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by Travis Pulver in MLB Picks
The Chicago Cubs will try to keep the good times rolling today when they take on the Reds in Cincinnati at Great American Ball Park. Fans can follow the action once the game gets underway at 4:10 p.m. EST.
With yesterday’s win over the Reds, the Cubs have won six of their last seven, and they’ve done so with a mix of good pitching and the best lineup over the last week. They’ve been hitting .335 over the last week with 42 runs scored across five games. But the pitching staff has been doing its part as well, giving up just 18 runs (3.63 ERA). As for Cincinnati, the Reds have now lost three in a row. The pitching staff did not do a bad job in the prior two losses (both to Pittsburgh), holding the Pirates to three runs in one game and just one in the other. But with almost no help at all from the lineup, they lost two winnable games.
However, the stage is set for the Reds to pull off the upset. Andrew Abbott is scheduled to start for Cincinnati. Abbot is 3-0 in seven starts with a 1.80 ERA, but it gets better. When pitching at home, he has a .90 ERA and has gone 2-0 (four starts). But Cubs starter Colin Rea will not make it easy. Rea has a 3-0 record in seven starts with a 2.08 ERA—but it gets better. Away from home, he is 1-0 in two starts (with a save; he’s played in four games) with a 2.08 ERA.
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Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
4
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0.608 | 51 | 31 | 20 |
19
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0.481 | 52 | 25 | 27 |
Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds Latest Matches

5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
May 23, 2025 - MLB
May 21, 2025 - MLB
May 20, 2025 - MLB
May 19, 2025 - MLB
May 18, 2025 - MLB
May 17, 2025 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
May 18, 2025 - MLB
May 17, 2025 - MLB
May 16, 2025 - MLB
May 14, 2025 - MLB
May 13, 2025 - MLB
May 12, 2025 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 23, 2025 - MLB
May 21, 2025 - MLB
May 20, 2025 - MLB
May 19, 2025 - MLB
May 11, 2025 - MLB
May 10, 2025 - MLB

3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 23, 2025 - MLB
May 21, 2025 - MLB
May 20, 2025 - MLB
May 19, 2025 - MLB
May 18, 2025 - MLB
May 17, 2025 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 23, 2025 - MLB
May 18, 2025 - MLB
May 17, 2025 - MLB
May 16, 2025 - MLB
May 15, 2025 - MLB
May 14, 2025 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
May 21, 2025 - MLB
May 20, 2025 - MLB
May 19, 2025 - MLB
May 11, 2025 - MLB
May 10, 2025 - MLB
May 9, 2025 - MLB
Chicago Cubs against Cincinnati Reds : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
May 23, 2025 - MLB
Mar 2, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Sep 29, 2024 - MLB
Sep 28, 2024 - MLB
Sep 27, 2024 - MLB
Jul 31, 2024 - MLB
Chicago Cubs - Cincinnati Reds Key Points
- The Cubs hold the all-time series lead over the Reds 1209-1186-22.
- Chicago has won four of the last five vs. the Reds, but is 2-7 in the last nine games in Cincinnati.
- Chicago is 16-10 on the road this season; Cincinnati is 13-13 at home.
- Betting Splits: 31% of moneyline tickets are on the Reds, while 85% of run line tickets are on the Cubs.
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Our Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
As well as the Cubs' offense has been clicking, it doesn’t look good for them today. Why? Because Abbott is almost untouchable at home, giving up just 13 hits (.183 BA) across four starts and two earned runs. I wouldn’t expect him to shut the Cubs down, but he’ll certainly slow them down a lot. The Reds have been hitting .257 over the last week and finding it hard to score runs (17 in five games). Looking at those numbers, I’d expect the Reds to win a low-scoring game. I like the Reds ML, but the total is a better bet.
Our Cubs vs. Reds Pick: UNDER 9
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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