Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
7/17/26 22:00
Connecticut Sun

Prediction:

 

Over 163.5 Total Points

-106
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 by Matt Lowrimore | in WNBA Picks

A four-game WNBA slate is scheduled for Friday, one of which will feature a matchup between the Phoenix Mercury and the Connecticut Sun. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Mercury and the Sun.

Connecticut enters this game with a record of 6-18 and is currently in last place in the WNBA’s Eastern Conference. The Sun are coming off a rare win, but are 4-6 over their last 10 games. Connecticut has also been abysmal on the road this season, suggesting they could struggle in this game, even against the Mercury.

As for Phoenix, they enter this game with a record of 8-17 and are currently in seventh place in the WNBA’s Western Conference. The Mercury has lost four games in a row and is 4-6 over their last 10 games. To go along with that, Phoenix has been a terrible home team this season.

Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
13 Phoenix Mercury
0.32 25 8 17
14 Connecticut Sun
0.25 24 6 18 1

Phoenix Mercury and Connecticut Sun Latest Matches

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Latest matches
W W L L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 13, 2026 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
104 :  100
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 11, 2026 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
106 :  58
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 9, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  92
Indiana Fever

Jul 7, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
66 :  77
Chicago Sky

Jul 2, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
90 :  67
Seattle Storm

Jun 27, 2026 - WNBA

Toronto Tempo
80 :  89
Phoenix Mercury
L L W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 9, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  92
Indiana Fever

Jul 7, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
66 :  77
Chicago Sky

Jul 2, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
90 :  67
Seattle Storm

Jun 20, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
93 :  73
Seattle Storm

Jun 17, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
76 :  86
Las Vegas Aces

Jun 13, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
102 :  111
L.a. Sparks
L L W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 13, 2026 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
104 :  100
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 11, 2026 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
106 :  58
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 27, 2026 - WNBA

Toronto Tempo
80 :  89
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 24, 2026 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
109 :  111
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 22, 2026 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
86 :  77
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 11, 2026 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
85 :  70
Phoenix Mercury
Connecticut Sun
Connecticut Sun Latest matches
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 14, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
90 :  87
Portland Fire

Jul 10, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
64 :  79
Golden State Valkyries

Jul 8, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
80 :  86
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 6, 2026 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
89 :  90
Connecticut Sun

Jul 2, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
83 :  86
Dallas Wings

Jun 26, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
68 :  57
Washington Mystics
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 14, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
90 :  87
Portland Fire

Jul 10, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
64 :  79
Golden State Valkyries

Jul 8, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
80 :  86
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 2, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
83 :  86
Dallas Wings

Jun 26, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
68 :  57
Washington Mystics

Jun 22, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
92 :  63
Chicago Sky
L L L L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Jul 6, 2026 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
89 :  90
Connecticut Sun

Jun 10, 2026 - WNBA

Toronto Tempo
106 :  102
Connecticut Sun

Jun 5, 2026 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
85 :  80
Connecticut Sun

Jun 2, 2026 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
91 :  75
Connecticut Sun

May 27, 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
71 :  61
Connecticut Sun

May 25, 2026 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
97 :  70
Connecticut Sun

Phoenix Mercury against Connecticut Sun : Head to Head (H2H)

Phoenix Mercury

33 %

Connecticut Sun

67 %

Sep 6, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
87 :  84
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 5, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
82 :  66
Connecticut Sun

Jun 18, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
75 :  83
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 13, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
69 :  88
Connecticut Sun

Jul 14, 2024 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
96 :  69
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 1, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
72 :  83
Connecticut Sun
Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun Picks

Players list

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury

D. Bonner

M. Akoa-Makani

A. Thomas

K. Copper

N. Brochant

Connecticut Sun
Connecticut Sun
O. Nelson-Ododa B. Griner

C. Leger-Walker

L. Lacan

D. Miller

Substitutes

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
N. Mack K. Linskens

S. Whitcomb

L. Held

V. Ayayi

M. Suarez

Connecticut Sun
Connecticut Sun
K. Burke

S. Rivers

G. Kneepkens

A. Jackson

H. Van Lith

A. Edwards

A. Morrow

R. Beers

N. Angloma

Phoenix Mercury - Connecticut Sun Key Points

  1. Connecticut is averaging 79.7 points per game this season
  2. Connecticut is allowing an average of 86.4 points per game this season
  3. Phoenix is averaging 83.3 points per game this season
  4. Phoenix is allowing an average of 87.3 points per game this season

Our Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun Prediction

The Mercury are the clear favorite in this game; however, the over looks to be the best betting option. While both the Mercury and Sun have been underwhelming this season, the one thing they have in common is their lack of defense.

Phoenix is allowing an average of 87.3 points per game this season, while Connecticut is allowing an average of 86.4 points per game. 

Further, the over is 4-1 in the last five meetings between these two teams and 12-3 in the last 15 home games for Phoenix. Because of that, our Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun prediction is: Over 163.5 Total Points.

Prediction:

 

Over 163.5 Total Points

-106
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.