Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction & Picks - Dallas Open

ATP - Dallas Open

ATP 39 Canada
Denis Shapovalov
2/13/26 22:20
ATP 23 Spain
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Prediction:

 

Total Over 23.5 Games

+130
$350 offered for betting!

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 by Lou Aguila | in Dallas Open Picks

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will go head-to-head with Denis Shapovalov in the final quarterfinal match on Friday at the 2026 Dallas Open.

Recommended Pick: Total Over 23.5 Games

Potential Payout: Bet $100, Win $230 (+130) on FanDuel

Current Form:

Davidovich Fokina made it through to the final eight after thwarting Alex Michelsen 6-4, 6-4. Fokina, who is eyeing a sixth final appearance on the ATP Tour, has won six out of his first nine matches in 2026. He’s winning 72.7 percent of his first balls and saving breakpoints at 68.2 percent, which basically says he’s serving really well to start the year.

Shapovalov, a former top-10 player, showed elite tennis in his 6-4, 6-4 win over Aleksandar Kovacevic. The Canadian bombarded Kovacevic with 22 aces and won a staggering 94 percent of his first balls to hold all his service games. Seeded No.7 in Dallas, Shapovalov entered the semifinals averaging 10 aces per match and saving 67 percent of breakpoints in 2026.

Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Form

Denis Shapovalov and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Latest Matches

Denis Shapovalov Latest matches
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Feb 12, 2026 - Dallas Open

Denis Shapovalov
2 :  0
Aleksandar Kovacevic

Feb 10, 2026 - Dallas Open

Denis Shapovalov
2 :  0
Rafael Jodar

Jan 22, 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Denis Shapovalov
0 :  3
Marin Cilic

Jan 19, 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Denis Shapovalov
3 :  0
Yunchaokete Bu

Jan 5, 2026 - Brisbane International

Denis Shapovalov
0 :  2
Raphael Collignon

Oct 28, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Denis Shapovalov
1 :  2
Joao Fonseca
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Feb 11, 2026 - Dallas Open

Alex Michelsen
0 :  2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Feb 9, 2026 - Dallas Open

Zachary Svajda
0 :  2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Jan 20, 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Reilly Opelka
2 :  3
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Jan 18, 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Filip Misolic
0 :  3
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Jan 16, 2026 - Adelaide International

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
1 :  2
Ugo Humbert

Jan 15, 2026 - Adelaide International

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
2 :  0
Valentin Vacherot

Denis Shapovalov against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina : Head to Head (H2H)

Denis Shapovalov

0 %

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

100 %

Feb 28, 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open

Denis Shapovalov
0 :  2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Denis Shapovalov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Key Points

  1. Denis Shapovalov is averaging 10 aces per match in 2026.
  2. Denis Shapovalov won 94 percent of his first balls vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic in the second round of the 2026 Dallas Open.
  3. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is 6-3 on the 2026 ATP season.
  4. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is 1-1 vs. Denis Shapovalov

Our Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction

Fearless Forecast: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina outlasts Denis Shapovalov 7-6, 4-6, 7-6

Their last two meetings were fantastic, close matches. I wouldn’t be surprised if the pairing delivers another thriller in Dallas. Shapovalov defeated Davidovich Fokina in their first duel 4-6, 6-4, 6-2 at the 2022 Indian Wells Open; the Spaniard returned the favor 7-6, 7-6 at the 2025 Acapulco Open. Whenever these two players are serving well, it’s hard to pick a winner. So, the safest move here is to go for the maximum total games at Over 23.5 games, which offers a handsome +130 value on Fanduel.

Our betting prediction for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs. Denis Shapovalov: Total Over 23.5 Games

Prediction:

 

Total Over 23.5 Games

+130
$350 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Picks