Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertens Prediction & Picks - WTA China Open

WTA - WTA China Open

Coco Gauff USA
Coco Gauff WTA 4
10/7/26 02:15
Elise Mertens Belgium
Elise Mertens WTA 19

Prediction:

 

Elise Mertens +1.5 Set Handicap

+115
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 by Bradley Gibbs in Tennis Picks

One of the matches due to take place at the WTA event in Beijing during the early hours of Wednesday morning involves two top-20 players. Coco Gauff, now ranked as the world number four, takes on Elise Mertens, who is the current world number 19. The American is attempting to win this event for the second time, doing so back in 2024. The Belgian has never won this event, but she knows a thing or two about winning WTA tournaments, while she has plenty of previous experience in terms of making Gauff work hard for victory. 

The early betting market has unsurprisingly installed Coco Gauff as a massive favorite, but is there a chance that Elise Mertens is a being dismissed a little too much? Absolutely. Gauff hasn't been in perfect form of late, while Mertens is someone who rarely loses in straight sets, especially on this type of surface. 

Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertens Form

Coco Gauff and Elise Mertens Latest Matches

Coco Gauff Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 5, 2026 - WTA China Open

Coco Gauff
2 :  0
Xinran Sun

Oct 2, 2026 - WTA China Open

Coco Gauff
2 :  1
Camila Osorio

Sep 10, 2026 - WTA US Open

Coco Gauff
1 :  2
Elena Rybakina

Sep 9, 2026 - WTA US Open

Mirra Andreeva
1 :  2
Coco Gauff

Sep 7, 2026 - WTA US Open

Iva Jovic
0 :  2
Coco Gauff

Sep 5, 2026 - WTA US Open

Cristina Bucsa
0 :  2
Coco Gauff
Elise Mertens Latest matches
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 5, 2026 - WTA China Open

Jelena Ostapenko
1 :  2
Elise Mertens

Oct 2, 2026 - WTA China Open

Katie Volynets
1 :  2
Elise Mertens

Sep 25, 2026 - WTA Singapore

Elise Mertens
0 :  2
Maja Chwalinska

Sep 5, 2026 - WTA US Open

Naomi Osaka
2 :  1
Elise Mertens

Sep 3, 2026 - WTA US Open

Maria Timofeeva
0 :  2
Elise Mertens

Sep 1, 2026 - WTA US Open

Kaitlin Quevedo
0 :  2
Elise Mertens

Coco Gauff against Elise Mertens : Head to Head (H2H)

Coco Gauff

100 %

Elise Mertens

0 %

Feb 18, 2026 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships

Coco Gauff
2 :  1
Elise Mertens

Mar 13, 2024 - WTA Indian Wells

Elise Mertens
0 :  2
Coco Gauff

Sep 1, 2023 - WTA US Open

Elise Mertens
1 :  2
Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertens Picks

Coco Gauff - Elise Mertens Key Points

  1. Coco Gauff has only won one of her last four matches in straight sets.
  2. Coco Gauff has already dropped a set against a lower-ranked player at this tournament.
  3. Elise Mertens has only lost one of her last 12 hard-court matches in straight sets.
  4. Elise Mertens has only lost one of her previous three hard-court matches against Coco Gauff in straight sets.

Our Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertens Prediction

As mentioned above, this won't be the first hard-court match between these two players in 2026. When the pair met in Dubai earlier in the season, Elise Mertens did lose, but she pushed the current world number four pretty hard, picking up a set in the process. Given the recent form of both, she's worth betting on to do something similar here. 

The early market suggests that there's a less than 50% chance of the Belgian winning at least one set, which all things considered, seems slightly unfair. 

Our Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertens Pick: Elise Mertens +1.5 Set Handicap.

Prediction:

 

Elise Mertens +1.5 Set Handicap

+115
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.