CF Cruz Azul vs Atletico San Luis Prediction & Picks - Liga MX

Mexico - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
3/7/26 18:00
Atletico San Luis

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 goals

-172
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 by Erik Gibbs | in Liga MX Picks

CF Cruz Azul takes on Atletico San Luis on Saturday at Estadio Cuauhtémoc, and this Liga MX Clausura matchup arrives with the table already telling a clear story. Cruz Azul has ripped out to 22 points through nine matches (7–1–1, +8 goal difference), while Atlético de San Luis sits on 10 points (3–1–5, +1), a mid-pack profile that still feels fragile from week to week.

Recent results reinforce that divide in momentum. Cruz Azul just went to Torreón and beat Santos Laguna 2–1 on March 3 — a game where they generated volume (16 shot attempts, 7 on target) and got the goals that mattered from Ángel Márquez and José Paradela.

Atlético de San Luis, to its credit, answered a rough stretch with a statement win of its own, smashing Mazatlán FC 4–1 on March 4 with João Pedro scoring twice and Sébastien Salles-Lamonge also finding the net. Even so, the higher-level trend is hard to ignore: Cruz Azul has looked like a title contender from week one, while San Luis has oscillated between sharp and loose.

CF Cruz Azul vs Atletico San Luis Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 CF Cruz Azul
33 17 9 6 2 +13
14 Atletico San Luis
18 17 5 3 9 -3

CF Cruz Azul and Atletico San Luis Latest Matches

CF Cruz Azul
CF Cruz Azul Latest matches
D W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 3, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Santos Laguna
1 :  2
CF Cruz Azul

Feb 28, 2026 - Liga MX

Monterrey
0 :  2
CF Cruz Azul

Feb 21, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
2 :  1
Chivas

Feb 15, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
2 :  1
Tigres UANL

Feb 12, 2026 - Concachampions

CF Cruz Azul
5 :  0
Vancouver FC

Feb 7, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  1
CF Cruz Azul
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Feb 21, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
2 :  1
Chivas

Feb 15, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
2 :  1
Tigres UANL

Feb 12, 2026 - Concachampions

CF Cruz Azul
5 :  0
Vancouver FC

Jan 17, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
1 :  0
Puebla

Jan 14, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
2 :  0
Atlas FC

Dec 10, 2025 - FIFA Intercontinental Cup

CF Cruz Azul
1 :  2
Flamengo
L W W D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 3, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Santos Laguna
1 :  2
CF Cruz Azul

Feb 28, 2026 - Liga MX

Monterrey
0 :  2
CF Cruz Azul

Feb 7, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  1
CF Cruz Azul

Feb 4, 2026 - Concachampions

Vancouver FC
0 :  3
CF Cruz Azul

Jan 30, 2026 - Liga MX

FC Juarez
3 :  4
CF Cruz Azul

Jan 10, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Leon
2 :  1
CF Cruz Azul
Atletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis Latest matches
L L W L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Mar 3, 2026 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
4 :  1
Mazatlan FC

Feb 28, 2026 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
0 :  1
Puebla

Feb 21, 2026 - Liga MX

Atlas FC
3 :  2
Atletico San Luis

Feb 14, 2026 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
3 :  0
Queretaro

Feb 6, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Necaxa
4 :  1
Atletico San Luis

Jan 31, 2026 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
2 :  3
Chivas
L L L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Mar 3, 2026 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
4 :  1
Mazatlan FC

Feb 28, 2026 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
0 :  1
Puebla

Feb 14, 2026 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
3 :  0
Queretaro

Jan 31, 2026 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
2 :  3
Chivas

Jan 11, 2026 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
1 :  2
Tigres UANL

Oct 31, 2025 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
1 :  2
FC Juarez
W L W D L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Feb 21, 2026 - Liga MX

Atlas FC
3 :  2
Atletico San Luis

Feb 6, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Necaxa
4 :  1
Atletico San Luis

Jan 17, 2026 - Liga MX

Tijuana
1 :  1
Atletico San Luis

Jan 14, 2026 - Liga MX

CF America
0 :  2
Atletico San Luis

Nov 8, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
3 :  1
Atletico San Luis

Oct 22, 2025 - Liga MX

Pumas UNAM
0 :  1
Atletico San Luis

CF Cruz Azul against Atletico San Luis : Head to Head (H2H)

CF Cruz Azul

80 %

Draw

0 %

Atletico San Luis

20 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.8
Total goals
40%
BTTS
2
Goals scored
0.8
Goals conceded
80%
Over 2.5
20%
Under 2.5

Aug 11, 2025 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
1 :  2
CF Cruz Azul

Mar 15, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
3 :  0
Atletico San Luis

Sep 17, 2024 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
3 :  1
CF Cruz Azul

Feb 10, 2024 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
3 :  0
Atletico San Luis

Mar 18, 2023 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
1 :  0
Atletico San Luis
CF Cruz Azul vs Atletico San Luis Picks

CF Cruz Azul against Atletico San Luis Lineups: Starting 11

CF Cruz Azul

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

1
A. Gudino
16
J. Marquez
4
W. Ditta
33
G. Piovi
3
O. Chagoya
8
A. Palavecino
17
A. Garcia
29
C. Rotondi
18
L. Romero
20
J. Paradela
7
N. Ibanez
9
J. Galvao
14
M. Garcia
10
S. Salles-Lamonge
21
O. Macias
28
J. Medina
15
L. Esteves
31
E. Aguila
6
Juanpe
30
B. Galindo
2
R. Torres Acosta
1
A. Sanchez

Formation : 5 - 3 - 2

Atletico San Luis

Substitutes

CF Cruz Azul
CF Cruz Azul
Goalkeeper

E. Ochoa

Defender

J. Rodarte Barragan

J. Diaz

Midfielder

E. Lira

A. Palavecino 75'

D. Valdez

A. Montano

J. Paradela 66'

C. Rodriguez

J. Marquez 57'

Forward

A. Morales Rosas

O. Chagoya 75'

G. Fernandez

N. Ibanez 65'

O. Ebere

Atletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis
Goalkeeper

M. Lajud

A. Sanchez 26'

Defender

A. Cruz

J. Dominguez

R. Torres Acosta 77'

Midfielder

D. Rodriguez

S. Bouquet Perez

R. Meraz

O. Macias 68'

Forward

B. Galdames

M. Garcia 47'

S. Munoz

L. Flores

J. Medina 68'

F. Barajas

Missing players

CF Cruz Azul
CF Cruz Azul
Defender

J. Orozco

Atletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis
Goalkeeper

C. Lopez

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato CF Cruz Azul
CD Huachipato Atletico San Luis
Top Goalscorer
Argentina J. Paradela (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy J. Galvao (14 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina J. Paradela (5 Assists)
Best assists
France S. Salles-Lamonge (2 Assists)
Chile B. Galdames (2 Assists)

CF Cruz Azul - Atletico San Luis Key Points

  1. The Over is 2-2-1 in Cruz Azul's last 5 games
  2. The Over is 4-1 in San Luis's last 5 games
  3. Cruz Azul are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
  4. San Luis are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games

Our CF Cruz Azul vs Atletico San Luis Prediction

Individually, Cruz Azul is on top. Paradela is the attack's most reliable finisher (five goals in nine matches) and his March 3 strike at Santos felt like the kind of moment that turns good start into real contender. Márquez's goal in that same match gives them another runner from midfield, and Rodrigo Rotondi remains a constant outlet when opponents try to clog the middle.

For San Luis, everything starts with João Pedro, who already has nine goals in nine matches and backed it up with a brace in the 4–1 win. It's the kind of hot finishing run that can keep an underdog alive even when the underlying play is uneven.

Injuries could still reshape the tactical plan. Cruz Azul goalkeeper Kevin Mier is progressing from a tibia fracture and recently featured for the club's Under-21s while training with the first team as he nears a return to full availability. On the other side, San Luis midfielder Oscar Macías was forced off midweek with a right-thigh muscular issue, putting his status in doubt.

Cruz Azul has the upper hand because it's more stable week to week, defends better (nine conceded vs 15 for San Luis), and has multiple goal sources beyond any single scorer. San Luis can still steal it if João Pedro keeps finishing at an elite clip and the game becomes a transition track meet, but Cruz Azul's consistency makes it the cleaner side. Our prediction for CF Cruz Azul vs. Atletico San Luis: Over 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 goals

-172
$1000 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.