Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
7/19/26 19:00
Connecticut Sun

Prediction:

 

Over 160.5 points to hit.

-180
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 by Stephen Abiola in WNBA Picks

Two struggling WNBA sides, Phoenix Mercury (8-18) and Connecticut Sun (7-18), will battle for a vital win on Sunday night at the PHX Arena. The Mercury will be shooting to stop their five-game slide, leaving them second-last in the Western Conference. They’re coming off an 83-96 home defeat against the Sun on Saturday despite Kahleah Copper scoring 21 points. Bookmakers are backing them to get their sweet revenge at -170 moneyline odds.

Connecticut Sun, on the other hand, will be feeling super confident after outplaying the Mercury last time out. Leila Lacan had a memorable night, scoring a career-high of 26 points after shooting 10-of-13 from the field. Earlier, the Sun had defeated Portland Fire 90-87 at home to stop their two-game winless run. But despite these impressive wins, they’re still stuck at the bottom of the Eastern Conference, two games behind Chicago. They’re the exciting +130 underdogs tonight.

Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
13 Phoenix Mercury
0.308 26 8 18
14 Connecticut Sun
0.28 25 7 18 2

Phoenix Mercury and Connecticut Sun Latest Matches

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Latest matches
W L L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Jul 17, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
83 :  96
Connecticut Sun

Jul 13, 2026 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
104 :  100
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 11, 2026 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
106 :  58
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 9, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  92
Indiana Fever

Jul 7, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
66 :  77
Chicago Sky

Jul 2, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
90 :  67
Seattle Storm
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 17, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
83 :  96
Connecticut Sun

Jul 9, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  92
Indiana Fever

Jul 7, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
66 :  77
Chicago Sky

Jul 2, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
90 :  67
Seattle Storm

Jun 20, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
93 :  73
Seattle Storm

Jun 17, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
76 :  86
Las Vegas Aces
L L W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 13, 2026 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
104 :  100
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 11, 2026 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
106 :  58
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 27, 2026 - WNBA

Toronto Tempo
80 :  89
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 24, 2026 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
109 :  111
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 22, 2026 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
86 :  77
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 11, 2026 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
85 :  70
Phoenix Mercury
Connecticut Sun
Connecticut Sun Latest matches
L W L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 17, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
83 :  96
Connecticut Sun

Jul 14, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
90 :  87
Portland Fire

Jul 10, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
64 :  79
Golden State Valkyries

Jul 8, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
80 :  86
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 6, 2026 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
89 :  90
Connecticut Sun

Jul 2, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
83 :  86
Dallas Wings
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 14, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
90 :  87
Portland Fire

Jul 10, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
64 :  79
Golden State Valkyries

Jul 8, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
80 :  86
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 2, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
83 :  86
Dallas Wings

Jun 26, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
68 :  57
Washington Mystics

Jun 22, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
92 :  63
Chicago Sky
L L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 17, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
83 :  96
Connecticut Sun

Jul 6, 2026 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
89 :  90
Connecticut Sun

Jun 10, 2026 - WNBA

Toronto Tempo
106 :  102
Connecticut Sun

Jun 5, 2026 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
85 :  80
Connecticut Sun

Jun 2, 2026 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
91 :  75
Connecticut Sun

May 27, 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
71 :  61
Connecticut Sun

Phoenix Mercury against Connecticut Sun : Head to Head (H2H)

Phoenix Mercury

33 %

Connecticut Sun

67 %

Jul 17, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
83 :  96
Connecticut Sun

Sep 6, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
87 :  84
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 5, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
82 :  66
Connecticut Sun

Jun 18, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
75 :  83
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 13, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
69 :  88
Connecticut Sun

Jul 14, 2024 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
96 :  69
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun Picks

Players list

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury

D. Bonner

M. Akoa-Makani

N. Brochant

A. Thomas

K. Copper

Connecticut Sun
Connecticut Sun
O. Nelson-Ododa B. Griner

L. Lacan

C. Leger-Walker

D. Miller

Substitutes

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
N. Mack K. Linskens

S. Whitcomb

L. Held

M. Suarez

V. Ayayi

Connecticut Sun
Connecticut Sun
K. Burke

S. Rivers

G. Kneepkens

R. Beers

N. Angloma

A. Morrow

A. Edwards

Phoenix Mercury - Connecticut Sun Key Points

  1. The total points went over in four of the last five Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun games.
  2. The total points went over 160.5 in the last four Phoenix Mercury matches.
  3. The total points went over 160.5 in five of the last six Connecticut Sun matches.
  4. The total points went over 160.5 in the last five Connecticut Sun away matches.

Our Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun Prediction

We don’t trust either side to win tonight. Phoenix Mercury have been disappointing lately, losing their last five matches and going 2-8 in their last 10 home games. The Sun haven’t fared any better on the road this year, losing eight of their 11 matches. However, they’ve done enough to convince us they can pull another upset tonight, having gone 5-5 in their last 10 matches. The Sun have shown renewed confidence in their offense lately, scoring 90+ points in three of their last four matches. But the Mercury have also looked great in offense lately, so we expect the total points to go over 160.5. The hosts have scored 80 or more points in three of their last four matches. We generally expect it to be a closely contested game with several momentum swings.

Our prediction for Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun: Over 160.5 points to hit.

Prediction:

 

Over 160.5 points to hit.

-180
$1000 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.