Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction & Picks - ATP Finals

ATP - ATP Finals

ATP 1 Spain
Carlos Alcaraz
11/13/25 14:30
ATP 9 Italy
Lorenzo Musetti

Prediction:

 

Carlos Alcaraz to Win 2-0

-175
$300+ offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Bradley Gibbs in Tennis Picks

The action in Turin continues to come thick and fast, and on Thursday, we have more matches to get stuck into. One of the earlier encounters sees Carlos Alcaraz take on Lorenzo Musetti in a contest that puts together the current world number one and the current world number nine. Alcaraz had to dig deep to overcome Taylor Fritz last time out, but he showed an awful lot more against that opponent than Musetti did just a few days earlier. 

Lorenzo Musetti shifted through the gears to beat Alex De Minaur on Tuesday, and that win was pleasing. What's more, that victory should give the Italian the confidence he'll undoutbedly need to put up a fight here. However, there's a difference between putting up a decent fight and actually making life really difficult for Alcaraz, which is not something that Musetti has previously done when the pair have met on hard courts. 

Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti Form

Carlos Alcaraz and Lorenzo Musetti Latest Matches

Carlos Alcaraz Latest matches
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Nov 11, 2025 - ATP Finals

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  1
Taylor Fritz

Nov 9, 2025 - ATP Finals

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur

Oct 28, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Carlos Alcaraz
1 :  2
Cameron Norrie

Oct 18, 2025 - Six King Slam

Carlos Alcaraz
0 :  2
Jannik Sinner

Oct 16, 2025 - Six King Slam

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Taylor Fritz

Sep 30, 2025 - ATP Japan Open

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Taylor Fritz
Lorenzo Musetti Latest matches
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Nov 11, 2025 - ATP Finals

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  1
Alex De Minaur

Nov 10, 2025 - ATP Finals

Lorenzo Musetti
0 :  2
Taylor Fritz

Nov 8, 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship

Novak Djokovic
2 :  1
Lorenzo Musetti

Nov 7, 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship

Sebastian Korda
1 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

Nov 6, 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship

Alexandre Muller
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

Nov 5, 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship

Stan Wawrinka
1 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

Carlos Alcaraz against Lorenzo Musetti : Head to Head (H2H)

Carlos Alcaraz

100 %

Lorenzo Musetti

0 %

Jun 6, 2025 - ATP French Open

Lorenzo Musetti
- :  -
Carlos Alcaraz

May 16, 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Lorenzo Musetti

Apr 13, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Lorenzo Musetti
1 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

Mar 26, 2024 - ATP Miami

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Lorenzo Musetti

Oct 1, 2023 - ATP Beijing Open

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Lorenzo Musetti

Jun 4, 2023 - ATP French Open

Carlos Alcaraz
3 :  0
Lorenzo Musetti
Compare Carlos Alcaraz and Lorenzo Musetti with our comparison tool.

Carlos Alcaraz - Lorenzo Musetti Key Points

  1. When the pair last met on a hard surface, Carlos Alcaraz won in straight sets.
  2. Carlos Alcaraz has won four of his previous six matches against Lorenzo Musetti in straight sets.
  3. Lorenzo Musetti has never won a single set against Carlos Alcaraz on a hard court.
  4. When Musetti last played a player in the top six, he lost in straight sets.

Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction

Carlos Alcaraz had to battle hard to overcome Taylor Fritz in three sets last time out, but this looks like a more than reasonable opportunity for the Spaniard to get it done in straight sets. Lorenzo Musetti is no weak player, but he didn't exactly suggest that he'd keep pace with Alcaraz last time out, despite beating De Minaur in three sets. 

Prior to that win against De Minaur, Musetti lost to Fritz in straight sets, and given that Alcaraz has just beaten that player, it doesn't look good for the Italian. After all, the world number nine has a poor hard-court record against the six-time Grand Slam champion, who has never dropped a set on a hard surface against Musetti. 

Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti Pick: Carlos Alcaraz to Win 2-0. 

Prediction:

 

Carlos Alcaraz to Win 2-0

-175
$300+ offered for betting!

Deposit Bonus Up To $1,000

DK Dollars

Looking for some extra boost for your Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti pick? New users are in luck as DraftKings is offering a deposit bonus now and for a limited time only! First deposits to your DK sportsbook account are rewarded with a bonus of up to $1,000! Be sure to check the full terms and conditions to ensure you're eligible.

Available for Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti Picks