Mexico - Liga MX
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by Erik Gibbs in Liga MX Picks
Cruz Azul have been among the division’s best sides in the early Apertura as they prepare for Toluca this Saturday. Second in the table with an 11-point tally from five outings (3 wins, 2 draws), they have been in good shape: e.g., they have bagged clean sheets vs. Necaxa and vs. León and secured draws on the road at difficult stops like Monterrey.
Offensively, they have ridden the form of star striker Adolfo “Fito” Sepúlveda, who already leads the league with 5 goals in five games. Midfielder Christian Rodríguez has scored 3 goals so far. The team has a possession style of football and has remained unbeaten so far.
They also recently moved on in a knockout competition (Leagues Cup) by defeating Tigres and Pumas, demonstrating assurance in both local and foreign competitions. Overall, Cruz Azul are in good shape and have momentum in their favor as they enter this game at the Estadio Azteca.
Deportivo Toluca are also at the top with 10 points (3-1-1). They have won three straight games recently and look resurgent under manager Ignacio Ambriz.
Toluca’s strength comes from a balanced attack: Brazilian Helinho (a creative winger) has scored 3 goals in four matches, and forward Paulinho has added 2 more.
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CF Cruz Azul vs Deportivo Toluca FC Form
Table
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3
![]() |
11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
5
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10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
CF Cruz Azul and Deportivo Toluca FC Latest Matches

3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Aug 16, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 11, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 7, 2025 - Leagues Cup
Aug 3, 2025 - Leagues Cup
Jul 31, 2025 - Leagues Cup
Jul 26, 2025 - Liga MX
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Aug 16, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 7, 2025 - Leagues Cup
Jul 31, 2025 - Leagues Cup
Jul 26, 2025 - Liga MX
Jul 12, 2025 - Liga MX
Jul 6, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Aug 11, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 3, 2025 - Leagues Cup
Jul 19, 2025 - Liga MX
Jun 27, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
May 18, 2025 - Liga MX
May 8, 2025 - Liga MX

3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Aug 20, 2025 - Leagues Cup
Aug 16, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 11, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 5, 2025 - Leagues Cup
Aug 1, 2025 - Leagues Cup
Jul 29, 2025 - Leagues Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Aug 20, 2025 - Leagues Cup
Aug 16, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 5, 2025 - Leagues Cup
Aug 1, 2025 - Leagues Cup
Jul 29, 2025 - Leagues Cup
Jul 26, 2025 - Liga MX
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Aug 11, 2025 - Liga MX
Jul 20, 2025 - Trofeo de Campeon de Campeones
Jul 16, 2025 - Liga MX
May 22, 2025 - Liga MX
May 14, 2025 - Liga MX
May 7, 2025 - Liga MX
CF Cruz Azul against Deportivo Toluca FC : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Apr 19, 2025 - Liga MX
Jul 20, 2024 - Liga MX
Apr 27, 2024 - Liga MX
Feb 12, 2023 - Liga MX
Feb 20, 2022 - Liga MX
Jul 27, 2019 - Liga MX
Deportivo Toluca FC v CF Cruz Azul last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players

A. Montano

Most goals and assists






CF Cruz Azul - Deportivo Toluca FC Key Points
- Cruz Azul are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
- Toluca are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
- The Over is 3-2 in Cruz Azul's last 5 games
- The Over is 5-0 in Toluca's last 5 games
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Our CF Cruz Azul vs Deportivo Toluca FC Prediction
Midfielder Julio Angulo, an Ecuadorian on loan from Atlas, has also contributed. Defensively Toluca has been solid in their last wins, though earlier they had a draw and one loss. In their last match they won convincingly 2-0 over León (with goals from Helinho and Paulinho). Overall Toluca are dangerous on the break and set pieces, and are in good form, though not quite as consistent as Cruz Azul.
When comparing players, Cruz Azul’s Sepúlveda is a constant scoring threat – he has been clinical from all angles and will worry Toluca’s back line. Rodríguez’s creativity will also be a factor. Toluca counters with Helinho’s dribbling and finishing, and Paulinho’s powerful runs.
Toluca’s midfielders Nicolas Castro and Santiago Vera add creativity and assists. A key tactical note is that Cruz Azul play at high altitude (Mexico City), which historically can affect visiting teams. That might give Cruz Azul an edge.
On balance, Cruz Azul’s unbeaten record and the home advantage of the Azteca put them as slight favorites. However, Toluca’s strong offense means this should be competitive. Cruz Azul’s defense might be tested, but if Sepúlveda keeps scoring, they should prevail. Toluca will push hard and could score on a counter, but Cruz Azul look more likely to win on this occasion given current form. Our prediction for Cruz Azul vs Toluca: Under 2.5 goals.
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