Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction & Picks - NHL
USA - NHL
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by Erik Gibbs | in NHL Picks
The Toronto Maple Leafs and Colorado Avalanche meet at Scotiabank Arena this Saturday in a cross-conference clash that finds both clubs searching for stability after a turbulent January. Toronto enters this matchup having struggled with consistency throughout the month, recently dropping a 6-3 decision to the Vegas Golden Knights on Friday and a 2-1 overtime heartbreaker to the Detroit Red Wings earlier in the week.
These losses have seen the Maple Leafs slide to sixth in the Atlantic Division with a 24-18-9 record. Despite a three-game winning streak earlier in the month, highlighted by a previous 4-3 overtime win over these same Avalanche on January 12, Toronto has struggled to string together consecutive victories, largely due to a defensive unit that ranks in the bottom third of the league for goals allowed per game.
The Colorado Avalanche arrive in Toronto still holding the top spot in the NHL standings with a 34-6-9 record, though their recent form suggests a cooling period. Colorado is coming off a staggering 7-3 loss to the Philadelphia Flyers on Friday night, which followed a 2-1 shootout loss to the Anaheim Ducks on Wednesday.
While the Avalanche offense remains the most potent in the league, averaging nearly four goals per game, they have uncharacteristically lost three of their last five regulation games. The team's dominant goal differential of +73 remains a league high, but the recent slide highlights a growing vulnerability in their defensive rotations when their high-octane transition game is neutralized by disciplined checking.
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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
119 | 1866 | 47 | 16 | +97 |
|
28
|
78 | 2377 | 23 | 36 | -46 |
Toronto Maple Leafs and Colorado Avalanche Latest Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Jan 23, 2026 - NHL
Jan 21, 2026 - NHL
Jan 19, 2026 - NHL
Jan 17, 2026 - NHL
Jan 15, 2026 - NHL
Jan 13, 2026 - NHL
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jan 23, 2026 - NHL
Jan 21, 2026 - NHL
Jan 19, 2026 - NHL
Jan 10, 2026 - NHL
Jan 6, 2026 - NHL
Jan 1, 2026 - NHL
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jan 17, 2026 - NHL
Jan 15, 2026 - NHL
Jan 13, 2026 - NHL
Jan 12, 2026 - NHL
Jan 8, 2026 - NHL
Jan 3, 2026 - NHL
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jan 23, 2026 - NHL
Jan 21, 2026 - NHL
Jan 19, 2026 - NHL
Jan 16, 2026 - NHL
Jan 12, 2026 - NHL
Jan 10, 2026 - NHL
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jan 23, 2026 - NHL
Jan 21, 2026 - NHL
Jan 19, 2026 - NHL
Jan 16, 2026 - NHL
Jan 12, 2026 - NHL
Jan 10, 2026 - NHL
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jan 6, 2026 - NHL
Jan 4, 2026 - NHL
Jan 3, 2026 - NHL
Dec 27, 2025 - NHL
Dec 21, 2025 - NHL
Dec 16, 2025 - NHL
Toronto Maple Leafs against Colorado Avalanche : Head to Head (H2H)
40 %
60 %
Jan 12, 2026 - NHL
Mar 19, 2025 - NHL
Mar 8, 2025 - NHL
Jan 13, 2024 - NHL
Mar 15, 2023 - NHL
Players list
J. Woll
A. Stolarz
S. Benoit
T. Stecher
M. Rielly
O. Ekman-Larsson
J. McCabe
B. Carlo
N. Robertson
M. Maccelli
E. Cowan
J. Quillan
B. McMann
M. Knies
M. Domi
S. Laughton
J. Tavares
N. Roy
S. Lorentz
A. Matthews
I. Posch
M. Blackwood
B. Burns
C. Makar
J. Ahcan
S. Girard
J. Manson
S. Malinski
J. Drury
P. Kelly
M. Necas
G. Brindley
T. Makar
Z. Bardakov
B. Nelson
V. Nichushkin
A. Lehkonen
N. MacKinnon
V. Olofsson
J. Kiviranta
Most goals and assists
Toronto Maple Leafs
Colorado Avalanche
J. Tavares
(31 Goals)
N. MacKinnon
(60 Goals)
W. Nylander
(49 Assists)
N. MacKinnon
(82 Assists)
Toronto Maple Leafs - Colorado Avalanche Key Points
- The Over is 4-1 in the Maple Leafs' last 5 games
- The Over is 4-1 in the Avalanche's last 5 games
- The Maple Leafs are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
- The Avalanche are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
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Our Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction
Individual performances over the last two weeks have been dominated by the league's elite centers. Colorado's Nathan MacKinnon has been on a tear, tallying 11 points over his last five games to maintain his position as the NHL's leading scorer with 85 points. For Toronto, Auston Matthews has been productive with four goals in his last five outings, while William Nylander has provided a boost since returning from a groin injury.
On the injury front, Colorado continues to play without captain Gabriel Landeskog and defenseman Devon Toews, both of whom are on injured reserve. The Maple Leafs are relatively healthy following the return of goaltender Anthony Stolarz, though defenseman Brandon Carlo is currently day-to-day, having suffered a new injury last week.
The Colorado Avalanche hold the upper hand despite their recent road stumbles. Colorado's historical dominance in this head-to-head matchup and their superior special teams play give them the edge against a Toronto team that has struggled to defend the rush. While the Maple Leafs have been strong at home this season, their recent defensive lapses against Vegas and Detroit make it difficult to back them against MacKinnon's high-frequency shooting. Expect a high-scoring game, but Colorado's depth should prevail. Our prediction for Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche: Over 6.5 goals.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
