Dallas Stars vs Washington Capitals Prediction & Picks - NHL

USA - NHL

Dallas Stars
1/7/26 19:00
Washington Capitals

Prediction:

 

Over 5.5 goals

-128
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 by Taavi Pailk | in NHL Picks

After opening the week with a big win, the Washington Capitals look to gain more momentum on Wednesday night against the out-of-form Dallas Stars at Capital One Arena.

While Washington’s defensive struggles continued on Monday, the team matched its best offensive performance of the season. Justin Sourdif tied the franchise rookie record with five points (three goals, two assists), helping the Capitals defeat the Anaheim Ducks 7-4.

This was an impressive performance from Spencer Carbery’s men after two top-six forwards, Tom Wilson and Aliaksei Protas, were ruled out for Monday’s game. Protas was labeled a game-time call ahead of the contest, so he could be available to return on Wednesday. It’s unclear if Wilson can make it back from his injury.

Dallas lost captain Jamie Benn in Sunday’s 4-3 overtime loss to the Montreal Canadiens, and he will definitely be out on Tuesday. The team’s attack is also without Tyler Seguin, but the offensive output has been just fine recently. On Sunday, the Stars suffered their fifth consecutive loss because of another poor defensive display.

Glen Gulutzan’s side has allowed four goals in every game during the recent slide. The defense needs to tighten up for the team to start winning again, especially on Wednesday night against the NHL’s all-time leading goal-scorer, Alex Ovechkin, and his crew.

Dallas Stars vs Washington Capitals Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L GD
2
Dallas Stars
Dallas Stars
60 44 26 18 29
9
Washington Capitals
Washington Capitals
52 45 23 22 18

Dallas Stars and Washington Capitals Latest Matches

Dallas Stars
Dallas Stars Latest matches
L L L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

6/6 (100%)

Jan 6, 2026 - NHL

Dallas Stars
3 :  6
Carolina Hurricanes

Jan 4, 2026 - NHL

Montreal Canadiens
4 :  3
Dallas Stars

Jan 1, 2026 - NHL

Dallas Stars
3 :  4
Chicago Blackhawks

Dec 31, 2025 - NHL

Buffalo Sabres
4 :  1
Dallas Stars

Dec 27, 2025 - NHL

Chicago Blackhawks
4 :  3
Dallas Stars

Dec 23, 2025 - NHL

Dallas Stars
3 :  4
Detroit Red Wings
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jan 4, 2026 - NHL

Montreal Canadiens
4 :  3
Dallas Stars

Dec 31, 2025 - NHL

Buffalo Sabres
4 :  1
Dallas Stars

Dec 27, 2025 - NHL

Chicago Blackhawks
4 :  3
Dallas Stars

Dec 21, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
1 :  5
Dallas Stars

Dec 15, 2025 - NHL

Los Angeles Kings
1 :  4
Dallas Stars

Dec 13, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
4 :  0
Dallas Stars
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jan 6, 2026 - NHL

Dallas Stars
3 :  6
Carolina Hurricanes

Jan 1, 2026 - NHL

Dallas Stars
3 :  4
Chicago Blackhawks

Dec 23, 2025 - NHL

Dallas Stars
3 :  4
Detroit Red Wings

Dec 19, 2025 - NHL

Dallas Stars
8 :  3
Anaheim Ducks

Dec 18, 2025 - NHL

Dallas Stars
5 :  3
San Jose Sharks

Dec 11, 2025 - NHL

Dallas Stars
2 :  5
Minnesota Wild
Washington Capitals
Washington Capitals Latest matches
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jan 5, 2026 - NHL

Anaheim Ducks
4 :  7
Washington Capitals

Jan 3, 2026 - NHL

Chicago Blackhawks
3 :  2
Washington Capitals

Jan 1, 2026 - NHL

Washington Capitals
3 :  4
Ottawa Senators

Dec 31, 2025 - NHL

New York Rangers
3 :  6
Washington Capitals

Dec 29, 2025 - NHL

Washington Capitals
3 :  5
Florida Panthers

Dec 27, 2025 - NHL

Washington Capitals
4 :  3
New Jersey Devils
W L L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jan 5, 2026 - NHL

Anaheim Ducks
4 :  7
Washington Capitals

Jan 3, 2026 - NHL

Chicago Blackhawks
3 :  2
Washington Capitals

Dec 31, 2025 - NHL

New York Rangers
3 :  6
Washington Capitals

Dec 23, 2025 - NHL

New York Rangers
7 :  3
Washington Capitals

Dec 20, 2025 - NHL

Detroit Red Wings
5 :  2
Washington Capitals

Dec 18, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
0 :  4
Washington Capitals
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Jan 1, 2026 - NHL

Washington Capitals
3 :  4
Ottawa Senators

Dec 29, 2025 - NHL

Washington Capitals
3 :  5
Florida Panthers

Dec 27, 2025 - NHL

Washington Capitals
4 :  3
New Jersey Devils

Dec 21, 2025 - NHL

Washington Capitals
2 :  3
Detroit Red Wings

Dec 16, 2025 - NHL

Washington Capitals
0 :  5
Minnesota Wild

Dec 13, 2025 - NHL

Washington Capitals
1 :  5
Winnipeg Jets

Dallas Stars against Washington Capitals : Head to Head (H2H)

Dallas Stars

100 %

Washington Capitals

0 %

Oct 28, 2025 - NHL

Washington Capitals
0 :  1
Dallas Stars

Dec 16, 2024 - NHL

Washington Capitals
1 :  3
Dallas Stars

Dec 7, 2023 - NHL

Dallas Stars
5 :  4
Washington Capitals

Dallas Stars - Washington Capitals Key Points

  1. Dallas has won seven of its last eight games against Washington.
  2. The Capitals boast a 13-7-3 home record.
  3. The Stars have gone 13-3-5 on the road.
  4. Dallas ranks third in the NHL for power play efficiency at 29.1 percent, whereas Washington stands 31st at just 15.6 percent.

Our Dallas Stars vs Washington Capitals Prediction

When these teams met for the first time this season, only a power-play goal separated the teams, with Dallas winning 1-0. The two goaltenders, Jake Oettinger and Logan Thompson, made a combined 42 saves. This was the third consecutive head-to-head clash with five goals or fewer scored.

Yet, Wednesday’s matchup seems to have many ingredients for a high-scoring affair. Both teams have struggled defensively in recent weeks and have relied on attacking players to deliver victories. Dallas concludes a back-to-back set on Wednesday and may have some heavy legs in the lineup, opening up more space on the ice, which could result in additional scoring chances.

Our prediction for Dallas Stars vs. Washington Capitals: Over 5.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 5.5 goals

-128
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Dallas Stars vs Washington Capitals Picks