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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
The Los Angeles Dodgers will kick off its title defense on Tuesday as they duke it out with the Cincinnati Reds in Game 1 of the 2025 National League wild card series at Dodger Stadium.
The Dodgers are -206 favorites at home, but the upset-minded Reds (+167) finished their regular-season campaign on an 8-3 spurt in their last 11 games.
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The Dodgers swept their final five games of the season to claim the NL West title. However, Los Angeles will still play in the wild card series because they finished with the worst record among the three division champions in the National League. Over the last five games, the Dodgers have averaged 6.0 runs and 1.8 home runs per game on a .257 batting average. Los Angeles has also maintained a 2.51 ERA despite another bad stretch for the bullpen, which has given up a 5.21 ERA in this five-game spell.
The Reds caught the last bus for the MLB postseason after winning three of their last four games to fend off the New York Mets in a thrilling wild card race. As a result, Cincinnati returns to the postseason for the first time since 2020. The Reds finished their regular-season campaign with a 3.86 ERA (12th in the MLB) and 714 total runs (14th in the MLB).
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Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers Form
Cincinnati Reds and Los Angeles Dodgers Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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4/6 (67%)
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4/6 (67%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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Cincinnati Reds against Los Angeles Dodgers : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
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Cincinnati Reds - Los Angeles Dodgers Key Points
- LA Dodgers is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati.
- LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
- Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games against LA Dodgers.
- Cincinnati is 0-6 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers.
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Our Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction
The Dodgers will start their ace Blake Snell, who has surrendered one earned run over his last 19 innings across three starts. The two-time CY Young Award winner is proven postseason performer, carrying a 4-3 record with a 3.33 ERA in 14 mound appearances in October.
The Reds have tapped Hunter Greene to start in Tuesday’s Game 1. Greene wrapped up his regular-season campaign with a 7-4 record and a 2.76 ERA. However, Greene is only 1-2 in his last three starts facing the Dodgers. In his last start against the defending World Series champion, Greene surrendered three earned runs and six hits over 5.0 innings in a 0-7 loss on August 25, 2025.
Will the Reds stun the Dodgers in Game 1?
Apart from their 5-1 head-to-head record in their last six meetings with the Cincinnati Reds, the LA Dodgers have been undefeated in their last five games at Dodger Stadium. Los Angeles is also 6-0 in their home games against the Reds, putting a lot of pressure for Terry Francona’s team to break this losing skid in perhaps the most important game of their season.
Francona is a two-time World Series champion and three-time Manager of the Year. He is experienced enough to know that he’s facing not just a playoff-caliber team but probably the squad favored to win it all again. The Reds will try to tame the Dodgers’ loaded batting lineup with their pitching and bullpen depth. Still, it’s easier said than done.
Snell had led the Dodgers to a pair of shutout wins over Colorado (9-0) and Philadelphia (5-0) before the close 5-4 win over Arizona on September 25. The biggest concern for the Dodgers right now is their bullpen, who has blown a lot of big leads this season.
But again, the Dodgers are the defending champs. They have been in this situation before. They know how to grind through the postseason and the relief pitchers definitely know when is the right time to step up their game.
Our betting prediction for the Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds: the Dodgers -1.5 Runs
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