Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
12/5/25 21:30
Oklahoma City Thunder

Prediction:

 

More than 229.5 goals

-108
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 by Erik Gibbs in NBA Picks

The Oklahoma City Thunder and the Dallas Mavericks face off tonight in a compelling rivalry that features two of the NBA's most explosive offensive talents. The Thunder currently boast one of the best records in the entire league, reflecting a period of almost unparalleled success marked by impressive depth and execution. Their performance shows a team that is not just winning, but winning decisively, often overcoming significant deficits or fending off late-game rallies.

Their last few contests against Dallas have been closely fought, but the Thunder have generally held the advantage, especially recently with a tough 101-94 victory earlier this season where they successfully weathered a ferocious Mavericks comeback attempt.

Despite their strong play, the Mavericks are struggling to climb to even .400, playing in a loaded Western Conference where every win is vital. Their offense can explode thanks to their star power, but their overall defensive output and rebounding have been inconsistent, leading to tough losses. Historically, this matchup often sees high-scoring affairs, but the Thunder's current commitment to defense and their ability to dominate the paint (they recently outscored Dallas 68-36 inside) has given them the crucial edge in the last few games.

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
1
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
0.955 22 21 1 13
12
Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks
0.348 23 8 15 3

Dallas Mavericks and Oklahoma City Thunder Latest Matches

Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks Latest matches
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Dec 3, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
108 :  118
Dallas Mavericks

Dec 1, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
131 :  121
Denver Nuggets

Nov 29, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
114 :  110
LA Clippers

Nov 28, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
119 :  129
Los Angeles Lakers

Nov 24, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
102 :  106
Miami Heat

Nov 22, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
102 :  96
Dallas Mavericks
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Dec 3, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
108 :  118
Dallas Mavericks

Nov 22, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
102 :  96
Dallas Mavericks

Nov 21, 2025 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
115 :  118
Dallas Mavericks

Nov 19, 2025 - NBA

New York Knicks
113 :  111
Dallas Mavericks

Nov 16, 2025 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
133 :  138
Dallas Mavericks

Nov 14, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
133 :  127
Dallas Mavericks
W L L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Dec 1, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
131 :  121
Denver Nuggets

Nov 29, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
114 :  110
LA Clippers

Nov 28, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
119 :  129
Los Angeles Lakers

Nov 24, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
102 :  106
Miami Heat

Nov 17, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
96 :  120
Minnesota Timberwolves

Nov 8, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
111 :  105
Washington Wizards
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Dec 2, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
124 :  112
Golden State Warriors

Nov 30, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
123 :  115
Portland Trail Blazers

Nov 28, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
119 :  123
Oklahoma City Thunder

Nov 26, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
105 :  113
Oklahoma City Thunder

Nov 23, 2025 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
95 :  122
Oklahoma City Thunder

Nov 21, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
144 :  112
Utah Jazz
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Nov 28, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
119 :  123
Oklahoma City Thunder

Nov 26, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
105 :  113
Oklahoma City Thunder

Nov 23, 2025 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
95 :  122
Oklahoma City Thunder

Nov 19, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
99 :  113
Oklahoma City Thunder

Nov 12, 2025 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
92 :  121
Oklahoma City Thunder

Nov 11, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
102 :  126
Oklahoma City Thunder
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Dec 2, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
124 :  112
Golden State Warriors

Nov 30, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
123 :  115
Portland Trail Blazers

Nov 21, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
144 :  112
Utah Jazz

Nov 17, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
126 :  109
New Orleans Pelicans

Nov 15, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
109 :  96
Charlotte Hornets

Nov 9, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
114 :  100
Memphis Grizzlies

Dallas Mavericks against Oklahoma City Thunder : Head to Head (H2H)

Dallas Mavericks

67 %

Oklahoma City Thunder

33 %

Oct 27, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
101 :  94
Dallas Mavericks

Jan 23, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
121 :  115
Oklahoma City Thunder

Jan 17, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
98 :  106
Dallas Mavericks

Dec 10, 2024 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
104 :  118
Oklahoma City Thunder

Nov 17, 2024 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
121 :  119
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 18, 2024 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
116 :  117
Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks - Oklahoma City Thunder Key Points

  1. The Mavs are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games
  2. The Thunder are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
  3. The Over is 2-3 in the Mavs' last 5 games
  4. The Over is 3-2 in the Thunders' last 5 games

Our Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

The Thunder are led by the incredible scoring pace of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who has been in MVP conversations, averaging over 30 points and consistently delivering in clutch situations. The young core around him is thriving, with Chet Holmgren providing stellar two-way play, combining efficient scoring with impressive rebounding and shot-blocking abilities, and Isaiah Hartenstein proving to be a valuable addition in the frontcourt.

While the Thunder have managed to stay relatively healthy, Dallas is dealing with significant, impactful absences. Star rookie Cooper Flagg has been nursing a contact shoulder injury, which is still hampering his production almost two months later. Furthermore, the Mavericks' frontcourt depth took a hit with center Dereck Lively II sidelined with a knee contusion.

This leaves Anthony Davis, who is carrying a massive scoring and rebounding load, to fight against the Thunder's active bigs, a demanding task. Considering the betting lines, the Thunder enter this game as the clear favorites. Their league-best record and recent success against the Mavericks, compounded by Dallas's injury woes and general inconsistency in rebounding and defense, provide a strong case for an Oklahoma City victory. While the game will be competitive, the Thunder's depth and two-way dominance should see them through. Our prediction for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericks: Over 229.5 points.

Prediction:

 

More than 229.5 goals

-108
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Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Picks