Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro Prediction & Picks - Almaty Open
ATP - Almaty Open
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by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks
Daniil Medvedev is in a great position to cover -5.5 games against Sho Shimabukuro, who just ended a 9-match ATP Tour main draw losing streak.
Current Form:
Daniil Medvedev is coming off a prolific Asian swing, compiling an 11-2 record and reaching at least the semifinals of three tournaments. Medvedev also captured the Hangzhou Open title, beating Andrey Rublev 7-5, 6-4 in the final.
Sho Shimabukuro ended a 9-match main draw losing streak with a 6-7, 6-4, 6-4 win over Roman Safiullin. Shimabukuro overcame Safiullin's 18 aces by converting three break points on 30 return points.
The Matchup: Medvedev is a -1580 favorite over Shimabukuro in their first meeting on the ATP Tour.
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Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro Form
Daniil Medvedev and Sho Shimabukuro Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Oct 17, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 16, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 14, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 12, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 10, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 4, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Oct 20, 2026 - Almaty Open
Oct 7, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 1, 2026 - ATP Japan Open
Sep 24, 2026 - ATP Hangzhou Open
Aug 30, 2026 - ATP US Open
Aug 23, 2026 - ATP Winston-Salem Open
Daniil Medvedev - Sho Shimabukuro Key Points
- Daniil Medvedev reached the semifinals of the 2026 Shanghai Masters.
- Daniil Medvedev has a 67.3 percent win rate in indoor matches.
- Sho Shimabukuro has a 57.4 percent win rate in indoor matches.
- Sho Shimabukuro will be playing a top-10 player for the second time.
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Our Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro Prediction
The Difference Maker: Medvedev is just in a different class from Shimabukuro. Not only is he a former world No.1 and a Grand Slam champion, but Medvedev is also riding a huge wave of momentum into Almaty.
What to Expect: Medvedev bulldozes Shimabukuro to cover -5.5 games. Medvedev will have plenty of chances to secure double breaks against Shimabukuro, whose second serves remain vulnerable against terrific returners like Medvedev. The Japanese will have to land again over 60 percent of his first serves to prevent Medvedev from exploiting his weak second serves.
Fearless Forecast: Daniil Medvedev wins 6-3, 6-3
Our betting prediction for Daniil Medvedev vs. Sho Shimabukuro: Daniil Medvedev -5.5 games
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
