Chivas vs Puebla Prediction & Picks - Liga MX

Mexico - Liga MX

Chivas
4/18/26 21:07
Puebla

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5

-185
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 by Erik Gibbs | in Liga MX Picks

Chivas and Puebla face off at the Akron Stadium on Saturday in a match that carries massive implications for the postseason seeding. Guadalajara has been the talk of the league, largely due to a revitalized offensive philosophy that has seen them dismantle opponents with a blend of speed and technical precision. Their recent trajectory has been overwhelmingly positive, marked by a high-scoring run that has rejuvenated a fanbase hungry for silverware. The Rebaño Sagrado are playing with a palpable sense of confidence, moving the ball with a fluidity that few teams in the Clausura can match.

In stark contrast, Puebla has found the current campaign to be an uphill struggle. La Franja has dealt with a porous defense that has conceded far too many high-quality chances, leading to a string of disappointing results. While they remain a hard-working group that fights for every second ball, the lack of a consistent goal-scoring threat has made it difficult for them to turn competitive efforts into actual victories.

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Chivas vs Puebla Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Chivas
36 17 11 3 3 +16
17 Puebla
13 17 3 4 10 -13

Chivas and Puebla Latest Matches

Chivas
Chivas Latest matches
W W W W D L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Apr 11, 2026 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
4 :  1
Chivas

Apr 5, 2026 - Liga MX

Chivas
2 :  2
Pumas UNAM

Mar 29, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Atlas FC
0 :  1
Chivas

Mar 21, 2026 - Liga MX

Monterrey
2 :  3
Chivas

Mar 18, 2026 - Liga MX

Chivas
5 :  0
Club Leon

Mar 14, 2026 - Liga MX

Chivas
3 :  0
Club Santos Laguna
W W W W W D
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 5, 2026 - Liga MX

Chivas
2 :  2
Pumas UNAM

Mar 18, 2026 - Liga MX

Chivas
5 :  0
Club Leon

Mar 14, 2026 - Liga MX

Chivas
3 :  0
Club Santos Laguna

Feb 14, 2026 - Liga MX

Chivas
1 :  0
CF America

Jan 17, 2026 - Liga MX

Chivas
2 :  1
Queretaro

Jan 10, 2026 - Liga MX

Chivas
2 :  0
CF Pachuca
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 11, 2026 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
4 :  1
Chivas

Mar 29, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Atlas FC
0 :  1
Chivas

Mar 21, 2026 - Liga MX

Monterrey
2 :  3
Chivas

Mar 7, 2026 - Liga MX

Atlas FC
1 :  2
Chivas

Feb 28, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  0
Chivas

Feb 21, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
2 :  1
Chivas
Puebla
Puebla Latest matches
W L D L D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 10, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  1
Club Leon

Apr 3, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
1 :  1
FC Juarez

Mar 22, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Santos Laguna
2 :  1
Puebla

Mar 13, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  0
Club Necaxa

Mar 7, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
2 :  1
Puebla

Mar 4, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
3 :  1
Tigres UANL
L L W D D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 10, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  1
Club Leon

Apr 3, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
1 :  1
FC Juarez

Mar 13, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  0
Club Necaxa

Mar 4, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
3 :  1
Tigres UANL

Feb 20, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  4
CF America

Feb 13, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
2 :  3
Pumas UNAM
L L D W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Mar 22, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Santos Laguna
2 :  1
Puebla

Mar 7, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
2 :  1
Puebla

Feb 28, 2026 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
0 :  1
Puebla

Feb 6, 2026 - Liga MX

Tijuana
0 :  0
Puebla

Jan 17, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
1 :  0
Puebla

Jan 9, 2026 - Liga MX

Atlas FC
1 :  0
Puebla

Chivas against Puebla : Head to Head (H2H)

Chivas

67 %

Draw

0 %

Puebla

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
16.67%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored
0.67
Goals conceded
16.67%
Over 2.5
83.33%
Under 2.5

Sep 27, 2025 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  2
Chivas

Apr 15, 2025 - Liga MX

Chivas
1 :  0
Puebla

Oct 25, 2024 - Liga MX

Puebla
1 :  0
Chivas

Apr 6, 2024 - Liga MX

Chivas
3 :  2
Puebla

Oct 20, 2023 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  2
Chivas

Mar 10, 2023 - Liga MX

Puebla
1 :  0
Chivas

Chivas against Puebla Lineups: Starting 11

Chivas

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

1
R. Rangel
19
D. Campillo Del Campo
7
L. Romo
2
J. Castillo
11
B. Gutierrez
23
D. Aguirre
17
R. Marin
5
B. Gonzalez
25
R. Alvarado
10
E. Alvarez
34
A. Gonzalez
25
A. Canelo
11
E. Gomez
26
K. Velasco
7
F. Monarrez
24
A. Organista
16
A. Ramirez
12
I. Moreno
192
E. Navarro
4
J. Vargas
6
N. Diaz
28
R. Gutierrez

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Puebla

Substitutes

Chivas
Chivas
Goalkeeper

O. Whalley

Defender

G. Sepulveda

M. Gomez Ortiz

Midfielder

J. Padilla

E. Alvarez 77'

M. Tapias

S. Sandoval Gonzalez

R. Marin 56'

H. Camberos

J. Castillo 77'

R. Gonzalez

B. Gutierrez 65'

Forward

S. Aguayo

J. Perez

R. Alvarado 77'

Puebla
Puebla
Goalkeeper

J. Rodriguez

Defender

L. Rey

I. Moreno 60'

U. Torres

Midfielder

C. Baltazar Agraz

A. Gamarra

A. Canelo 46'

A. Araos

M. Ramirez

Forward

E. Lozano

A. Organista 60'

B. Garnica

E. Navarro 79'

O. Gonzalez

K. Velasco 15'

Missing players

Chivas
Chivas
Defender

Leonardo Sepúlveda

Puebla
Puebla
Defender

R. Pachuca

Forward

I. Maestro Puch

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Chivas
CD Huachipato Puebla
Top Goalscorer
Mexico A. Gonzalez (12 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Colombia E. Guerra (3 Goals)
Best assists
Mexico E. Alvarez (4 Assists)
Best assists
Colombia K. Velasco (3 Assists)

Chivas - Puebla Key Points

  1. The Over is 5-0 in Chivas's last 5 games
  2. The Over is 1-4 in Puebla's last 5 games
  3. Chivas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
  4. Puebla are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
Up to $350 to bet on Chivas - Puebla! 

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Our Chivas vs Puebla Prediction

The brilliance of Armando "Hormiga" González has been the defining story for Chivas lately. With 12 goals already to his name, he has become the most feared marksman in Mexico, consistently finding space in congested boxes. Roberto Alvarado has also been in scintillating form, maintaining a top-tier rating by leading the team in chances created and successful dribbles. In goal, Raúl Rangel has provided a safety net with a high number of recoveries, ensuring that Chivas remains stable even when they commit numbers forward.

Puebla's hopes rest on the shoulders of Daniel Gutierrez, who has been a mainstay in the lineup, and the defensive efforts of Eduardo Navarro. However, the visitors have been plagued by mistakes, with Fernando Monárrez recently conceding penalties that have proven costly. Injury-wise, Chivas is relatively healthy, allowing them to field their strongest XI.

Given the current form of Armando González and the creative vacuum in the Puebla midfield, Chivas is the heavy favorite to win this comfortably. The sheer gulf in attacking quality and the momentum within the Guadalajara camp suggest that Puebla will find it nearly impossible to contain the home side's multifaceted assault for ninety minutes. Our prediction for Chivas vs. Puebla: Over 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5

-185
$350 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Chivas vs Puebla Picks