WTA - WTA Rome
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by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks
Jasmine Paolini of Italy will go for her first clay-court title as she dukes it out with Coco Gauff of the United States in the women’s singles final of the 2025 Italian Open.
Paolini booked her ticket to the championship match after cooling down Peyton Stearns 7-5 6-1 in the semifinal. Coming off a grueling quarterfinal duel with Diana Shnaider 6-7(1) 6-4 6-2, the Italian displayed great composure in the decisive moments of the first set to outgun Stearn, and then the killer instinct to pull away in second set. Paolini finished the match with 35 first-serve points and 6 breakpoint conversions.
Gauff, meanwhile, overcame a spirited challenge from Zheng Qinwen of China 7-6(3) 4-6 7-6(4) to secure her second consecutive ATP 1000 final appearance. Gauff, who is assured of the world’s No.2 ranking after this tournament, landed just 57 percent of her first serves but collected 50 points off of them. He also broke Zheng’s serves 9 times behind 70 return points.
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Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolini Form
Coco Gauff and Jasmine Paolini Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
May 15, 2025 - WTA Rome
May 14, 2025 - WTA Rome
May 12, 2025 - WTA Rome
May 11, 2025 - WTA Rome
May 9, 2025 - WTA Rome
May 3, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
May 15, 2025 - WTA Rome
May 13, 2025 - WTA Rome
May 12, 2025 - WTA Rome
May 10, 2025 - WTA Rome
May 8, 2025 - WTA Rome
Apr 27, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Coco Gauff against Jasmine Paolini : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
Apr 19, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
Aug 18, 2023 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Coco Gauff - Jasmine Paolini Key Points
- Jasmine Paolini defeated Peyton Stearns 7-5, 6-1 in the semifinal of the 2025 Italian Open.
- Jasmine Paolini is 9-2 on clay in 2025
- Coco Gauff defeated Zheng Qinwen 7-6(3) 4-6 7-6(4) in the semifinal of the 2025 Italian Open.
- Coco Gauff is 11-2 on clay in 2025.
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Our Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolini Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Jasmine Paolini dazzles to win first ATP 1000 clay-court title
Why you should bet on Jasmine Paolini to win Italian Open: Paolini defeated Coco Gauff 6-4 6-3 in the final of the 2025 Stuttgart Open four weeks ago. The Italian has been serving really well throughout the tournament, holding 76 percent of her serves and winning 61 percent of her first serves. Moreover, Paolini has also taken advantage of playing at home, drawing energy from a larger pro-Italian crowd to pump her up whenever she faces adversity in a match. I witnessed this when the crowd collectively willed Paolini to victory in a hotly contested match against Diana Shnaider in the quarterfinal.
Why you should NOT bet on Coco Gauff to win the Italian Open: Gauff would have been my pick to win it all if the venue of the match were not in Italy. Unfortunately, she’s facing a tall order of beating an Italian in the final of the Italian Open before a large Italian crowd on Saturday. While Gauff isn’t new to playing in a hostile environment, her opponent, Paolini has been on fire as well, and that makes her Italian conquest even tougher.
Our betting prediction for Coco Gauff vs. Jasmine Paolini: Jasmine Paolini will win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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