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by Lou Aguila in ATP Toronto Picks
Daniil Medvedev of Russia will attempt to dethrone last year’s champion Alexei Popyrin of Australia as early as the third round of the 2025 Canadian Open on Thursday.
Medvedev secured his spot in the round of 32 with a testy win over Dalibor Svrcina of Czech Republic 7-6(3) 6-4. Medvedev leaned on his experience to edge Svrcina in the first-set tiebreaker before hitting the gas pedal in the crucial point of the second set. The former world’s No.1 finished with 23 first-serve points and five breakpoint conversions.
Popyrin’s title defense is off to a good start as he swept Canadian Nicolas Arseneault. Popyrin, who also snapped a three-match slump with the victory, won all his serves by collecting 35 points off the first serves and 20 points off the second. He also posted 10 aces and broke once.
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Daniil Medvedev vs Alexei Popyrin Form
Daniil Medvedev and Alexei Popyrin Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 29, 2025 - ATP Toronto
Jul 25, 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Jul 24, 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Jul 23, 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Jun 30, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jun 22, 2025 - ATP Halle Open
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jul 29, 2025 - ATP Toronto
Jul 23, 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Jun 30, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jun 18, 2025 - ATP London - Queen's
Jun 17, 2025 - ATP London - Queen's
Jun 12, 2025 - ATP Libema Open
Daniil Medvedev against Alexei Popyrin : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
May 11, 2025 - ATP Italian Open
Oct 30, 2024 - Rolex Paris Masters
Daniil Medvedev - Alexei Popyrin Key Points
- Alexei Popyrin defeated Nicolas Arsenault 7-6(7) 6-3 in the second round of the 2025 Canadian Open.
- Alexei Popyrin is the defending Canadian Open champion.
- Daniil Medvedev defeated Dalibor Svrcina 7-6(3) 6-4 in the second round of the 2025 Canadian Open.
- Daniil Medvedev is 4-1 vs. Alexei Popyrin.
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Our Daniil Medvedev vs Alexei Popyrin Prediction
Alexei Popyrin’s reign North of the Border will end at the hands of his regular tormentor, Daniil Medvedev. Out of 5 head-to-head matches, Popyrin only won once against Medvedev, edging the Russian 6-4 2-6 7-6(4) in the second round of the Paris Masters. Inconsistencies and injuries have defined Popyrin’s 2025 ATP season campaign. Popyrin compiled a 17-8 hard-court record last year, highlighted by his triumph at the Canadian Open.
This year, Popyrin is only 3-7 in hard-court matches and 3-4 against top-20 players. Medvedev is also amid a bad season, still searching for his first ATP title of the year after bombing out in several big tournaments. He has gained some steam by reaching the quarterfinal of the 2025 Washington Open, which bodes well for his confidence as he tries to turn his campaign around with a possible title run in Toronto.
Our betting prediction for Alexei Popyrin vs. Daniil Medvedev: Daniil Medvedev -3.5 Games.
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