WTA - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
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by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks
Coco Gauff of the United States will test her mettle against the Queen of Clay, Iga Swiatek of Poland, in the semifinal of the 2025 Madrid Open on Thursday.
Gauff finally reached the semifinal of a WTA 1000-level tournament this year after she outdueled Mirra Andreeva of Russia 7-5 6-1 in the quarterfinal. Gauff controlled the match by winning 85 percent of her first serves and breaking Andreeva five times. It has been a challenging season for Gauff, but a signature win over Swiatek would give her a huge boost as she prepares for the upcoming French Open.
Swiatek survived another marathon match on Wednesday, exacting his revenge on Australian Open champion Madison Keys 0-6 6-3 6-2. For the third time in this tourney, Swiatek hacked out a win in three sets, though she has never looked vulnerable than in this match, especially in the first set, which was utterly dominated by Keys. But once again, the four-time French Open winner displayed the heart of a champion as she grinded her way to a valiant comeback win. The Pole finished with almost identical numbers as Keys, though the difference maker proved to be the 17 points she scored on her second serves.
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Coco Gauff vs Iga Swiatek Form
Coco Gauff and Iga Swiatek Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Apr 30, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 28, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 26, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 24, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 19, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
Apr 17, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Apr 30, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 29, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 26, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 24, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 19, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
Apr 16, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
Coco Gauff against Iga Swiatek : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Jan 5, 2025 - United Cup
Nov 5, 2024 - WTA Doha
Jun 6, 2024 - WTA French Open
May 16, 2024 - WTA Rome
Nov 1, 2023 - WTA Doha
Oct 7, 2023 - WTA China Open
Coco Gauff - Iga Swiatek Key Points
- Coco Gauff defeated Mirra Andreeva 7-5 6-1 in the quarterfinal of the 2025 Madrid Open.
- Coco Gauff is 4-4 head-to-head vs. Iga Swiatek
- Iga Swiatek defeated Madison Keys 0-6 6-3 6-2 in the quarterfinal of the 2025 Madrid Open.
- Iga Swiatek is the reigning Madrid Open champion.
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Our Coco Gauff vs Iga Swiatek Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Iga Swiatek is still too good for Coco Gauff on clay.
Despite her hiccups in this tourney and the clay-court season, Swiatek is still my best bet to win the Madrid Open. I believe that the best version of Swiatek has yet to come, and Iga fans hope it will come sooner rather than later, in the semifinal match vs. Coco Gauff, who has beaten her in their last two encounters. Gauff is a streaky player who turns hot with each win she gets. In short, she is a threat to Swiatek’s reign in Madrid. However, I can also set aside the fact that the Pole has defeated her convincingly in their previous three matches on clay, including a 6-2 6-4 win in last year’s French Open semifinals. Gauff may give Swiatek a bit of a scare, but I am confident it’s still Swiatek who will end up in the final. Our betting prediction for Iga Swiatek vs Coco Gauff: Iga Swiatek will win 2-0.
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