Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Picks - NBA
USA - NBA
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by Erik Gibbs | in NBA Picks
The Boston Celtics and Dallas Mavericks meet tonight at TD Garden in a clash that could very well be a preview of the NBA Finals. Boston enters this game as one of the most dominant forces in the Eastern Conference, currently holding the number two seed with a 41-21 record. Their performance throughout the 2025-26 season has been remarkably consistent, even in the absence of their primary superstar.
Jaylen Brown has elevated his game to MVP-caliber levels, leading a Celtics offense that ranks second in the league in efficiency. Boston has won seven of their last ten games, showcasing a defensive versatility that makes them a nightmare matchup for perimeter-oriented teams.
The Mavericks, meanwhile, arrive in Boston as a team looking to prove they belong in the elite tier of the Western Conference. Led by the scoring brilliance of Luka Doncic, the Mavericks have been a high-variance team lately, capable of blowing out opponents with a barrage of three-pointers or falling into defensive lapses that let games slip away. They have stayed competitive in a crowded West, but their road record has been a point of concern for head coach Jason Kidd as they head into a tough environment in Boston.
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Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
0.683 | 82 | 56 | 26 | 2 |
|
23
|
0.317 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 1 |
Boston Celtics and Dallas Mavericks Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Mar 6, 2026 - NBA
Mar 4, 2026 - NBA
Mar 2, 2026 - NBA
Mar 1, 2026 - NBA
Feb 27, 2026 - NBA
Feb 25, 2026 - NBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Mar 6, 2026 - NBA
Mar 4, 2026 - NBA
Mar 1, 2026 - NBA
Feb 27, 2026 - NBA
Feb 11, 2026 - NBA
Feb 8, 2026 - NBA
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Mar 2, 2026 - NBA
Feb 25, 2026 - NBA
Feb 24, 2026 - NBA
Feb 22, 2026 - NBA
Feb 19, 2026 - NBA
Feb 4, 2026 - NBA
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Mar 6, 2026 - NBA
Mar 5, 2026 - NBA
Mar 3, 2026 - NBA
Mar 1, 2026 - NBA
Feb 27, 2026 - NBA
Feb 26, 2026 - NBA
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Mar 1, 2026 - NBA
Feb 27, 2026 - NBA
Feb 26, 2026 - NBA
Feb 5, 2026 - NBA
Feb 3, 2026 - NBA
Jan 29, 2026 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Mar 6, 2026 - NBA
Mar 5, 2026 - NBA
Mar 3, 2026 - NBA
Feb 24, 2026 - NBA
Feb 22, 2026 - NBA
Feb 20, 2026 - NBA
Boston Celtics against Dallas Mavericks : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Mar 6, 2026 - NBA
Feb 3, 2026 - NBA
Feb 6, 2025 - NBA
Jan 25, 2025 - NBA
Jul 19, 2024 - NBA Summer League
Jun 17, 2024 - NBA
Players list
D. White
M. Christie
K. Middleton
P. Washington Jr.
Substitutes
B. Scheierman
H. Gonzalez
P. Pritchard
J. Walsh
R. Harper Jr.
R. Nembhard
B. Williams
A. Johnson
K. Thompson
N. Marshall
C. Martin
Boston Celtics - Dallas Mavericks Key Points
- The Over is 1-4 in Boston's last 5 games
- The Over is 2-3 in Dallas' last 5 games
- Boston is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
- Dallas is 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
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Our Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
The biggest story of the last two weeks is the impending return of Jayson Tatum. After nearly 300 days away following a ruptured Achilles in the 2025 playoffs, Tatum has been upgraded to "questionable" and is expected to make his season debut against Dallas. In his absence, Jaylen Brown has averaged 28.9 points and 7.3 rebounds over the last fortnight.
For Dallas, Luka Doncic remains a statistical marvel, leading the league in usage rate and continuing to put up triple-double threats every night. However, the Mavericks are dealing with some significant injury news. Kyrie Irving is out for the season, leaving a massive void in the secondary scoring role. Cooper Flagg is also listed as day-to-day with a foot sprain, though he is expected to try and play. Defensively, Dereck Lively II remains out following foot surgery.
Given the emotional boost of Tatum's return and the superior depth of the Celtics' roster, Boston holds a clear upper hand. Dallas simply lacks the defensive stoppers to contain both Brown and a returning Tatum, especially with their own roster depleted by injuries to key starters. Expect the Celtics to feed off the home crowd and control the pace of this game from the opening tip. Our prediction for Boston Celtics vs. Dallas Mavericks: Under 225.5 points.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
