 2026 ATP season.
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is 1-1 vs. Denis Shapovalov
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Our Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina outlasts Denis Shapovalov 7-6, 4-6, 7-6
Their last two meetings were fantastic, close matches. I wouldn’t be surprised if the pairing delivers another thriller in Dallas. Shapovalov defeated Davidovich Fokina in their first duel 4-6, 6-4, 6-2 at the 2022 Indian Wells Open; the Spaniard returned the favor 7-6, 7-6 at the 2025 Acapulco Open. Whenever these two players are serving well, it’s hard to pick a winner. So, the safest move here is to go for the maximum total games at Over 23.5 games, which offers a handsome +130 value on Fanduel.
Our betting prediction for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs. Denis Shapovalov: Total Over 23.5 Games
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.