CF Cruz Azul vs Deportivo Toluca FC Prediction & Picks - Liga MX

Mexico - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
9/26/26 18:50
Deportivo Toluca FC

Prediction:

 

Nicolas Ibanez to Score

+200
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Liga MX Picks

On Saturday evening, there's an interesting Liga MX fixture due to take place at Estadio Banorte, where Cruz Azul will host Toluca. This is a fixture between two high-ranking teams. The visitors currently top the table, but they had their confidence shaken last time out, losing by three goals to two on home soil, so now may just be the perfect time for the hosts, who've won their last two home games, to strike. 

Based on the early lines available at Fanatics, Nicolás Ibáñez is worth betting on to score at odds of +200. The Argentine forward has looked hungry for goals in recent weeks, forcing himself into dangerous areas, shooting plenty, and more importantly, shooting accurately. He's Cruz Azul's highest scorer this term, averaging a chunky 0.47 goals per 90 minutes, so don't be surprised if he has a big say in front of goal here. 

CF Cruz Azul vs Deportivo Toluca FC Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Deportivo Toluca FC
19 9 6 1 2 +11
4 CF Cruz Azul
15 9 5 0 4 +1

CF Cruz Azul and Deportivo Toluca FC Latest Matches

CF Cruz Azul
CF Cruz Azul Latest matches
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Sep 19, 2026 - Liga MX

Monterrey
1 :  0
CF Cruz Azul

Sep 16, 2026 - Campeones Cup

Inter Miami
2 :  0
CF Cruz Azul

Sep 12, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
4 :  3
CF America

Sep 6, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
1 :  0
Club Santos Laguna

Aug 28, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Necaxa
1 :  3
CF Cruz Azul

Aug 22, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
0 :  2
Atlas FC
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 12, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
4 :  3
CF America

Sep 6, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
1 :  0
Club Santos Laguna

Aug 22, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
0 :  2
Atlas FC

Aug 13, 2026 - Leagues Cup

CF Cruz Azul
1 :  2
Chicago Fire

Aug 9, 2026 - Leagues Cup

CF Cruz Azul
2 :  1
New York City

Aug 6, 2026 - Leagues Cup

CF Cruz Azul
1 :  0
Philadelphia Union
W W L W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 19, 2026 - Liga MX

Monterrey
1 :  0
CF Cruz Azul

Sep 16, 2026 - Campeones Cup

Inter Miami
2 :  0
CF Cruz Azul

Aug 28, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Necaxa
1 :  3
CF Cruz Azul

Aug 16, 2026 - Liga MX

Tijuana
2 :  1
CF Cruz Azul

Jul 25, 2026 - Trofeo de Campeon de Campeones

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  3
CF Cruz Azul

Jul 17, 2026 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
2 :  3
CF Cruz Azul
Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC Latest matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 20, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  3
Club Santos Laguna

Sep 15, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Sep 12, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
5 :  2
Atlas FC

Sep 6, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  0
Monterrey

Sep 2, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  0
Club Leon

Aug 30, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
4 :  0
FC Juarez
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 20, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  3
Club Santos Laguna

Sep 12, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
5 :  2
Atlas FC

Sep 6, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  0
Monterrey

Sep 2, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  0
Club Leon

Aug 30, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
4 :  0
FC Juarez

Aug 26, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  0
Austin FC
L L W D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Sep 15, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Aug 21, 2026 - Liga MX

Queretaro
1 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC

Aug 15, 2026 - Liga MX

Atlante
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jul 18, 2026 - Liga MX

Chivas
0 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC

May 10, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
2 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Apr 29, 2026 - Concachampions

Los Angeles FC
2 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

CF Cruz Azul against Deportivo Toluca FC : Head to Head (H2H)

CF Cruz Azul

50 %

Draw

50 %

Deportivo Toluca FC

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

Jul 25, 2026 - Trofeo de Campeon de Campeones

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  3
CF Cruz Azul

Feb 7, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  1
CF Cruz Azul

Aug 23, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
1 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Apr 19, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  2
CF Cruz Azul

Jul 20, 2024 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
1 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Apr 27, 2024 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
0 :  1
CF Cruz Azul
CF Cruz Azul vs Deportivo Toluca FC Picks

Deportivo Toluca FC v CF Cruz Azul last Lineups

CF Cruz Azul

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

23
K. Mier
16
J. Marquez
4
W. Ditta
33
G. Piovi
5
J. Orozco
6
E. Lira
8
A. Palavecino
20
J. Paradela
19
C. Rodriguez
3
O. Chagoya
21
G. Fernandez
26
Paulinho
9
A. Vega
16
F. Vinas
20
J. Gallardo
8
N. Castro
205
E. Segura
25
E. del Villar
6
F. Pereira
4
B. Mendez
2
D. Zaragoza
22
L. Garcia

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Deportivo Toluca FC

Substitutes

CF Cruz Azul
CF Cruz Azul
Goalkeeper

A. Gudino

Defender

A. Montes

R. Orquin

A. Mozo

Midfielder

R. Gonzalez

A. Montano

A. Castro

Forward

L. Romero

N. Ibanez

O. Ebere

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
Goalkeeper

R. Beltran

Defender

B. Garcia

Luan

Midfielder

R. Angulo

J. Diaz

S. Simon

Forward

O. Virgen

P. Perez

J. Estrada

Missing players

CF Cruz Azul
CF Cruz Azul
Forward

A. Morales Rosas

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
Midfielder

M. Ruiz

S. Simon

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato CF Cruz Azul
CD Huachipato Deportivo Toluca FC
Top Goalscorer
Mexico J. Marquez (3 Goals) , 
Argentina N. Ibanez (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Uruguay F. Vinas (4 Goals)
Best assists
Mexico C. Rodriguez (5 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil Helinho (2 Assists) , 
Mexico A. Vega (2 Assists)

CF Cruz Azul and Deportivo Toluca FC Stats in Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
CF Cruz Azul
Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
56%
Wins
67%
44%
Losses
22%
0%
Draws
11%
3.44
Average goals per match
3.22
1.78
Goals scored per match
2.22
1.67
Goals conceded per match
1
33%
Under 2.5 goals
33%
67%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
11%
No goals conceded
44%
67%
Both score
56%

CF Cruz Azul - Deportivo Toluca FC Key Points

  1. Nicolás Ibáñez has scored an average of 0.47 Liga MX goals this season.
  2. No Cruz Azul player has scored more than Nicolás Ibáñez this season.
  3. During the current Liga MX campaign, Nicolás Ibáñez averages 3.60 shots per 90 minutes.
  4. Nicolás Ibáñez also averages 2.03 shots on target per 90 minutes this season.

Our CF Cruz Azul vs Deportivo Toluca FC Prediction

The scorer of three Liga MX goals so far this term, Nicolás Ibáñez is clearly one of Cruz Azul's most threatening forwards. The Argentine averages 0.47 goals per 90 minutes, which is close to a goal every other game, and that's a very respectable rate for any striker. The visitors had their defensive sturdiness broken quite considerably last time out, so they may not arrive at Estadio Banorte feeling too confident, and if that's the case, Ibáñez could easily take advantage. 

Courtesy of some very strong stats, the home-team forward looks too generously priced at odds of +200. 

SportyTrader's Cruz Azul vs Toluca Pick: Nicolás Ibáñez to Score.

Prediction:

 

Nicolas Ibanez to Score

+200
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.