Chelsea vs Brighton Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Chelsea
8/30/26 09:00
Brighton

Prediction:

 

X or Brighton

-115
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 by Sarah Lou Jones | in Premier League Picks

Chelsea welcome Brighton & Hove Albion to Stamford Bridge for their first home match of the 26/27 Premier League season. Both of these sides have enjoyed winning starts to their season. Chelsea beat Fulham away 3-2 in their first game, which they followed up with a 2-0 win against Luton Town in the Carabao Cup. The Seagulls were fantastic in their 4-0 home win against Aston Villa on opening day, as they were against Tromsoe in the UEFA Conference League where they romped to another 4-0 victory. Two excellent attacking sides, this game should bring us goals and plenty of them.

Emi Martinez is set to sign for the Blues, though the move may not be finalised in order to play in this one. If not, Robert Sanchez is likely to continue in goal for Chelsea. While the home side are favorites to win the match, it's really important to not underestimate Brighton. They're a great EPL side, talent all over the pitch and offer a fantastic attacking threat too. They're in fantastic form, the Seagulls enjoyed a top preseason and are unbeaten in their three competitive games so far this season. While Chelsea has also started well, this game is far from a gimme for Xabi Alonso's side.

Brighton has a superb record over Chelsea. They've won the previous four head-to-heads, including a superb 3-1 win at Stamford Bridge last season. We think the Seagulls are more than capable of taking something from this game, which is why for our prediction we're looking at the Double Chance market. 

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Chelsea vs Brighton Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Brighton
3 1 1 0 0 +4
6 Chelsea
3 1 1 0 0 +1

Chelsea and Brighton Latest Matches

Chelsea
Chelsea Latest matches
L W D W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Aug 27, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
2 :  0
Luton Town

Aug 24, 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
2 :  3
Chelsea

Aug 15, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
3 :  1
Real Sociedad

Aug 9, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Johor Darul Takzim
3 :  3
Chelsea

Aug 8, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
3 :  0
AC Milan

Aug 5, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
0 :  1
Juventus
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Aug 27, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
2 :  0
Luton Town

Aug 15, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
3 :  1
Real Sociedad

Aug 8, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
3 :  0
AC Milan

Aug 5, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
0 :  1
Juventus

Aug 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
1 :  2
Tottenham

Jul 28, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
6 :  4
Western Sydney Wanderers
L L D L D W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Aug 24, 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
2 :  3
Chelsea

Aug 9, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Johor Darul Takzim
3 :  3
Chelsea

May 24, 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
2 :  1
Chelsea

May 9, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Chelsea

Apr 21, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Chelsea

Mar 21, 2026 - Premier League

Everton
3 :  0
Chelsea
Brighton
Brighton Latest matches
W W W D W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Aug 27, 2026 - Conference League

Brighton
4 :  0
Tromsoe IL

Aug 23, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
4 :  0
Aston Villa

Aug 20, 2026 - Conference League

Tromsoe IL
0 :  0
Brighton

Aug 15, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
1 :  0
Bologna

Aug 8, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
3 :  0
Roma

Aug 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
4 :  3
Strasbourg
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Aug 27, 2026 - Conference League

Brighton
4 :  0
Tromsoe IL

Aug 23, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
4 :  0
Aston Villa

Aug 15, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
1 :  0
Bologna

Aug 8, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
3 :  0
Roma

Aug 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
4 :  3
Strasbourg

May 24, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  3
Manchester United
W W D L L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Aug 20, 2026 - Conference League

Tromsoe IL
0 :  0
Brighton

May 17, 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  0
Brighton

May 2, 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
3 :  1
Brighton

Apr 18, 2026 - Premier League

Tottenham
2 :  2
Brighton

Apr 11, 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
Brighton

Mar 14, 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
0 :  1
Brighton

Chelsea against Brighton : Head to Head (H2H)

Chelsea

33 %

Draw

0 %

Brighton

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.67
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored
2.33
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

Apr 21, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Chelsea

Sep 27, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  3
Brighton

Feb 14, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Chelsea

Feb 8, 2025 - FA Cup

Brighton
2 :  1
Chelsea

Sep 28, 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
4 :  2
Brighton

May 15, 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  2
Chelsea
Chelsea vs Brighton Picks

Missing players

Chelsea
Chelsea
Defender

M. Sarr

Midfielder

J. Henderson

A. Anselmino

Forward

E. Emegha

Brighton
Brighton
Midfielder

K. Mitoma

Forward

G. Rutter

E. Ferguson

Y. Minteh

S. Tzimas

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Chelsea
CD Huachipato Brighton
Top Goalscorer
England M. Rogers (1 Goals)
Brazil Joao Pedro (1 Goals)
England C. Palmer (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England J. Hinshelwood (2 Goals)
Best assists
France M. Lacroix (1 Assists)
Brazil Joao Pedro (1 Assists)
England C. Palmer (1 Assists)
Best assists
France G. Rutter (1 Assists)
Paraguay D. Gomez (1 Assists)

Chelsea and Brighton Stats in Premier League

Chelsea
Chelsea
Brighton
Brighton
100%
Wins
100%
0%
Losses
0%
0%
Draws
0%
5
Average goals per match
4
3
Goals scored per match
4
2
Goals conceded per match
0
0%
Under 2.5 goals
0%
100%
Over 2.5 goals
100%
0%
No goals conceded
100%
100%
Both score
0%

Chelsea - Brighton Key Points

  1. Brighton has won the last four head-to-heads
  2. Brighton is unbeaten in all competitions so far this season
  3. Chelsea only won seven home games in the league last season
  4. Brighton has scored 11 goals and conceded just two in the last four H2Hs
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Our Chelsea vs Brighton Prediction

While we can see why Chelsea are the favorites to win the game, we're not sure we agree with the bookmakers here. It should be a fantastic game whatever the result, but it's a game we can see Brighton taking something from. They've an excellent recent record against Chelsea, they've started the season incredibly well and will be full of confidence heading into this one. We think there's value to be found in the Seagulls to win or draw at Stamford Bridge.

Our prediction for Chelsea vs Brighton is: Brighton to Win or Draw

Prediction:

 

X or Brighton

-115
$200 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.