Phoenix Mercury vs Chicago Sky Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
5/15/26 22:00
Chicago Sky

Prediction:

 

Over 165.5 points

-110
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 by Erik Gibbs | in WNBA Picks

The Phoenix Mercury and Chicago Sky face off tonight in a highly anticipated early-season showdown that features a fascinating clash of philosophies at the Footprint Center. Chicago enters the game with an unblemished 2-0 record, having recently dismantled the Golden State Valkyries in a defensive masterclass that signaled their intent to be a powerhouse in 2026. Under the guidance of head coach Tyler Marsh, the Sky have embraced a fast-paced, physical style of play that prioritizes rim protection and transition scoring.

Phoenix, on the other hand, is looking to stabilize their season after a 1-2 start. The Mercury have undergone a significant roster transformation, bringing in elite veterans to complement their existing core, but they are still searching for the cohesive chemistry required to close out tight games. Their recent loss to the Minnesota Lynx was a frustrating affair characterized by missed opportunities in the fourth quarter, a trend they are desperate to reverse in front of their home fans tonight.

Phoenix Mercury vs Chicago Sky Form

Table

Teams % P W L
12 Phoenix Mercury
0.32 25 8 17
13 Chicago Sky
0.304 23 7 16

Phoenix Mercury and Chicago Sky Latest Matches

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Latest matches
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

May 12, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
84 :  88
Minnesota Lynx

May 10, 2026 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
95 :  79
Phoenix Mercury

May 9, 2026 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
66 :  99
Phoenix Mercury

Oct 10, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
86 :  97
Las Vegas Aces

Oct 8, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
88 :  90
Las Vegas Aces

Oct 5, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
91 :  78
Phoenix Mercury
W W W L L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 12, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
84 :  88
Minnesota Lynx

Oct 10, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
86 :  97
Las Vegas Aces

Oct 8, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
88 :  90
Las Vegas Aces

Sep 28, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
86 :  81
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 26, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
84 :  76
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 19, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
79 :  73
New York Liberty
L W L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

May 10, 2026 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
95 :  79
Phoenix Mercury

May 9, 2026 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
66 :  99
Phoenix Mercury

Oct 5, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
91 :  78
Phoenix Mercury

Oct 3, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
89 :  86
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
83 :  89
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 21, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
82 :  69
Phoenix Mercury
Chicago Sky
Chicago Sky Latest matches
L L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

May 13, 2026 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
63 :  69
Chicago Sky

May 9, 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
83 :  98
Chicago Sky

Sep 11, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
86 :  91
New York Liberty

Sep 9, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
92 :  61
Chicago Sky

Sep 7, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
80 :  66
Chicago Sky

Sep 5, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
97 :  77
Chicago Sky
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Sep 11, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
86 :  91
New York Liberty

Sep 3, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
88 :  64
Connecticut Sun

Aug 25, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
74 :  79
Las Vegas Aces

Aug 23, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
84 :  94
Connecticut Sun

Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
88 :  94
Seattle Storm

Aug 15, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
59 :  90
Golden State Valkyries
L L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

May 13, 2026 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
63 :  69
Chicago Sky

May 9, 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
83 :  98
Chicago Sky

Sep 9, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
92 :  61
Chicago Sky

Sep 7, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
80 :  66
Chicago Sky

Sep 5, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
97 :  77
Chicago Sky

Aug 30, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
79 :  69
Chicago Sky

Phoenix Mercury against Chicago Sky : Head to Head (H2H)

Phoenix Mercury

100 %

Chicago Sky

0 %

Aug 28, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
83 :  79
Chicago Sky

Aug 3, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
67 :  83
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 21, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
86 :  107
Phoenix Mercury

May 27, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
94 :  89
Chicago Sky

Sep 15, 2024 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
88 :  93
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 18, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
86 :  68
Chicago Sky
Phoenix Mercury vs Chicago Sky Picks

Players list

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
N. Mack

D. Bonner

J. Nogic

A. Thomas

K. Copper

Chicago Sky
Chicago Sky
K. Cardoso

J. Sheldon

S. Diggins-Smith

R. Jackson

G. Jaquez

Substitutes

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
K. Linskens A. Maley

K. Williams

S. Whitcomb

Q. Carter

V. Ayayi

N. Brochant

Chicago Sky
Chicago Sky
A. Stevens D. Carrington E. Williams

S. Taylor

A. Coulibaly

C. Vandersloot

N. Cloud

R. Banham

Phoenix Mercury - Chicago Sky Key Points

  1. The Over is 4-1 in the Mercury's last 5 home games
  2. The Over is 0-5 in the Sky's last 5 away games
  3. The Mercury are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 home games
  4. The Sky are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 away games

Our Phoenix Mercury vs Chicago Sky Prediction

Kahleah Copper has been the standout performer for Phoenix recently, coming off a spectacular 30-point outing where she attacked the basket with relentless aggression. Joining her in the starting five is Alyssa Thomas, who has been a stat-sheet stuffer of late, flirting with triple-doubles in nearly every appearance this month. DeWanna Bonner also remains a vital cog for the Mercury, providing veteran leadership and outside shooting, though the team is currently monitoring a minor ankle tweak for Sami Whitcomb that may limit her minutes off the bench.

The Sky have been led by the resurgence of Skylar Diggins, who is averaging a double-double in points and assists since the season tipped off. Rookie sensation Kamilla Cardoso has lived up to the massive expectations, anchoring the Sky's defense with a string of multi-block games that have frustrated opposing centers. Rickea Jackson has also been a scoring force, showing a refined mid-range game that makes her a difficult matchup for Phoenix's wing defenders.

While the Sky have the momentum, the Mercury possess the upper hand in this specific matchup due to their veteran experience and the home-court atmosphere. Expect Phoenix to utilize Alyssa Thomas's defensive versatility to slow down Chicago's transition game and secure a narrow victory. Our prediction for Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Sky: Over 165.5 points. 

Prediction:

 

Over 165.5 points

-110
$1000 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.