Cincinnati Reds vs Boston Red Sox Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
6/30/25 19:10
Boston Red Sox

Prediction:

 

UNDER 7.5

-105
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 by Travis Pulver in MLB Picks

The Cincinnati Reds are on the road to start the week, in Boston for a three-game series vs. the Red Sox. Game One is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. EST at Fenway Park in Boston, MA.

Cincinnati has been playing decent ball of late, winning five of their last seven, including two of three in their weekend series vs. the Padres. They are currently four games over .500 and in fourth place in the NL Central, five games back of the Cubs.  But it has been a tougher road for Boston of late; they have lost seven of their last eight and went 1-2 in their weekend series vs. Toronto. Chase Burns will start the day on the mound for the Reds. However, his 5.40 ERA is a bit misleading.  This will be just his second start of the season; the first game was vs. the Yankees, and he went five innings while giving up six hits and three earned runs while striking out eight. Garrett Crochet will get the nod for the Red Sox; he’s 7-4 with a 2.06 ERA and 1.02 WHIP. However, despite how well he has pitched throughout the season, Crochet has yet to win a game at home.


 

Cincinnati Reds vs Boston Red Sox Form

Table

Teams % P W L
14
Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds
0.524 84 44 40
20
Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox
0.482 85 41 44

Cincinnati Reds and Boston Red Sox Latest Matches

Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds Latest matches
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 29, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  3
Cincinnati Reds

Jun 28, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
6 :  4
Cincinnati Reds

Jun 27, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
1 :  8
Cincinnati Reds

Jun 25, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
7 :  1
Cincinnati Reds

Jun 24, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
4 :  5
Cincinnati Reds

Jun 23, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  6
Cincinnati Reds
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 29, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  3
Cincinnati Reds

Jun 28, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
6 :  4
Cincinnati Reds

Jun 27, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
1 :  8
Cincinnati Reds

Jun 25, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
7 :  1
Cincinnati Reds

Jun 24, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
4 :  5
Cincinnati Reds

Jun 23, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  6
Cincinnati Reds
L W W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jun 22, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
4 :  1
St. Louis Cardinals

Jun 21, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
5 :  6
St. Louis Cardinals

Jun 20, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
1 :  6
St. Louis Cardinals

Jun 15, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
8 :  4
Detroit Tigers

Jun 14, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
11 :  1
Detroit Tigers

Jun 13, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
5 :  11
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox Latest matches
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Jun 29, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
5 :  3
Boston Red Sox

Jun 28, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  15
Boston Red Sox

Jun 27, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
9 :  0
Boston Red Sox

Jun 25, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  5
Los Angeles Angels

Jun 24, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  3
Los Angeles Angels

Jun 23, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
5 :  9
Los Angeles Angels
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 29, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
5 :  3
Boston Red Sox

Jun 28, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  15
Boston Red Sox

Jun 27, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
9 :  0
Boston Red Sox

Jun 15, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
0 :  2
Boston Red Sox

Jun 14, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
3 :  4
Boston Red Sox

Jun 13, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  2
Boston Red Sox
W L L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Jun 25, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  5
Los Angeles Angels

Jun 24, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  3
Los Angeles Angels

Jun 23, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
5 :  9
Los Angeles Angels

Jun 22, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
5 :  9
San Francisco Giants

Jun 21, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  3
San Francisco Giants

Jun 20, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
7 :  5
San Francisco Giants

Cincinnati Reds against Boston Red Sox : Head to Head (H2H)

Cincinnati Reds

100 %

Boston Red Sox

0 %

Jun 21, 2024 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  5
Cincinnati Reds

May 30, 2023 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
9 :  8
Boston Red Sox

Cincinnati Reds - Boston Red Sox Key Points

  1. Boston holds the all-time series lead vs. Cincinnati, 20-10.
  2. Boston is 23-19 at home; Cincinnati is 20-21 away from home.
  3. The underdog has won the last five games at Fenway.
  4. Betting Public: Moneyline tickets are split 69% to 31% in favor of Boston, but the handle is split 52% to 48%.

Our Cincinnati Reds vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

I’d lean towards Boston winning because Crochet is such a beast, but the Red Sox are not hitting well (.226 over the last week). Burns is better than a 5.40 ERA would typically indicate. Cincinnati is hitting .253 over the last week, but Crochet will keep them in check. Don’t be surprised if this one turns into a pitcher’s duel.

Our Reds vs. Red Sox Pick: UNDER 7.5 

Prediction:

 

UNDER 7.5

-105
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Cincinnati Reds vs Boston Red Sox Picks