Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Chelsea
10/4/25 12:30
Liverpool

Prediction:

 

Draw and both teams to score

+275
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 by Simon Day in Premier League Picks

Premier League leaders Liverpool travel to Stamford Bridge on Saturday evening for a hotly anticipated matchup with Club World Cup champions Chelsea.

Both sides have struggled to hit top form in recent games, but will see this contest as a fantastic opportunity to get back on track by taking three points off one of their title rivals. 

Liverpool have fallen to defeats in each of their last two games, including a last gasp 2-1 loss at Crystal Palace last weekend that ended their 100% Premier League record. Meanwhile, Chelsea have picked up just one point from their last three Premier League fixtures. 

Last season's contests between the two sides both resulted in home victories, with Liverpool recording a narrow 2-1 early season win at Anfield, before Chelsea got their revenge via a 3-1 success at Stamford Bridge in May.

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Chelsea vs Liverpool Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Chelsea
Chelsea
20 11 6 2 3 10
8
Liverpool
Liverpool
18 11 6 0 5 1

Chelsea and Liverpool Latest Matches

Chelsea
Chelsea Latest matches
D L L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Sep 30, 2025 - Champions League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Benfica Lisbon

Sep 27, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  3
Brighton

Sep 23, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Lincoln City
1 :  2
Chelsea

Sep 20, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  1
Chelsea

Sep 17, 2025 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
3 :  1
Chelsea

Sep 13, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
2 :  2
Chelsea
W W D W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Sep 30, 2025 - Champions League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Benfica Lisbon

Sep 27, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  3
Brighton

Aug 30, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  0
Fulham

Aug 17, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  0
Crystal Palace

Aug 10, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
4 :  1
AC Milan

Aug 8, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
2 :  0
Bayer Leverkusen
L W D L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Sep 23, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Lincoln City
1 :  2
Chelsea

Sep 20, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  1
Chelsea

Sep 17, 2025 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
3 :  1
Chelsea

Sep 13, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
2 :  2
Chelsea

Aug 22, 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  5
Chelsea

Jul 26, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Sholing
2 :  0
Chelsea
Liverpool
Liverpool Latest matches
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 30, 2025 - Champions League

Galatasaray
1 :  0
Liverpool

Sep 27, 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
2 :  1
Liverpool

Sep 23, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Liverpool
2 :  1
Southampton

Sep 20, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Everton

Sep 17, 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool
3 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Sep 14, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  1
Liverpool
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Sep 23, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Liverpool
2 :  1
Southampton

Sep 20, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Everton

Sep 17, 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool
3 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Aug 31, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  0
Arsenal

Aug 15, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
4 :  2
Bournemouth

Aug 4, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
3 :  2
Athletic Bilbao
W D W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 30, 2025 - Champions League

Galatasaray
1 :  0
Liverpool

Sep 27, 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
2 :  1
Liverpool

Sep 14, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  1
Liverpool

Aug 25, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  3
Liverpool

Aug 10, 2025 - Community Shield

Crystal Palace
2 :  2
Liverpool

Jul 30, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Yokohama F Marinos
1 :  3
Liverpool

Chelsea against Liverpool : Head to Head (H2H)

Chelsea

17 %

Draw

33 %

Liverpool

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

May 4, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  1
Liverpool

Oct 20, 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Chelsea

Feb 25, 2024 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
0 :  1
Liverpool

Jan 31, 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
4 :  1
Chelsea

Aug 13, 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  1
Liverpool

Apr 4, 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  0
Liverpool
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Chelsea - Liverpool: Form Analysis

After an incredible Summer that saw them win the Club World Cup, hopes were high that Chelsea could mount a serious Premier League title challenge this season. However, a record of two wins, two draws and two defeats from their opening six games suggests that Enzo Maresca's men are still somehow short of the level required to compete with the top teams in the league.

That fact was highlighted last weekend, when the Blues appeared to be cruising to a home victory over Chelsea, before a Trevor Chalobah red card was followed by the concession of three late goals and a 1-3 defeat. 

Bad week for the champions

After five wins from their first five Premier League games, plus a victory in their opening Champions League contest, everything appeared to be going swimmingly for Liverpool. But last season's champions have been brought back down to Earth by back to back away defeats against Crystal Palace (via a 97th minute winner) in the Premier League and Galatasaray in the Champions League.

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Chelsea against Liverpool Lineups: Starting 11

Chelsea

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
R. Sanchez
27
M. Gusto
34
J. Acheampong
5
B. Badiashile
3
M. Cucurella
24
R. James
25
M. Caicedo
7
P. Neto
8
E. Fernandez
49
A. Garnacho
20
Joao Pedro
9
A. Isak
18
C. Gakpo
8
D. Szoboszlai
11
M. Salah
10
A. Mac Allister
38
R. Gravenberch
6
M. Kerkez
4
V. Van Dijk
5
I. Konate
12
C. Bradley
25
G. Mamardashvili

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Liverpool

Missing players

Chelsea
Chelsea
Defender

L. Colwill

W. Fofana

T. Adarabioyo

T. Chalobah

Midfielder

D. Essugo

C. Palmer

Forward

L. Delap

D. Fofana

Liverpool
Liverpool
Goalkeeper

Alisson

Defender

S. Bajcetic

G. Leoni

Chelsea & Liverpool Squad Analysis

Chelsea will be without England center back Trevor Chalobah following his red card against Brighton. That gives Blues' boss Enzo Maresca a big selection headache in defense as he is already without long term absentees Wesley Fofana and Levi Colwill.

Key midfielder Cole Palmer is also likely to miss out as he recovers from a minor groin problem, whilst striker Liam Delap will be out until at least December with a hamstring problem. 

Two fresh concerns for the Reds

Goalkeeper Alisson and striker Hugo Ekitike both suffered minor injuries during the defeat at Galatasaray and will miss Saturday's game. That means Georgian keeper Giorgi Mamardashvili will make his Premier League debut, whilst Alexsandr Isak is likely to replace Ekitike in attack.

The only other injury absentee for the Reds is young defender Giovanni Leoni, who is out for the season after suffering a cruciate ligament tear.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Chelsea
CD Huachipato Liverpool
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Estevao (4 Goals)
Ecuador M. Caicedo (4 Goals)
Brazil Joao Pedro (4 Goals)
Argentina E. Fernandez (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France H. Ekitike (5 Goals) Egypt M. Salah (5 Goals)
Best assists
England R. James (4 Assists)
Best assists
Hungary D. Szoboszlai (4 Assists)

Chelsea - Liverpool Key Points

  1. Both teams have scored in 4 of Liverpool's last 5 games
  2. Chelsea have scored in each of their last 8 games
  3. Both teams have scored in 5 of Chelsea's last 6 matches
  4. Both teams have scored in 4 of the last 5 games between Chelsea and Liverpool
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Our Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction

Confidence will be low in both camps following recent results, although Chelsea will be buoyed by their narrow midweek win over Benfica in the Champions League. 

Liverpool are marginally the stronger side here, but their performances over the last couple of weeks have been well short of the high standards they set last season. And with Alisson and Ekitike both out, they will be missing key players at both ends of the pitch. 

We're expecting this to be a close game, with plenty of goalmouth action. The Reds are very slight favorites, but  our prediction for Chelsea vs Liverpool is: Draw and both teams to score 

Prediction:

 

Draw and both teams to score

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Chelsea vs Liverpool - Other Interesting Picks

Enzo Fernández to score

Odds +600
Argentinian midfield star Enzo Fernández bagged a goal against Liverpool last season and also found the net in last week's defeat at home at Brighton. He's by no means a prolific scorer, but with Cole Palmer set to miss Saturday's game, Fernández is likely to adapt a fairly advanced midfield role.
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Chelsea vs Liverpool match : Frequently asked questions

The Premier League game between Chelsea and Liverpool kicks off at 17:15 BST on Saturday 4th October.
The Chelsea vs Liverpool Premier League game is taking place at Stamford Bridge in London.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Chelsea vs Liverpool Picks