Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Chicago Cubs
5/24/25 16:10
Cincinnati Reds

Prediction:

 

UNDER 9

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 by Travis Pulver in MLB Picks

The Chicago Cubs will try to keep the good times rolling today when they take on the Reds in Cincinnati at Great American Ball Park. Fans can follow the action once the game gets underway at 4:10 p.m. EST.

With yesterday’s win over the Reds, the Cubs have won six of their last seven, and they’ve done so with a mix of good pitching and the best lineup over the last week. They’ve been hitting .335 over the last week with 42 runs scored across five games. But the pitching staff has been doing its part as well, giving up just 18 runs (3.63 ERA). As for Cincinnati, the Reds have now lost three in a row. The pitching staff did not do a bad job in the prior two losses (both to Pittsburgh), holding the Pirates to three runs in one game and just one in the other. But with almost no help at all from the lineup, they lost two winnable games.

However, the stage is set for the Reds to pull off the upset. Andrew Abbott is scheduled to start for Cincinnati. Abbot is 3-0 in seven starts with a 1.80 ERA, but it gets better. When pitching at home, he has a .90 ERA and has gone 2-0 (four starts). But Cubs starter Colin Rea will not make it easy. Rea has a 3-0 record in seven starts with a 2.08 ERA—but it gets better. Away from home, he is 1-0 in two starts (with a save; he’s played in four games) with a 2.08 ERA.

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Form

Table

Teams % P W L
4
Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs
0.608 51 31 20
19
Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds
0.481 52 25 27

Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds Latest Matches

Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 23, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
13 :  6
Cincinnati Reds

May 21, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
2 :  1
Miami Marlins

May 20, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
14 :  1
Miami Marlins

May 19, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
7 :  8
Miami Marlins

May 18, 2025 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
2 :  6
Chicago Cubs

May 17, 2025 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
3 :  7
Chicago Cubs
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 18, 2025 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
2 :  6
Chicago Cubs

May 17, 2025 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
3 :  7
Chicago Cubs

May 16, 2025 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
3 :  13
Chicago Cubs

May 14, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
3 :  1
Chicago Cubs

May 13, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  5
Chicago Cubs

May 12, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  5
Chicago Cubs
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 23, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
13 :  6
Cincinnati Reds

May 21, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
2 :  1
Miami Marlins

May 20, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
14 :  1
Miami Marlins

May 19, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
7 :  8
Miami Marlins

May 11, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
2 :  6
New York Mets

May 10, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
6 :  5
New York Mets
Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds Latest matches
W W W L L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 23, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
13 :  6
Cincinnati Reds

May 21, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
1 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 20, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
0 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 19, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
7 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 18, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
1 :  3
Cincinnati Reds

May 17, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
1 :  4
Cincinnati Reds
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 23, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
13 :  6
Cincinnati Reds

May 18, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
1 :  3
Cincinnati Reds

May 17, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
1 :  4
Cincinnati Reds

May 16, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
4 :  5
Cincinnati Reds

May 15, 2025 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
1 :  7
Cincinnati Reds

May 14, 2025 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
4 :  2
Cincinnati Reds
L W L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

May 21, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
1 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 20, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
0 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 19, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
7 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 11, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
0 :  6
Houston Astros

May 10, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
13 :  9
Houston Astros

May 9, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
0 :  3
Houston Astros

Chicago Cubs against Cincinnati Reds : Head to Head (H2H)

Chicago Cubs

67 %

Cincinnati Reds

33 %

May 23, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
13 :  6
Cincinnati Reds

Mar 2, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Cincinnati Reds
7 :  3
Chicago Cubs

Sep 29, 2024 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
3 :  0
Chicago Cubs

Sep 28, 2024 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
0 :  3
Chicago Cubs

Sep 27, 2024 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
0 :  1
Chicago Cubs

Jul 31, 2024 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
13 :  4
Cincinnati Reds

Chicago Cubs - Cincinnati Reds Key Points

  1. The Cubs hold the all-time series lead over the Reds 1209-1186-22.
  2. Chicago has won four of the last five vs. the Reds, but is 2-7 in the last nine games in Cincinnati.
  3. Chicago is 16-10 on the road this season; Cincinnati is 13-13 at home.
  4. Betting Splits:  31% of moneyline tickets are on the Reds, while 85% of run line tickets are on the Cubs.

Our Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

As well as the Cubs' offense has been clicking, it doesn’t look good for them today. Why? Because Abbott is almost untouchable at home, giving up just 13 hits (.183 BA) across four starts and two earned runs. I wouldn’t expect him to shut the Cubs down, but he’ll certainly slow them down a lot. The Reds have been hitting .257 over the last week and finding it hard to score runs (17 in five games). Looking at those numbers, I’d expect the Reds to win a low-scoring game. I like the Reds ML, but the total is a better bet.

Our Cubs vs. Reds Pick: UNDER 9

Prediction:

 

UNDER 9

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Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Picks