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by Erik Gibbs in NBA Picks
The Los Angeles Lakers and the Dallas Mavericks meet tonight at Crypto.com Arena for what is undeniably the most anticipated narrative game of the 2025-26 season so far. This matchup serves as the first major referendum on the blockbuster trade that shook the league earlier this year, sending Luka Dončić to Hollywood and Anthony Davis to Dallas.
The Lakers have thrived since the seismic shift, roaring to a 13-4 record and looking like the class of the Western Conference. They enter this contest riding a four-game home winning streak, with Dončić playing at an MVP level and completely revitalizing the Lakers' offense.
The situation in Dallas, however, is bordering on catastrophic. The Mavericks limp into Los Angeles with a dismal 5-14 record, a slide that recently cost GM Nico Harrison his job. The chemistry experiments in Texas have largely failed, with the team struggling to find a rhythm and looking disjointed on both ends of the floor.
While the Lakers look like a well-oiled machine prepared for a deep playoff run, the Mavericks appear to be a franchise amid an identity crisis, desperately trying to salvage a season that is slipping away before December.
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Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
0.765 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 5 |
|
14
|
0.263 | 19 | 5 | 14 | -2 |
Dallas Mavericks and Los Angeles Lakers Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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5/6 (83%)
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4/6 (67%)
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Dallas Mavericks against Los Angeles Lakers : Head to Head (H2H)
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Dallas Mavericks - Los Angeles Lakers Key Points
- The Over is 7-0 in the Lakers’ last 7 games at Crypto.com Arena
- The Lakers are 11-0 SU in their last 11 night games vs. Southwest Division teams
- The Lakers are 10-0 ATS in their last 10 night games vs. Southwest Division teams
- The Mavericks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. Pacific Division teams
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Our Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction
For the Lakers, the injury report is relatively clean, with center Deandre Ayton listed as probable and expected to dominate the paint against a smaller Dallas frontcourt. Marcus Smart remains questionable with a back issue, but the team's depth has covered his absence well. The Mavericks are in far worse shape. Beyond the poor record, they are missing key pieces like Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, and Dante Exum.
All eyes, of course, will be on Anthony Davis. The former Laker is listed as questionable with a calf strain but is widely expected to suit up against his former team. If he plays, he faces a monumental task trying to carry a depleted roster against the juggernaut he helped build. The betting lines heavily favor Los Angeles (-10.5), and it is hard to argue against the oddsmakers.
The Lakers have too much firepower, and with the Mavericks missing their secondary scoring options, Dončić should have a field day dissecting his former team's defense. This feels like a statement game for Los Angeles. Our prediction for Los Angeles Lakers vs. Dallas Mavericks: Over 229.5 points.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
