Daniil Medvedev vs Alex Michelsen Prediction & Picks - Brisbane International
ATP - Brisbane International
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
No.1 seed Daniil Medvedev of Russia will take on Alex Michelsen of the United States in the semifinals of the 2026 Brisbane International on Saturday.
Medvedev is valued at -420 moneyline ahead of his third career showdown with Michelsen.
Best Pick: Daniil Medvedev -3.5 Games (-144).
Potential Payout: $244 on a $144 Bet.
Current Form:
Medvedev is back in his element at the Brisbane International, posting straight-set wins over Marton Fucsovics 6-2, 6-3 and Frances Tiafoe 6-3, 6-2 before besting Kamil Majchrzak 6-7(4) 6-3 6-2 in the quarterfinals. Medvedev is winning 82.1 percent of his first serves and converting 52 percent of breakpoint chances.
Michelsen has pulled off back-to-back sweeps over fellow Americans to reach the semifinal of the Brisbane International. Michelsen blasted Learner Tien 6-4, 6-2 and Sebastian Korda 6-3, 7-6. The young star has won 76.7 percent of his first ball and converted 5 of 14 breakpoint chances.
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Daniil Medvedev vs Alex Michelsen Form
Daniil Medvedev and Alex Michelsen Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jan 9, 2026 - Brisbane International
Jan 6, 2026 - Brisbane International
Jan 5, 2026 - Brisbane International
Oct 31, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
Oct 30, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
Oct 28, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jan 9, 2026 - Brisbane International
Jan 6, 2026 - Brisbane International
Jan 4, 2026 - Brisbane International
Oct 27, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
Oct 21, 2025 - ATP Vienna
Oct 18, 2025 - Almaty Open
Daniil Medvedev against Alex Michelsen : Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
Jun 20, 2025 - ATP Halle Open
Daniil Medvedev - Alex Michelsen Key Points
- Alex Michelsen defeated Sebastian Korda 6-3, 7-6 in the quarterfinals of the 2026 Brisbane International.
- Alex Michelsen is 0-2 vs. Daniil Medvedev.Daniil Medvedev defeated Kamil Majchrzak 6-7(4) 6-3 6-2 in the quarterfinals of the 2026 Brisbane International.
- Daniil Medvedev defeated Kamil Majchrzak 6-7(4) 6-3 6-2 in the quarterfinals of the 2026 Brisbane International.
- Daniil Medvedev is converting 52 percent of breakpoint chances.
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Our Daniil Medvedev vs Alex Michelsen Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Daniil Medvedev tops Alex Michelsen 6-4, 6-4.
Reasoning: Medvedev is playing at an elite level right now. When he’s at this level, he’s hard to beat. Michelsen is a promising young player, but he hasn’t had success in the two previous meetings with the former world’s No.1. The last time these two players faced each other, Medvedev dismantled Michelsen in two sets, 6-4, 6-3. I expect more of the same result in this latest encounter. Michelsen tries to narrow the gap, but Medvedev will prove too strong in the end.
Our betting prediction for Daniil Medvedev vs. Alex Michelsen: Daniil Medvedev -3.5 Games
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