ATP - ATP Cincinnati Open
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by Lou Aguila in ATP Cincinnati Open Picks
Former US Open runner-up Kei Nishikori kicks off his North American hard-court season against Camilo Ugo Carabelli of Argentina in the first round of the 2025 Cincinnati Open.
Nishikori is set to play his first match in months after an undisclosed injury forced him to miss several marquee events on the tennis calendar, including the French Open and Wimbledon. At 35, Nishikori will attempt to fend off father time once more as he aims for strong results on the hard court, particularly at the Cincinnati Open, where he had a couple of round-of-32 appearances in the past.
Carabelli seeks to earn his first win in the North American hard-court swing when he faces the former world’s No.4 on Friday. Carabelli lost to Roberto Carlos Baena 4-6, 1-4 ret. in the first round of the 2025 Canadian Open, sending his 2025 hard-court record to 3-4 and 2025 ATP season record to 30-21.
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Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Kei Nishikori Form
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Kei Nishikori Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jul 28, 2025 - ATP Toronto
Jul 25, 2025 - ATP Umag Open
Jul 24, 2025 - ATP Umag Open
Jul 22, 2025 - ATP Umag Open
Jul 19, 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
Jul 18, 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 20, 2025 - ATP Geneva Open
May 19, 2025 - ATP Geneva Open
Apr 26, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 24, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 3, 2025 - ATP Houston
Apr 1, 2025 - ATP Houston
Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Kei Nishikori Key Points
- Camillo Ugo Carabelli lost to Roberto Carlos Baena 4-6, 1-4 ret. in the first round of the 2025 Canadian Open.
- Camillo Ugio Carabelli is 3-4 on the hard court in 2025.
- Kei Nishikori will be playing his first match since May.
- Kei Nishikori is 9-5 on the hard court in 2025.
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Our Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Kei Nishikori Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Kei Nishikori wins first match in months.
Kei Nishikori is my pick to win against Camilo Ugo Carabelli because I think he’s still a better hard-court player than the Argentine despite his age and inactivity.
Apart from an outstanding 67.9 percent win rate, Nishikori boasts a solid 9-5 record on the surface this year. He also made it to the semifinal of the Phoenix Challenger in March, where he scooped a win over Luca Nardi and Flavio Cobolli before falling to the prodigious Brazilian Joao Fonseca in the final four, 3-6, 3-6.
As for Carabelli, he is only 9-14 against the top 100 players and only 3-4 on the hard court this year. The Argentine isn’t a fan of the hard-court, having only played 66 games on the surface in his career.
Our betting prediction for the Kei Nishikori vs. Camillo Ugo Carabelli: Kei Nishikori -3.5 Games.
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