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by Travis Pulver in MLB Picks
The Cleveland Guardians will head out to the East Coast for a three-game series with the Red Sox in Boston, with Game One scheduled for today at 1:35 p.m. EST at Fenway Park.
Cleveland saw its four-game win streak come to an end yesterday with a 4-2 loss to the Seattle Mariners at home. With that loss, they are 68-67, four games back of the Mariners for the final wild card spot in the AL. Boston lost two of three to the Pirates at home over the weekend. At 76-62, they have a 2.5-game lead on the Mariners for the second AL-wild-card spot. Parker Messick is scheduled to make his third career start today for the Guardians. So far, he’s had one road start and one at home. Between the two, he has surrendered one earned run (.66 ERA), 11 hits, and one walk (.88 WHIP), and 11 hits (no homeruns) for a .224 OBA. Boston will go with Brayan Bello. Bello has gone 10-6 this season in 23 starts (24 appearances) with a 2.99 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, and a .237 OBA. He’s gone 7-3 at home in 14 starts (15 appearances) with a 3.07 ERA and .245 OBA.
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Cleveland Guardians vs Boston Red Sox Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
8
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0.553 | 141 | 78 | 63 |
17
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0.5 | 138 | 69 | 69 |
Cleveland Guardians and Boston Red Sox Latest Matches

4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 31, 2025 - MLB
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Aug 31, 2025 - MLB
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 28, 2025 - MLB
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Cleveland Guardians against Boston Red Sox : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
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Cleveland Guardians - Boston Red Sox Key Points
- Boston leads the all-time series vs. Cleveland 1011-1073-8.
- Boston’s lineup has hit .233 over the last week and scored 25 runs across seven games.
- Cleveland has hit an MLB-low .162 over the last week and scored 18 runs across six games.
- Betting Public: 25% of TOTAL tickets and 30% of the handle are on the UNDER (8.5).
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Our Cleveland Guardians vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
Messick only has two MLB starts under his belt, but he was sharp in both and should be able to handle a Boston lineup that’s only hitting .233 (over the last week). Bello hasn’t been as sharp, but allowed just eight earned runs across his last five starts. In an April 27 start in Cleveland, he got the win after pitching six innings and giving up six hits and three earned runs. In a game featuring two pitchers that have been hard to hit and two underperforming lineups, the best bet is clear for what will likely be a low-scoring game.
Our Guardians vs. Red Sox Pick: UNDER 8.5
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