Daniil Medvedev vs Reilly Opelka Prediction & Picks - ATP Washington Citi Open

ATP - ATP Washington Citi Open

ATP 14 Russia
Daniil Medvedev
7/23/25 12:40
ATP 74 USA
Reilly Opelka

Prediction:

 

Daniil Medvedev -3.5 Games

+105
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 by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks

Reilly Opelka of the United States will take on Daniil Medvedev of Russia in the second round of the 2025 Mubadala CITI Open on Wednesday. The American is gunning for a repeat of his grass-court victory over the former world’s No.1 in 's-Hertogenbosch almost a month ago.

Opelka barged into the second round of the first marquee event in the North American hard-court season, as he outlasted Murphy Cassone 7-6(4) 6-7(5) 6-3 in a thrilling three-set tussle in the first round. Opelka utilized his booming serves to win 53 points off the first serves along with 23 aces. He only conceded one service break in the match while capturing three breakpoints – including a break in the second game of the third set that enabled him to build a decisive 3-0 lead.

Medvedev will be playing in his first match since losing to Benjamin Bonzi of France 7-6(2) 3-6 7-6(3) 6-2 in the first round of the 2025 Wimbledon Open. Medvedev’s early round exit sent shockwaves throughout the tournament, as players and tennis experts alike never expected the two-time Wimbledon Open finalist to crash out in his opening match. However, the return to the hard court offers Medvedev an opportunity to rebuild and gain stronger results on the surface where he has held an outstanding 75 percent win rate throughout his career.

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Daniil Medvedev vs Reilly Opelka Form

Daniil Medvedev and Reilly Opelka Latest Matches

Daniil Medvedev Latest matches
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 30, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Benjamin Bonzi
3 :  1
Daniil Medvedev

Jun 22, 2025 - ATP Halle Open

Alexander Bublik
2 :  0
Daniil Medvedev

Jun 21, 2025 - ATP Halle Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  1
Alexander Zverev

Jun 20, 2025 - ATP Halle Open

Alex Michelsen
0 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

Jun 18, 2025 - ATP Halle Open

Quentin Halys
0 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

Jun 16, 2025 - ATP Halle Open

Daniel Altmaier
0 :  2
Daniil Medvedev
Reilly Opelka Latest matches
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 21, 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Reilly Opelka
2 :  1
Murphy Cassone

Jul 3, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Brandon Nakashima
3 :  1
Reilly Opelka

Jul 1, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Alexander Shevchenko
0 :  3
Reilly Opelka

Jun 25, 2025 - ATP Eastbourne International

Jakub Mensik
2 :  0
Reilly Opelka

Jun 24, 2025 - ATP Eastbourne International

George Loffhagen
1 :  2
Reilly Opelka

Jun 19, 2025 - ATP London - Queen's

Reilly Opelka
0 :  2
Arthur Rinderknech

Daniil Medvedev against Reilly Opelka : Head to Head (H2H)

Daniil Medvedev

67 %

Reilly Opelka

33 %

Jun 13, 2025 - ATP Libema Open

Daniil Medvedev
0 :  2
Reilly Opelka

Aug 15, 2021 - Toronto, Canada

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Reilly Opelka

Jun 4, 2021 - ATP French Open

Reilly Opelka
0 :  3
Daniil Medvedev
Compare Daniil Medvedev and Reilly Opelka with our comparison tool.

Daniil Medvedev - Reilly Opelka Key Points

  1. Daniil Medvedev will be playing his first match since his first-round exit at the 2025 Wimbledon Open.
  2. Daniil Medvedev has a career 75 percent win rate on hard court.
  3. Reilly Opelka defeated Murphy Cassone 7-6(4) 6-7(5) 6-3 in the first round of the 2025 Washington Open.
  4. Reilly Opelka is 2-4 head-to-head vs. Danill Medvedev.
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Our Daniil Medvedev vs Reilly Opelka Prediction

Why should you pick Daniil Medvedev to cover -3.5 games? I predict that Daniil Medvedev will avenge his last loss to Reilly Opelka in an emphatic way. Medvedev might be experiencing a challenging year on the tour, having failed to play beyond the second round in each of his last three Grand Slam tournaments. Still, I cannot ignore the fact that Medvedev routinely turns into a different player as soon as the ATP Tour hits the North American hard-court season. Medvedev carries a gaudy 75 percent win rate on hard court, while Opelka only holds a 54 percent win rate on the surface. Moreover, Medvedev will be playing for more than just a victory in this match; he’s going for revenge after suffering a heartbreaking loss to the American at the Libema Open weeks ago. And while Opelka will always be a tricky opponent on the hard court, I am confident that Medvedev will eventually solve him just like he did in 4 out of their 6 previous encounters.

Our betting prediction for Reilly Opelka vs. Daniil Medvedev: Daniil Medvedev -3.5 Games.

Prediction:

 

Daniil Medvedev -3.5 Games

+105
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Daniil Medvedev vs Reilly Opelka Picks
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