Daniel Merida vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction & Picks - ATP Wimbledon Championships

ATP - ATP Wimbledon Championships

ATP 84 Spain
Daniel Merida
7/1/26 07:10
ATP 9
Daniil Medvedev

Prediction:

 

Daniil Medvedev -8.5 Game Handicap

+100
$200 offered for betting!

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 by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP Wimbledon Championships Picks

For the second time in 2026, Daniil Medvedev will get down to business at Wimbledon, where he has twice reached the semi-finals. The world number nine easily defeated Marin Cilic during the first round. He'll now be looking to secure another statement win against Daniel Merida Aguilar, is playing at Wimbledon for just the second time in his career. 

Whichever way we look at this match, it goes down as a huge opportunity for Daniil Medvedev to continue building momentum by securing a straightforward win. The Russian is a serious grass-court player and after he made light work of beating veteran Marin Cilic, he should have zero issues seeing off an opponent who is hugely inexperienced on grass. The Spaniard is epxected to come up short, and let's face it, he could easily be priced much bigger to avoid a heavy defeat, leaving 'Daniil Medvedev -8.5 Game Handicap' to go down as a value bet at odds of +100. 

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Daniel Merida vs Daniil Medvedev Form

Daniel Merida and Daniil Medvedev Latest Matches

Daniel Merida Latest matches
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jun 13, 2026 - ATP London - Queen's

Martin Damm Jr
2 :  0
Daniel Merida

May 25, 2026 - ATP French Open

Daniel Merida
0 :  3
Ben Shelton

May 7, 2026 - ATP Italian Open

Nikoloz Basilashvili
2 :  1
Daniel Merida

May 5, 2026 - ATP Italian Open

Daniel Merida
2 :  1
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

May 4, 2026 - ATP Italian Open

Daniel Merida
2 :  0
Mackenzie Mcdonald

Apr 27, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Stefanos Tsitsipas
2 :  0
Daniel Merida
Daniil Medvedev Latest matches
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 29, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Marin Cilic
0 :  3
Daniil Medvedev

Jun 19, 2026 - ATP Halle Open

Daniel Altmaier
2 :  1
Daniil Medvedev

Jun 17, 2026 - ATP Halle Open

Terence Atmane
0 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

Jun 16, 2026 - ATP Halle Open

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
0 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

Jun 13, 2026 - ATP Libema Open

Kamil Majchrzak
2 :  0
Daniil Medvedev

Jun 12, 2026 - ATP Libema Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  1
Marin Cilic
Daniel Merida vs Daniil Medvedev Picks

Daniel Merida - Daniil Medvedev Key Points

  1. Daniil Medvedev has twice reached the Wimbledon semi-finals.
  2. Daniil Medvedev beat a better player than Daniel Merida Aguilar in straight sets during the first round.
  3. During the first round, Daniil Medvedev won by a 13-game margin.
  4. Daniil Medvedev has easily beaten several lower-ranked opponents on grass in recent weeks.
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Our Daniel Merida vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction

Having been the beneficiary of a retirement during the first round, Daniel Merida Aguilar is through to the second round of Wimbledon for the first time in his career. He should be feeling confident off the back of that, but this is where the road likely ends for the Spaniard. Everything we've seen from Medvedev in recent weeks, as well as in the first round, tells us that the two-time Wimbledon semi-finalist has more than enough quality to win this match by a wide margin. Crucially, he looks an even better bet than the early odds suggest to do just that. 

Our Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Pick: Daniil Medvedev -8.5 Game Handicap.

Prediction:

 

Daniil Medvedev -8.5 Game Handicap

+100
$200 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.