Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic Prediction & Picks - ATP Australian Open
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP Australian Open Picks
Carlos Alcaraz of Spain and Novak Djokovic of Serbia will clash in the men’s singles championship match at the 2026 Australian Open on Sunday.
Recommended Pick: Novak Djokovic +4.5 Games
Potential Payout: $1000 for every $500 Bet (+110)
Current Form;
Alcaraz’s dream of becoming the youngest ever to complete a career Grand Slam after edging Alexander Zverev of Germany, 6-4, 7-6, 6-7, 6-7, 7-5 in an instant classic semifinal encounter. Alcaraz battled not only a confident Zverev, but also a one-and-half hour episode of leg cramps to clinch his first Australian Open final. Alcaraz won 73 percent of his first serves and fired 76 winners, while breaking Zverev four times, including the final two service breaks that completed his comeback from 3-5 game down in the fifth set.
Djokovic turned back the hands of time anew after outlasting reigning champion Jannik Sinner, 3-6, 6-3, 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 in another thrilling match. Djokovic leaned on his deep reservoir of experience to take down his younger rival, who fired 26 aces in the match. The Serb won 71 percent of his serves and broke serves three times, including the pivotal service break that put him in the driving seat in the fifth set.
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Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic Form
Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic Latest Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Jan 29, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 27, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 24, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 22, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 20, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 18, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Jan 30, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 24, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 21, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 19, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Nov 8, 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
Nov 7, 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
Carlos Alcaraz against Novak Djokovic : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Sep 5, 2025 - ATP US Open
Jan 21, 2025 - ATP Australian Open
Aug 4, 2024 - Olympic Tournament
Jul 14, 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Nov 18, 2023 - ATP Finals
Aug 20, 2023 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Carlos Alcaraz - Novak Djokovic Key Points
- Novak Djokovic is winning 76.2 percent of his first serves at the 2026 Australian Open.
- Novak Djokovic has converted 21 of 52 breakpoint chances at the 2026 Australian Open.
- Carlos Alcaraz has converted 30 of 72 breakpoint chances at the 2026 Australian Open.
- Carlos Alcaraz is 5-5 head-to-head with Novak Djokovic.
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Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Carlos Alcaraz fends off Novak Djokovic 6-4, 4-6, 7-5, 6-7, 6-3
Reason: I am expecting Novak Djokovic to sustain his terrific form into his final match with Carlos Alcaraz, only to lose steam down the stretch. Djokovic deserves a ton of respect for putting on a vintage performance in his victory over Jannik Sinner in the semifinals. However, he must also accept the reality that he needs to do it all over again, less than 48 hours against the world’s No.1 and extra-motivated Alcaraz. The last time these two played each other, Alcaraz dismantled Djokovic 6-4, 7-6, 6-2 in straight sets. With the form he has shown throughout this tournament, Djokovic should outdo his performance at the US Open and present a stiff challenge to Alcaraz, at least in the four sets of their match. But in the end of the day, you just can’t beat Father Time. Alcaraz, the master of five setters, will roll over Djokovic’s fatigued body in the fifth set, claiming his first AO title and a career Grand Slam.
Our betting prediction for Carlos Alcaraz vs. Novak Djokovic: Novak Djokovic +4.5 Games
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
