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by Erik Gibbs in MLB Picks
The Pittsburgh Pirates will welcome the Cincinnati Reds to PNC Park today for the finale of their three-game series, looking to bounce back from a narrow 2-1 defeat in Saturday’s matchup. Cincinnati entered that game in a slump, having lost the first two contests of the series and dropping three straight overall, as well as four of their previous six, which left them 3.5 games behind the final National League Wild Card spot. However, the Reds steadied themselves with Saturday’s win, keeping their postseason hopes alive.
For Pittsburgh, the post–All-Star break stretch has been solid. The club has gone 12-9 in that span, with four of those victories coming via shutout, a testament to the strength of their pitching staff when it’s on point. This is the third series of the year between the Pirates and Reds, with Cincinnati now holding a slight 6-5 edge across their 11 meetings so far in 2025.
The Reds, under first-year Cincinnati manager Terry Francona, have been working to blend their young core with proven experience. Francona inherits a roster that features a capable starting rotation, an offense ranked 12th in MLB in runs scored, and one of the league’s most exciting young stars in 23-year-old shortstop Elly De La Cruz. His rare combination of speed, power, and defensive skill makes him a constant threat on both sides of the ball. Cincinnati’s mix of offensive firepower and solid pitching gives them a playoff-caliber profile, though consistency has been a challenge this season.
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Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
14
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0.517 | 118 | 61 | 57 |
26
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0.432 | 118 | 51 | 67 |
Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates Latest Matches

3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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Cincinnati Reds against Pittsburgh Pirates : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Aug 9, 2025 - MLB
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Cincinnati Reds - Pittsburgh Pirates Key Points
- The Reds are 58-53 ATS this season
- The Pirates are 59-51 ATS this season
- The Reds are 31-30 when listed as the moneyline underdog
- The Over is 43-67 in the Pirates' 110 games
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Our Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
On the mound for the Reds today will be right-hander Zack Littell, making his second start since joining the club. Littell impressed in his Cincinnati debut against the Chicago Cubs, delivering seven strong innings while allowing just one run on three hits and striking out eight. His ability to limit hard contact and attack the strike zone could be a key advantage, especially since the Pirates haven’t faced him yet this season.
Pittsburgh will counter with righty Mike Burrows, who is looking to rebound from a rough outing against the San Francisco Giants. In that game, Burrows was tagged for six runs on five hits and three walks over 4.2 innings. The 25-year-old has shown flashes of potential, but command lapses have been costly in recent starts.
For Cincinnati, this matchup represents a prime opportunity to close the series strong and tighten the Wild Card race. Littell’s unfamiliarity to Pittsburgh hitters could play in the Reds’ favor, and if the offense can provide early run support, they may be able to build on Saturday’s momentum.
For the Pirates, success will hinge on Burrows finding the strike zone early and avoiding the kind of big inning that has hurt them in recent losses. Our prediction for Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: Reds to win.
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