Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC Prediction & Picks - Major League Soccer

USA - Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
10/4/25 20:30
Toronto FC

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5

-186
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 by Erik Gibbs in Major League Soccer Picks

The MLS match between Chicago Fire and Toronto FC is slated for this Saturday at Soldier Field. Chicago come into this fixture with momentum, having claimed seven victories in their last ten outings. Under Gregg Berhalter they play a high pressing 3-4-3 system, creating an average of roughly two goals per match and nearly fourteen shots per game. Chicago have been particularly strong at home, winning five of their recent home games.

In their last five matches they beat Minnesota United 3-0 on September 21, edged St. Louis City 3-2 on August 17 and blanked Inter Miami 2-0 on July 19. A blip occurred on August 23 when Philadelphia thrashed them 4-0, but overall they have amassed fifteen wins, eleven losses and six draws, securing a playoff berth. Their ability to control possession with an 85 percent pass accuracy helps them dictate tempo and seize attacking opportunities.

Toronto FC arrive in Chicago with a far less convincing record. Under coach Robin Fraser they set up in a 4-3-3 but have struggled to turn solid defensive work into wins. They average less than a goal per match and manage around ten shots per game, indicating issues in the final third.

Remarkably, Toronto have recorded seven draws in their last ten games and have not lost since July 26, yet they also have not won since July 16. Their last five fixtures highlight the problem: 1-1 stalemates with Columbus, New England and Inter Miami, a 0-0 draw with Atlanta, and another 1-1 draw with Columbus.

Over those six consecutive draws Toronto conceded only five goals, reflecting a resilient defense and a reliable goalkeeper. However, their overall record of five wins, 13 losses and 13 draws leaves them far down the Eastern Conference standings, out of the playoff picture.

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Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
8
Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire
51 32 15 6 11 8
12
Toronto FC
Toronto FC
28 31 5 13 13 -7

Chicago Fire and Toronto FC Latest Matches

Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire Latest matches
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Sep 30, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Inter Miami
3 :  5
Chicago Fire

Sep 27, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
2 :  0
Columbus Crew

Sep 20, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Minnesota United
0 :  3
Chicago Fire

Sep 13, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
1 :  3
New York City

Sep 6, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
3 :  2
New England Revolution

Aug 23, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
4 :  0
Chicago Fire
W D W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 27, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
2 :  0
Columbus Crew

Sep 13, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
1 :  3
New York City

Sep 6, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
3 :  2
New England Revolution

Aug 16, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
3 :  2
Saint Louis City SC

Aug 9, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
2 :  2
Los Angeles FC

Jul 26, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
1 :  0
New York Red Bulls
L D W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Sep 30, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Inter Miami
3 :  5
Chicago Fire

Sep 20, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Minnesota United
0 :  3
Chicago Fire

Aug 23, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
4 :  0
Chicago Fire

Jul 19, 2025 - Major League Soccer

CF Montreal
0 :  2
Chicago Fire

Jul 16, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Atlanta United Fc
2 :  2
Chicago Fire

Jul 8, 2025 - US Open Cup

Minnesota United
3 :  1
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC
Toronto FC Latest matches
D D D D D D
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

Sep 27, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
1 :  1
Inter Miami

Sep 20, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew
1 :  1
Toronto FC

Sep 13, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New England Revolution
1 :  1
Toronto FC

Aug 30, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
1 :  1
CF Montreal

Aug 24, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Atlanta United Fc
0 :  0
Toronto FC

Aug 16, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
1 :  1
Columbus Crew
D W D D D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Sep 27, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
1 :  1
Inter Miami

Aug 30, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
1 :  1
CF Montreal

Aug 16, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
1 :  1
Columbus Crew

Jul 12, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
1 :  1
Atlanta United Fc

Jun 28, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
3 :  0
Portland Timbers

Jun 25, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
1 :  1
New York Red Bulls
L L D D D D
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

Sep 20, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew
1 :  1
Toronto FC

Sep 13, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New England Revolution
1 :  1
Toronto FC

Aug 24, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Atlanta United Fc
0 :  0
Toronto FC

Aug 9, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
1 :  1
Toronto FC

Jul 26, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Charlotte FC
2 :  0
Toronto FC

Jul 19, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Nashville SC
1 :  0
Toronto FC

Chicago Fire against Toronto FC : Head to Head (H2H)

Chicago Fire

67 %

Draw

17 %

Toronto FC

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
67%
BTTS
2
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Mar 15, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
1 :  2
Chicago Fire

Sep 28, 2024 - Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
1 :  1
Toronto FC

Jun 15, 2024 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
1 :  4
Chicago Fire

Jul 15, 2023 - Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
1 :  0
Toronto FC

Jul 13, 2022 - Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
2 :  0
Toronto FC

May 28, 2022 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
3 :  2
Chicago Fire

Toronto FC v Chicago Fire last Lineups

Chicago Fire

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

1
C. Brady
16
J. Waterman
3
J. Elliott
15
A. Gutman
19
J. Bamba
10
A. Franco
42
D. D'avilla
6
R. Kouame
24
J. Dean
9
H. Cuypers
7
M. Haile-Selassie
7
T. Corbeanu
11
D. Etienne
10
D. Mihailovic
21
J. Osorio
8
J. Cifuentes
14
A. Coello
28
R. Petretta
22
R. Laryea
17
S. Rosted
6
K. Thompson
1
S. Johnson

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Toronto FC

Missing players

Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire
Defender

C. Gasper

Midfielder

D. Poreba

Forward

C. Mueller

Toronto FC
Toronto FC

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Chicago Fire
CD Huachipato Toronto FC
Top Goalscorer
Belgium H. Cuypers (17 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
USA D. Mihailovic (10 Goals)
Best assists
Denmark P. Zinckernagel (11 Assists)
Best assists
USA D. Mihailovic (8 Assists)

Chicago Fire - Toronto FC Key Points

  1. Chicago Fire are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
  2. Toronto are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
  3. The Over is 3-2 in Chicago Fire's last 5 games
  4. The Over is 0-5 in Toronto's last 5 games
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Our Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC Prediction

Chicago’s turnaround has been driven by outstanding individual seasons. Philip Zinckernagel leads the midfield with fourteen goals and thirteen assists, making him one of the league’s most effective playmakers. Up front, Belgian striker Hugo Cuypers has netted seventeen times while adding two assists, providing a consistent scoring threat.

Homegrown midfielder Brian Gutiérrez has chipped in with nine goals and six assists, and designated player Jonathan Bamba adds width and creativity with five goals and ten assists. New arrival André Franco has brought composure to midfield alongside Dje D’Avilla, while full-back Andrew Gutman has delivered three goals and ten assists from defence. In goal, Chris Brady continues to impress, supported by centre backs Jack Elliott and Joel Waterman.

Toronto FC lean heavily on new signing Djordje Mihailovic, who tops their scoring chart with ten goals and eight assists and recently equalised against Inter Miami. Canadian winger Theo Corbeanu has contributed six goals and one assist, and Italian forward Federico Bernardeschi has four goals and three assists. The team’s most reliable performer has arguably been goalkeeper Sean Johnson, whose spectacular saves have preserved draws against strong opponents.

With Toronto struggling to turn possession into goals and Chicago boasting a potent attack, the balance tips toward the Fire. Chicago’s ability to press and transition quickly should stretch Toronto’s defense, while the visitors will likely aim to frustrate and counter through Mihailovic and Corbeanu. Considering current form and individual quality, a home win for Chicago Fire by a narrow margin seems the most plausible outcome. Our prediction for Chicago Fire and Toronto FC: Over 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5

-186
$300 offered for betting!

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Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC Picks
Up to $300 to bet on Chicago Fire - Toronto FC! 

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