Washington Capitals vs Dallas Stars Prediction & Picks - NHL

USA - NHL

Washington Capitals
1/7/26 19:00
Dallas Stars

Prediction:

 

Over 5.5 goals

-128
$350 offered for betting!

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 by Taavi Pailk | in NHL Picks

After opening the week with a big win, the Washington Capitals look to gain more momentum on Wednesday night against the out-of-form Dallas Stars at Capital One Arena.

While Washington’s defensive struggles continued on Monday, the team matched its best offensive performance of the season. Justin Sourdif tied the franchise rookie record with five points (three goals, two assists), helping the Capitals defeat the Anaheim Ducks 7-4.

This was an impressive performance from Spencer Carbery’s men after two top-six forwards, Tom Wilson and Aliaksei Protas, were ruled out for Monday’s game. Protas was labeled a game-time call ahead of the contest, so he could be available to return on Wednesday. It’s unclear if Wilson can make it back from his injury.

Dallas lost captain Jamie Benn in Sunday’s 4-3 overtime loss to the Montreal Canadiens, and he will definitely be out on Tuesday. The team’s attack is also without Tyler Seguin, but the offensive output has been just fine recently. On Sunday, the Stars suffered their fifth consecutive loss because of another poor defensive display.

Glen Gulutzan’s side has allowed four goals in every game during the recent slide. The defense needs to tighten up for the team to start winning again, especially on Wednesday night against the NHL’s all-time leading goal-scorer, Alex Ovechkin, and his crew.

Washington Capitals vs Dallas Stars Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L GD
3 Dallas Stars
112 3142 38 20 +53
12 Washington Capitals
95 1612 37 30 +19

Washington Capitals and Dallas Stars Latest Matches

Washington Capitals
Washington Capitals Latest matches
L W L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jan 7, 2026 - NHL

Washington Capitals
1 :  4
Dallas Stars

Jan 5, 2026 - NHL

Washington Capitals
7 :  4
Anaheim Ducks

Jan 3, 2026 - NHL

Washington Capitals
2 :  3
Chicago Blackhawks

Jan 1, 2026 - NHL

Ottawa Senators
4 :  3
Washington Capitals

Dec 31, 2025 - NHL

Washington Capitals
6 :  3
New York Rangers

Dec 29, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
5 :  3
Washington Capitals
L L W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jan 7, 2026 - NHL

Washington Capitals
1 :  4
Dallas Stars

Jan 5, 2026 - NHL

Washington Capitals
7 :  4
Anaheim Ducks

Jan 3, 2026 - NHL

Washington Capitals
2 :  3
Chicago Blackhawks

Dec 31, 2025 - NHL

Washington Capitals
6 :  3
New York Rangers

Dec 23, 2025 - NHL

Washington Capitals
3 :  7
New York Rangers

Dec 20, 2025 - NHL

Washington Capitals
2 :  5
Detroit Red Wings
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Jan 1, 2026 - NHL

Ottawa Senators
4 :  3
Washington Capitals

Dec 29, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
5 :  3
Washington Capitals

Dec 27, 2025 - NHL

New Jersey Devils
3 :  4
Washington Capitals

Dec 21, 2025 - NHL

Detroit Red Wings
3 :  2
Washington Capitals

Dec 16, 2025 - NHL

Minnesota Wild
5 :  0
Washington Capitals

Dec 13, 2025 - NHL

Winnipeg Jets
5 :  1
Washington Capitals
Dallas Stars
Dallas Stars Latest matches
L L L L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Jan 7, 2026 - NHL

Washington Capitals
1 :  4
Dallas Stars

Jan 6, 2026 - NHL

Carolina Hurricanes
6 :  3
Dallas Stars

Jan 4, 2026 - NHL

Dallas Stars
3 :  4
Montreal Canadiens

Jan 1, 2026 - NHL

Chicago Blackhawks
4 :  3
Dallas Stars

Dec 31, 2025 - NHL

Dallas Stars
1 :  4
Buffalo Sabres

Dec 27, 2025 - NHL

Dallas Stars
3 :  4
Chicago Blackhawks
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jan 4, 2026 - NHL

Dallas Stars
3 :  4
Montreal Canadiens

Dec 31, 2025 - NHL

Dallas Stars
1 :  4
Buffalo Sabres

Dec 27, 2025 - NHL

Dallas Stars
3 :  4
Chicago Blackhawks

Dec 21, 2025 - NHL

Dallas Stars
5 :  1
Toronto Maple Leafs

Dec 15, 2025 - NHL

Dallas Stars
4 :  1
Los Angeles Kings

Dec 13, 2025 - NHL

Dallas Stars
0 :  4
Florida Panthers
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jan 7, 2026 - NHL

Washington Capitals
1 :  4
Dallas Stars

Jan 6, 2026 - NHL

Carolina Hurricanes
6 :  3
Dallas Stars

Jan 1, 2026 - NHL

Chicago Blackhawks
4 :  3
Dallas Stars

Dec 23, 2025 - NHL

Detroit Red Wings
4 :  3
Dallas Stars

Dec 19, 2025 - NHL

Anaheim Ducks
3 :  8
Dallas Stars

Dec 18, 2025 - NHL

San Jose Sharks
3 :  5
Dallas Stars

Washington Capitals against Dallas Stars : Head to Head (H2H)

Washington Capitals

0 %

Dallas Stars

100 %

Jan 7, 2026 - NHL

Washington Capitals
1 :  4
Dallas Stars

Oct 28, 2025 - NHL

Dallas Stars
1 :  0
Washington Capitals

Dec 16, 2024 - NHL

Dallas Stars
3 :  1
Washington Capitals

Dec 7, 2023 - NHL

Washington Capitals
4 :  5
Dallas Stars

Players list

Washington Capitals
Washington Capitals

L. Thompson

C. Lindgren

R. Sandin

M. Roy

M. Fehervary

D. McIlrath

J. Carlson

J. Chychrun

A. Ovechkin

E. Frank

R. Leonard

J. Sourdif

H. Lapierre

C. McMichael

B. Leason

N. Dowd

S. Milano

D. Strome

B. Duhaime

A. Beauvillier

Dallas Stars
Dallas Stars

J. Oettinger

C. DeSmith

N. Lundkvist

T. Harley

M. Heiskanen

I. Lyubushkin

E. Lindell

K. Capobianco

O. Back

J. Robertson

W. Johnston

M. Bourque

C. Blackwell

R. Hintz

M. Rantanen

M. Duchene

S. Steel

N. Bastian

R. Faksa

J. Hryckowian

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Washington Capitals
CD Huachipato Dallas Stars
Top Goalscorer
A. Ovechkin (32 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
USA J. Robertson (50 Goals)
Best assists
Best assists
Finland M. Rantanen (61 Assists)

Washington Capitals - Dallas Stars Key Points

  1. Dallas has won seven of its last eight games against Washington.
  2. The Capitals boast a 13-7-3 home record.
  3. The Stars have gone 13-3-5 on the road.
  4. Dallas ranks third in the NHL for power play efficiency at 29.1 percent, whereas Washington stands 31st at just 15.6 percent.

Our Washington Capitals vs Dallas Stars Prediction

When these teams met for the first time this season, only a power-play goal separated the teams, with Dallas winning 1-0. The two goaltenders, Jake Oettinger and Logan Thompson, made a combined 42 saves. This was the third consecutive head-to-head clash with five goals or fewer scored.

Yet, Wednesday’s matchup seems to have many ingredients for a high-scoring affair. Both teams have struggled defensively in recent weeks and have relied on attacking players to deliver victories. Dallas concludes a back-to-back set on Wednesday and may have some heavy legs in the lineup, opening up more space on the ice, which could result in additional scoring chances.

Our prediction for Dallas Stars vs. Washington Capitals: Over 5.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 5.5 goals

-128
$350 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Washington Capitals vs Dallas Stars Picks