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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
The Chicago Cubs are only 34-40 against the spread this season.
DraftKings offers a payout of $228 per $100 bet if the Cubs win by at least two runs against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Chicago is 7-3 against Pittsburgh in their last 10 head-to-head games.
Current Form:
After taking two out of three games against the Tampa Bay Rays at home, the Cubs will begin a 7-game road trip on Monday against the Pirates. With an 85-64 record, the Cubs inch closer to locking up at least a wild-card spot in the National League. Chicago boasts one of the best ERAs in baseball at 3.86 (10th in the league) while its slugging percentage of .427 ranks 7th in the MLB. Starter Jameson Taillon, who surrendered two earned runs over 4.1 innings in the Cubs’ 3-2 win over Atlanta, will hit the mound in Game 1.
The Pirates blew a 3-0 lead in Sunday’s 3-4 loss to the Washington Nationals, losing the series in the process. Pittsburgh, last in the NL Central with a 65-85 record, has lost 8 of its last 10 games. In this 10-game stretch, they have averaged 2.7 runs per game on a .190 batting average. Although they have managed to maintain a rock-solid 3.68 ERA, the lack of offensive firepower has prevented the Pirates from achieving a competitive record in this 10-game spell. On Monday, Pittsburgh will pin its hopes on Braxton Ashcraft, who sports a 4-1 record with a 0.96 ERA in his last five starts.
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Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
4
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0.57 | 149 | 85 | 64 |
27
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0.433 | 150 | 65 | 85 |
Chicago Cubs and Pittsburgh Pirates Latest Matches

4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 14, 2025 - MLB
Sep 13, 2025 - MLB
Sep 12, 2025 - MLB
Sep 10, 2025 - MLB
Sep 9, 2025 - MLB
Sep 8, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 14, 2025 - MLB
Sep 13, 2025 - MLB
Sep 12, 2025 - MLB
Sep 7, 2025 - MLB
Sep 6, 2025 - MLB
Sep 5, 2025 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 10, 2025 - MLB
Sep 9, 2025 - MLB
Sep 8, 2025 - MLB
Aug 31, 2025 - MLB
Aug 30, 2025 - MLB
Aug 29, 2025 - MLB

1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Sep 14, 2025 - MLB
Sep 13, 2025 - MLB
Sep 12, 2025 - MLB
Sep 11, 2025 - MLB
Sep 10, 2025 - MLB
Sep 9, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 7, 2025 - MLB
Sep 6, 2025 - MLB
Sep 5, 2025 - MLB
Sep 4, 2025 - MLB
Sep 3, 2025 - MLB
Sep 2, 2025 - MLB
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Sep 14, 2025 - MLB
Sep 13, 2025 - MLB
Sep 12, 2025 - MLB
Sep 11, 2025 - MLB
Sep 10, 2025 - MLB
Sep 9, 2025 - MLB
Chicago Cubs against Pittsburgh Pirates : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Aug 17, 2025 - MLB
Aug 16, 2025 - MLB
Aug 15, 2025 - MLB
Jun 15, 2025 - MLB
Jun 14, 2025 - MLB
Jun 13, 2025 - MLB
Chicago Cubs - Pittsburgh Pirates Key Points
- Chicago Cubs is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
- Chicago Cubs is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against Pittsburgh.
- Pittsburgh is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games.
- Pittsburgh is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Chicago Cubs.
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Our Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
Out of their last five wins over the Pirates, the Cubs have only won by at least two runs just once. It happened last August 16 with the Cubs squeaking out a 3-1 victory. Chicago is facing a formidable pitcher in Braxton Ashcraft, the same pitcher who was responsible for their 2-3 loss a day before, August 15. Ashcraft, who allowed one earned run over five innings in that game, is expected to deliver superb numbers again as he’s currently on a roll with an outstanding 0.90 ERA over his last five games.
However, can the Pirates provide him enough run support to win this game? I don’t think so.
Pittsburgh hasn’t been hitting above .200 in the last 10 games. Home runs have been rare, as they average 0.8 home runs per game in the stretch. While Taillon isn’t as formidable a pitcher as Ashcraft is, the Pirates’ inability to produce long bombs plus their poor base running (.287 OBP) will ultimately cost them this game, regardless of how brilliant Ashcraft will be on Monday. It will be a tight ballgame. The Pirates will probably cover the +1.5-run spread just because of Ashcraft, but I am taking the Cubs to grind out a close win.
Our betting prediction for the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. the Chicago Cubs: the Cubs will win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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