Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Chelsea
5/4/26 10:00
Nottingham Forest

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 Goals

+123
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 by Mikaella McIntosh | in Premier League Picks

On Monday, there’s an early EPL meeting as Chelsea, desperate for points due to having the worst recent form in the entire league, and Nottingham Forest come together at Stamford Bridge. The early market favors a more high-scoring affair, but there’s some evidence to lean towards the opposite. 

It’s very reasonable to say that The Blues have been going downhill lately since the appointment of their last manager Rosenior in January, failing to find the net in six out of their last eight in all competitions, including all of their last five in the Premier League, and only scoring multiple goals when facing a third-tier team in the cup. 

They’ve now had interim manager McFarlane since April, and they’ve not exactly been creating loads since under this new management. With this terrible form, Chelsea have been overtaken in the race for the top seven spots, so they’ll definitely not want to throw this game away, but it’s hard to see them approaching this with tons of confidence in their offensive quality. 

Also, a Forest side that played in a taxing UEL game in the week, as well as focusing on the second leg coming up three days after, will be more than happy with a low-key meeting at Stamford Bridge, and thus won’t be exerting much effort.

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Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
10 Chelsea
52 38 14 10 14 +6
16 Nottingham Forest
44 38 11 11 16 -3

Chelsea and Nottingham Forest Latest Matches

Chelsea
Chelsea Latest matches
L W L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
0% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 26, 2026 - FA Cup

Chelsea
1 :  0
Leeds

Apr 21, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Chelsea

Apr 18, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  1
Manchester United

Apr 12, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  3
Manchester City

Apr 4, 2026 - FA Cup

Chelsea
7 :  0
Port Vale

Mar 21, 2026 - Premier League

Everton
3 :  0
Chelsea
L L W L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
0% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 26, 2026 - FA Cup

Chelsea
1 :  0
Leeds

Apr 18, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  1
Manchester United

Apr 12, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  3
Manchester City

Apr 4, 2026 - FA Cup

Chelsea
7 :  0
Port Vale

Mar 17, 2026 - Champions League

Chelsea
0 :  3
PSG

Mar 14, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  1
Newcastle
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Apr 21, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Chelsea

Mar 21, 2026 - Premier League

Everton
3 :  0
Chelsea

Mar 11, 2026 - Champions League

PSG
5 :  2
Chelsea

Mar 7, 2026 - FA Cup

Wrexham
2 :  4
Chelsea

Mar 4, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  4
Chelsea

Mar 1, 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest Latest matches
D D W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Apr 30, 2026 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  0
Aston Villa

Apr 24, 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
0 :  5
Nottingham Forest

Apr 19, 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
4 :  1
Burnley

Apr 16, 2026 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  0
Porto

Apr 12, 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  1
Aston Villa

Apr 9, 2026 - Europa League

Porto
1 :  1
Nottingham Forest
L D D W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Apr 30, 2026 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  0
Aston Villa

Apr 19, 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
4 :  1
Burnley

Apr 16, 2026 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  0
Porto

Apr 12, 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  1
Aston Villa

Mar 15, 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  0
Fulham

Mar 12, 2026 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  1
FC Midtjylland
L D W W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Apr 24, 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
0 :  5
Nottingham Forest

Apr 9, 2026 - Europa League

Porto
1 :  1
Nottingham Forest

Mar 22, 2026 - Premier League

Tottenham
0 :  3
Nottingham Forest

Mar 19, 2026 - Europa League

FC Midtjylland
1 :  2
Nottingham Forest

Mar 4, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  2
Nottingham Forest

Mar 1, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Nottingham Forest

Chelsea against Nottingham Forest : Head to Head (H2H)

Chelsea

50 %

Draw

33 %

Nottingham Forest

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.67
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  3
Chelsea

May 25, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  1
Chelsea

Oct 6, 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  1
Nottingham Forest

May 11, 2024 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
2 :  3
Chelsea

Sep 2, 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  1
Nottingham Forest

May 13, 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Nottingham Forest

Chelsea against Nottingham Forest Lineups: Starting 11

Chelsea

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
R. Sanchez
27
M. Gusto
23
T. Chalobah
4
T. Adarabioyo
3
M. Cucurella
45
R. Lavia
25
M. Caicedo
10
C. Palmer
8
E. Fernandez
55
J. Derry
20
Joao Pedro
9
T. Awoniyi
19
Igor Jesus
29
D. Bakwa
22
R. Yates
16
N. Dominguez
24
J. McAtee
25
L. Netz
4
Morato
23
J. Cunha
44
Z. Abbott
26
M. Sels

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Nottingham Forest

Substitutes

Chelsea
Chelsea
Goalkeeper

F. Jorgensen

Defender

J. Acheampong

L. Colwill

J. Hato

W. Fofana

R. James

Midfielder

D. Essugo

A. Santos

Forward

L. Delap

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Goalkeeper

S. Ortega

Defender

N. Williams

N. Milenkovic

E. da Silva Moreira

Midfielder

E. Anderson

O. Hutchinson

M. Gibbs-White

Forward

C. Wood

L. Lucca

Missing players

Chelsea
Chelsea
Forward

M. Mudryk

J. Gittens

Estevao

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Defender

W. Boly

O. Aina

N. Savona

Midfielder

I. Sangare

Murillo

Forward

C. Hudson Odoi

D. Ndoye

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Chelsea
CD Huachipato Nottingham Forest
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Joao Pedro (15 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England M. Gibbs-White (15 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal P. Neto (6 Assists)
Best assists
England O. Hutchinson (5 Assists)

Chelsea - Nottingham Forest Key Points

  1. Chelsea have failed to score in their last five EPL meetings.
  2. Nottingham Forest will be tired and preoccupied with their UEL commitments.
  3. Forest haven’t conceded more than one goal in all of their last ten matches.
  4. In their last four EPL games, the home side have only netted one goal.
  5. Chelsea have only scored more than one goal in their last seven home games in all competitions.
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Our Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest Prediction

The Tricky Trees have been fulfilling their defensive needs very well recently, even when facing some top teams such as Aston Villa and Porto, not allowing more than one goal in all of their last ten in all competitions. 

Realistically, despite their ranking, Forest can’t be too underestimated defensively, and likely won’t be doing too much in this game to save their players and prioritize their European campaign. Besides, the hosts do not have confidence in big supplies as of late, only scoring once last time out, on home soil against Leeds, and only scoring one goal in their last four EPL home matches. 

Our Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest Pick: Under 2.5 Goals.

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 Goals

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Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest Picks